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Technical analysis by Expate about Symbol BTC on 5/10/2025

https://sahmeto.com/message/3497427
Expate
Expate
Rank: 11671
1.5
،Technical،Expate

Bitcoin 4H Chart Analysis1. Trend Structure:Current trend: Strong bullish impulse from ~$84,000.Price broke previous highs (~$100,000) and is holding above.All EMAs (50/100/200) are sloping upward — confirming the uptrend.No reversal signs yet in the current structure.2. RSI (Relative Strength Index):RSI is near 80, but is it overbought?No clear bearish divergence on the 4H chart.RSI might cool off via sideway consolidation movement, not necessarily a sharp drop.3. Key Levels:Current Price: ~$103,800Immediate Resistance: $104,400–$105,000Major Resistance: $106,800–$108,000Immediate Support: $102,000 → $100,500Key Support Zone: $98,000–$99,0004. Scenarios:Scenario A – Final push to ~$105k, then pullbackPrice breaks $104.4k, reaches ~$105k, then retraces to ~$101.5k–$102k.Probability: 60%Scenario B – Strong breakout to $106k–$108k without pullbackPrice continues impulsively despite RSI being overheated.Probability: 30%Scenario C – Reversal from current level (~$103.8k)Price fails to break $104.4k, forms a double top or fakeout.Probability: 10%Conclusion:Current trend is bullish, but momentum is stretched in consolidation.Most likely: price will test $104.4k–105k and pull back slightly before deciding the next move up.If price moves above $106k cleanly, we’re likely entering a new breakout phase and on the way for the new ATH!Soo, we have met several factors that say current move could be followed by further growth.Todays low was met even at 100 718, if you took short from that area - congrats! Otherwise, keep watching!

Translated from: English
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Signal Type: Neutral
Time Frame:
4 hours
Price at Publish Time:
$103,782.29
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