Technical analysis by SpecuVisionary about Symbol BTC: Buy recommendation (5/8/2025)

SpecuVisionary

Summary Bitcoin has staged a clear turnaround after holding support near $76K in April and reclaiming critical dynamic resistances at $89.3K and $96.7K. On May 8, BTC printed a powerful rally candle that peaked at $102.7K, signaling a potential shift from range-bound chop back into an up-trend. This piece unpacks the price structure, macro drivers, and key levels, and lays out the scenarios for the next leg higher or a corrective pullback. Macro & Sentiment Backdrop Macro liquidity ebb & flow: Recent dovish commentary from the Fed reduced forward rate-hike risk, restoring confidence in risk assets. Regulatory clarity: transparent guidelines in major markets continue to draw fresh institutional capital. Network health: On-chain metrics such as rising active addresses and declining exchange inflows reinforce supply scarcity narratives. Chart Structure & Technical Evolution Declining volatility and volume contraction characterized the consolidation phase. Dynamic Resistance Breaks R1 (~$89.3K) & R2 (~$96.7K) (grey/green labels) had capped rallies in mid-April and late-April. The decisive May 8 candle surged through both, converting them into short-term support pivots. Current Momentum A long green daily bar with above-average volume implies genuine buying demand (not a thin-market spike). Price now trades above $100K, a major psychological and technical threshold. Key Levels & Zones LevelTypeSignificance $108KStatic SupplyPrior swing high; first major profit‐taking zone $102.7KRecent PeakNear‐term resistance; tag of psychological $100K $96.7KDynamic R2 → SupportIdeal retest area for dip buyers $89.3KDynamic R1 → SupportSecondary support if $96.7K fails $76K–$78KApril Range SupportInvalidation zone for bullish thesis Bullish vs. Bearish Scenarios Bullish Path Retest & Hold: A pullback into $96.7K–$100K on lighter volume that finds support would validate the breakout. Accelerate Toward $108K: A sustained move above $102.7K with daily closes above $104K clears the way to challenge the $108K supply zone and beyond. Bearish Risk Rejection at $102.7K: Failure to close convincingly above peak time resistance could trigger profit-taking and a swift drop to $96.7K. Breakdown Below $89.3K: A daily close back under the first support zone would re-trap bullish participants, risking a deeper pullback into the April range near $76K–$78K. Is $108K or $115K Next? No one knows Follow the momentum and Trend