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Technical analysis by moonypto about Symbol BTC on 7/11/2025

https://sahmeto.com/message/3626421
moonypto
moonypto
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Bitcoin Went to the Moon, and Took Your Sanity With It Bitcoin has officially entered price discovery territory, surging past $118,000 and setting a new all time high. This breakout isn’t just technical it’s fundamentally driven. Behind the scenes, macroeconomic dynamics, institutional demand, and a unique fiscal environment are all aligning to create the perfect storm for crypto bulls. The move feels more structural than speculative, supported by both liquidity conditions and real-world economic activity One of the clearest macro tailwinds comes from renewed global trade activity in response to the return of tariff threats under former President Trump. Global manufacturers are frontloading accelerating imports and production to preempt potential tariff implementation. This has led to a significant rise in trade and manufacturing credit, echoing past cycles of uncertainty driven expansion. A key leading indicator here is copper. Often referred to as “Doctor Copper” due to its macro predictive power, copper prices are rising alongside industrial demand offering a clear pro-risk signal that extends to assets like Bitcoin. Meanwhile, the U.S. economy is operating under a regime of fiscal dominance. Despite high Fed policy rates, financial conditions remain loose. Why? Because higher rates mean higher interest payments from the U.S. Treasury, which are being recycled into household and corporate balance sheets. These flows are fueling consumption, investment, and asset prices. Treasury Secretary Bessant’s "Activist Issuance Strategy" favoring short term bills and buying back longer-dated bonds is helping suppress volatility in rates markets and indirectly supporting long-duration assets like Bitcoin. From a market structure standpoint, Bitcoin’s price action is clean and convincing. The $105K–$110K range has flipped from resistance to support, and on-chain data shows that long-term holders are not distributing. ETF inflows continue to outpace token issuance and miner selling, creating a strong structural bid. Key players like STRK and SharpLink are absorbing supply and reinforcing bullish momentum. With the MOVE index (bond market volatility) low and credit spreads tight, the broader environment is ripe for continued upward movement. While some may view this rally as excessive or frothy, it’s important to recognize that many signs of "froth" are also signs of early-stage mass adoption. Bitcoin is now behaving more like a macro hedge alongside gold and copper than a purely speculative asset. As long as fiscal flows remain high, liquidity stays supportive, and ETFs trade at a premium, the path of least resistance appears to be up. In this cycle, froth might not signal a top it might be signaling Bitcoin’s new role in global finance. so its time to Tweet Like a Genius now.. go on don't be shy!Simon Gerovich, CEO of Japan listed company Metaplanet has purchased an additional 797 BTC for approximately $93.6 million at an average price of around $117,451. As of July 14, 2025, Metaplanet holds a total of 16,352 BTC at an average purchase price of about $100,191Crypto Market: The Real Heat Is Yet to Come Bitcoin has recently surged past its previous all time high, entering a fresh upward phase. But unlike the overheated conditions seen in March and December 2024, current onchain indicators show the market isn’t yet in a state of excessive speculation. Even as prices climb, the cooling of overheating metrics compared to earlier short-term peaks suggests Bitcoin may have more room to rally. This points to a strong possibility of continued all-time highs and substantial growth in the latter half of 2025.

Translated from: English
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Signal Type: Neutral
Time Frame:
1 month
Price at Publish Time:
$117,610.47
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