Technical analysis by pejman_zwin about Symbol BTC: Buy recommendation (7/25/2025)

pejman_zwin

Bitcoin ( BTCUSDT ) has fallen by more than -4% over the past day. Let's take a look at the reasons for the decline. One of the key reasons behind Bitcoin’s decline in the past 24 hours ( July 25 ) could be the reduced likelihood of Jerome Powell being replaced as Chair of the Federal Reserve. In recent days, market participants were speculating that Donald Trump might replace Powell — a scenario that was considered bullish for risk assets like Bitcoin. However, recent reports of a meeting between Trump and Powell, and signs that Powell might not be dismissed, have weakened this fundamental narrative. This meeting may signal a truce or reduced tension between Trump’s team and Powell , which could imply a continuation of current Fed policies. That’s bad news for Bitcoin, as it removes a potential psychological tailwind from the market and dampens speculative sentiment. As a result: Over $500 million in liquidations(Long Positions) occurred Weak inflows into Bitcoin ETFs A stronger U.S. Dollar Index ( DXY ) And declining Gold( XAUUSD ) prices over the past two days all added additional selling pressure on BTC. Now let's take a look at Bitcoin's conditions on the 4-hour time frame . Bitcoin currently appears to have broken the Support zone($116,900-$115,730) , Support lines , 100_SMA(4-hour TF) , and the lower line of the Symmetrical Triangle Pattern with a bearish Marubozu candle . Note : In general, trading was difficult when Bitcoin was inside a symmetrical triangle (about 10 days). It also seems that the pullback to these zones has ended and Bitcoin is waiting for the next decline . In terms of Elliott Wave theory , Bitcoin appears to be completing microwave 5 of microwave C of major wave 4 . There is a possibility that main wave 4 will create a descending channel and complete at the bottom of the descending channel (at Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) [$113,150-$111,600] ). I expect Bitcoin to start rising again after completing the CME Gap($115,060-$114,947) from Cumulative Long Liquidation Leverage($114,480-$114,000) or Cumulative Long Liquidation Leverage($113,284-$112,603) near the PRZ and Heavy Support zone($111,980-$105,820) . Cumulative Short Liquidation Leverage: $117,904-$116,665 Cumulative Short Liquidation Leverage: $121,046-$119,761 Do you think Bitcoin has entered a major correction, or does it still have a chance to create a new ATH? Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree. Bitcoin Analyze (BTCUSDT), 4-hour time frame. Be sure to follow the updated ideas. Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open). Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post. Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.The long position did not reach my trigger, and I am canceling this analysis and will publish a new analysis soon.