Technical analysis by ProR35 about Symbol BTC on 8/26/2025

Last weeks high: $117,955 Last weeks low: $110,678.07 Midpoint: $114,316.53 This weekly outlook is a day late due to a public holiday but what happened last week is clear. A sell-off from Monday all the way until Sunday and as suggested in the last weeks outlook the $108,000-$111,000 level did provide the support BTC bulls were looking for, after a 6.2% drop from high to low despite a Friday rally thanks to the FED chairs speech. Looking at the chart it is in my opinion not ideal for the bulls, my reasoning for this: August/September seasonality coming into play. Historically a poor return in this period of the year. Heavy sell-off despite good macro news implies exhaustion on the buy side. Monthly close towards the end of this week, window dressing/de-risking takes place and increases the sell-side pressure. Daily bearish structure confirmed with new lower high and lower low set. So what does this mean for this week? Locating an area on the chart I'd like to see BTC strength from,. For me that would be 1D 200 EMA level at ~$103,000. Since September 2023 BTC has used the 1D 200 EMA as a springboard for each of its rallies and so for this bullrun to continue price must continue to respond positively off the level. The RSI would have likely reached oversold adding confluence to potential Long entries. In a bullish scenario we could see the weekly low get reclaimed, this has routinely happened in the past and often leads to a test of the midpoint, this would be a good short term play but my gut says the overall higher timeframe (next month) is continued sell-off.