Technical analysis by OzgunDashdan about Symbol BTC on 8/26/2025
OzgunDashdan

#BTCUSDT lost 12 %of the record level and fell to $ 108,000 (the lowest of the six weeks). Ethereum lost 12 %. Investors are now deciding to make purchases or wait for a further decline. Reasons for Correction: Disappointment after the short -term rally after Powell's speech Macroeconomic Uncertainty and Fed Interest Expectations Reconstruction Fragher structure of the crypto rally Lock factor: Publishing inflation data (PCE) on Friday: If inflation is less than expectation, the rise of → BTC may continue. If inflation is high, there is a risk of more correction. The current situation: Despite the decline, the market maintains its liquid state ($ 2.2 trillion market value) and corporate investors are ready to enter the position from the bottom levels. The future dynamics of the market will be shaped depending on the data coming from the FED. Bitcoin Why does it seem to a decrease tendency? (Bearish) Here are the reasons why Bitcoin appears to be a fall (Bearish): 1. An important support line was lost: the price went below a critical level of support held before. This is an indication of the increase in sales pressure. 2. Price at a critical level: The price is currently in a very important level (probably local support) balance. ** If this level breaks, the control will be completely to the sellers (bears). Below is no strong support from the green "Flip Zone" level below. If this critical level is lost, this level will serve in the future. 3. "Flip Zone" (Return Zone) has not been tested: This has not yet been tested potential support zone. The market tends to move towards such important levels, which are usually not tested after creating triggering movements in multiple time periods. 4. The previous rise movement has been completed: The graph is now considered as the rise phase (a technical correction patterni as a WXY structure) starting from the point marked with the green arrow. This may mean that the rise momentum is over. 5. The best area for trend return and sales Red Zone: According to the analysis, the most suitable area where the trend is likely to return to a decrease and the sales/Short positions can be opened (probably a resistance level) marked above. Transaction suggestion: In the case of a downward movement, put yourself intermediate goals, in partially or fully realize your profit and protect your profit by pulling your stop-loss level down. The Scenario's Invalid condition: This decrease scenario is invalid if only and only if the daily candle closure occurs on "Invalidation Level" (the level that will invalidate the scenario - probably a resistance above) **.