Technical analysis by Binary_Forecasting_Service about Symbol PAXG: Buy recommendation (3/25/2025)

Continuing directly from post #7, this if the intermediate draft until 4/11, simultaneously the final public intermediate draft. From a technical perspective from doing this 10 years now, this can be consider a semi-perfect draft on an 14-trading-day basis (now to 4/11). It's incredibly difficult to manually do it much better. If you've followed me long enough, it's usually the third set of hi-lights after the first and the second sets define the range. In chart above, yellow and the first set was post #6, blue and the second was #7, this red draft is not quite the "final adjustment/draft" I was going to post originally for this post - though same set - but it's from this chart I posted right before it: Right before I am posting this, price is trading 3020.95 at 11:18 AM ET, 03/25/25 and in my humbled opinion, this is the within 5 points of the floor RIGHT NOW IF NOT ALREADY AT THE FLOOR. If I don't have a short/intermediate long position, I would watch 1-min bar for an RIGHT NOW. Will add more immediately.11:46 AM ET, first a typo in the title.1) it should've said evidence for 3879++2) because the resulting chain reaction for this move makes the May high HIGHER3) like this:4) in chart above, do I think price can break 3879?5) yes, but really not by a lot 6) I do not see price hitting 40007) so the only target above 3879 is 39708) and this is VERY NOT OBVIOUS, and couldn't be obvious until July9) so here's what is obvious for the remaining 11 months of this "12-month basis"a) we will top VERY EARLY IN AUGUST, SO FIRST WEEK OF AUGUSTb) it will be 3879-3970, at TOP OF RUNAWAY TOPc) THERE IS A STRONG REASON FOR 3963d) but you can't know that until 3500 - 3600 in July e) until then it is 3885-2885, high-lowf) this low will come in November 2885 g) I have several reasons for this 2885 target now h) if the high is closer to 3970, then this low May rise to 2955-ish i) whatever the case maybe, it's going to VERY CLOSE TO 1000 PT RETRACEk) I have massive evidence now that anything under 2585 WILL NOT GET HITl) and WHETHER OR NOT BEARS CAN BREAK THE NOVEMBER LOW DEPENDS ON:m) if they can stop a 550-pt rebound from November to February 20262:30 PM ET, 3019.XX, here is the 12H bar chart and post for next 11 months as reference for later:1) in post above, I will cover price as I usually do semi continuously through 3/282) beyond that I will post directionsNotes above written wrong, should be like this: 1) in post above is future reference for this move should you want it2) I will continue to cover price here semi continuously through 3/283) that will cover the move to 3100 and the first check down 4) beyond that I will post directions for people that wants it5) meanwhile, here is the small shift sideways:- long story short, match all time high on Wednesday, maybe early- new all time high to 31xx Thursday, but late1) so in chart above, when we hit 2875-29xx whatever THIS NOVEMBER 2) will be comparable to this move in October of year 2008:3) this when gold retraced from 1031 to 681 in 2008 recession4) and silver got rug pulled TO $8.50 5) but the final run gold only moved to 1920 or +182%6) silver moved 8.50 to 49.90+ or 487% 7) KEEP IN MIND THAT 681/1031 IS -34%8) let's say gold somehow hit 3914 vs current call of 3879 (which is in the zone)9) A SIMILAR DROP WOULD PUT PRICE AT 258510) so even though I have the call at 28xx, it CAN move down to 258511) we just can't "know that" until October probably12) continuing in chart above13) so the forecast through end of Friday is hitting those first 2 boxes14) I don't see this changing 15) if it doesn't, I won't add anything here 16) need tie to work on new group, link is near the top if you are on desk top17) if you are on your phone, link is below, right before comments7.18 AM ET, so after my "MUST MOVE VERTICAL NOW" comment before I slept last night... 1) price jumped 20 pts in the hours after to 30322) but dropped and now trading 3026.xx3) what this means is that price is still fighting to 4) to hit the first box ... which I defined as 3103 BEFORE FRIDAY5) what can we say this morning? 6) a slowed and deformed red route is still7) THE FAVORITE VS ENTIRE FIELD better than 60/408) but the target and time have to move bit to compensate 9) so let's say 6 AM ET FRIDAY which adds 6 hours10) and let's drop that 3103 to 3093-310311) and the shape of the move is more curved so...12:41 AM THURS, 3/27, after 3038.xx, what I can say about this??1) pattern seems to say that the 4/11 top should be 3185-32252) trend demands 3265-32803) because this move has had so much hesitation ...4) it looks different now5) so the boxes mean nothing until I have a better map6) long story short, no change in position or overall outlook7) but there maybe changes in details still 2 weeks out8) I will add complete notes today or tomorrow9) after that I will only post in the group3/27/25, 10:51 AM ET, after 3058 new all time high1) so my FIRST READ is that if it comes down again to TRY TO HIT second box2) it is probably only going to hit THE TOP OF THE BOX AT BEST3) meaning what? 4) meaning after 3100-ish should be a tag of 3055 again5) but the top of second box is 3045 6) there-in lies the first major change of to this pattern 7) it's basically a slight shift up 8) this implies that DESPITE BEING LATE for red route's run up9) PRICE CAN BE EARLY FOR THE REMAINDER10) long story short, we still have an improbable shot at second box11) third box is beginning to look fuzzy12) I already stated up the page that fourth box will likely miss13) so for the people still using this chart after I move to the private group a) the hi-lights in chart at top represent the entire range b) and it's not looking like it will follow any particular color c) that's what I meant by looking different d) but my trend engine is still targeting 3278 e) HOWEVER, THE PATTERN FOR PRICE ACTION ONLY CALLS FOR 3225 MAX14) so keep that in mind as I finish this post15) in chart above, if you compare what is happening vs the charts from my phone...16) which is 2 charts above this marked "MORE LIKE THIS" 17) this bounce is way too fast for the short term pattern18) this is because the sideways stall is closing the window for first box under 21 hours now19) so bulls are forced to move up or get dragged out like yellow now, starting with a drag to 303020) BUT OPENING NEW YORK TOMORROW AT 307021) SHOULD THIS HAPPEN, this would bet the very first signal for a 3225 OR LESS TOP22) as opposed to a 3275 OR MORE TOP23) but by no means a sure thing yet24) meanwhile, that would also mean the end of this post (I will post #9 in private group)25) so in chart above, at 3054.xx right now, and it looks like bears want to....26) push down to 3030 and test the hard floor which is 3023-3027 27) this would prevent first box from getting hit28) and change the pattern meaningfully, especially before 04/0229) while bulls are still favored above 22-min bars30) when it comes to daily-weekly prices, small bars usually dominate31) so unless Tokyo moves to 3060 in 2 hours AND KEEP GOING...32) that's a wrap for this post, I will post PART 9 in the group as soon as I have it9:41 PM, I was already working on a work-up for POST #9 but red route is still alive1) so in notes above I wrote in "31) so unless Tokyo moves to 3060 AND KEEP GOING..."2) check and check3) but because of ENTIRE TREND BREAK DOWN...4) there can be NO STALLING 5) here:6) chart above's yellow route is my work up for POST #9 7) posted that in the group 2 hours ago, thinking that bulls were giving up8) so they broke up JUST IN TIME... 9) but chart above shows the what price is running into ...10) its trading 3071.83 new all time high as I type11) but it cannot stall because it is simultaneously "IN RUG PULL POSITION" 12) to the black diagonal which is a follow through of yellow route13) so in chart above red arrow is current trend line of move up14) blue is "expiration of 3093-3103 by 6 AM tomorrow" 15) target/time given yesterday16) black line is surrender to yellow route 17) which is work-up for POST #9 18) so until red route dies, I will finish this post (#8 you are reading as promised)19) so at 10:05 PM we have 8 hours20) but only if price hold trend 21) on the other hand, 3073 is less than 1% from 310303/28/25, 10:14 AM ET, 3080.15 after 3086 new all time high at London open 6 hours ago, consider:28) in chart above, the dashed red line in chart above is 2-min bar Bollinger limit, or very short term29) replay chart at top, you will see that we are 12 hour late vs red route30) in that sense, where the first box at 3100-ish ended 10 hours ago31) the second box from 3030-3045 ends before London opens Monday33) that is to say - not accounting for intermediate trends - that bears has to Monday afternoon34) to hit 3030-304535) THIS IS VERY VERY NOT OBVIOUS AT ALL41) FOR REFERENCE, when you zoom and switch bars to small bar42) TREND LINES ALWAYS SHIFT A BIT42) that means that on 2-min bars the black line is 3053, on 8-min bars it's 3042... 43) but on 30-min bars, it's 3049, SO BE VERY AWARE OF THIS WHEN TRADING OFTEN66) so the verdict is ... if blue line holds.67) bears should have a shot UNDER 304268) but we are at that line RIGHT NOW AT 11:17 AND 3076.6569) that's the binary for this situation70) 12:35 PM ET, I just realized that I quoted futures options hours wrong71) it should be 1:30 PM ET when they expire (daily) 72) so her's the 30th second bar chart again:73) so I am going to close out this post right now 74) and here is what I see75) so as it is, THIS DRAFT you are reading (post #8) is now irrelevant 76) I mean that ON A DAILY BASIS 77) in chart above that's the 2-min binary, BUT THE ODDS ARE NOT 50-50 78) they are more like 80-15-5, where orange is 80%, and blue is 5%79) the 15% is like this...101) about post #9 to 4/11102) trend odds now aggressively favor 3279-3282 target103) and in the event that it is somehow lower104) the floor for such a drop would be 3248105) so the range of target for 4/11 would be 3248-3282 106) STRONGLY FAVORING THE HIGH SIDE 3279-3282107) on a 2 week basis, chart at top is super relevant in terms of momentum for 3282108) however, that route now does not look like blue, red or yellow109) that's a wrap for this post110) I will post #9 in the private group BEFORE SUNDAY OPEN 111) if you are on your laptop/chrome book, the link is near the top, RIGHT OF THE INTRODUCTION112) if you are on your phone it's right under this note BEFORE THE COMMENTS03/30/25, DUE TO CHANGES IN OUR PLANS, HERE'S #9 FOR EVERYONE: