التحليل الفني shelby3 تحليل حول رمز BTC: بيع (١٧‏/١١‏/٢٠٢٣) مُقتَرَح

Bitcoin is ending; no new high coming in 2025 I keep hearing people regurgitating Steve Courtney’s (Crypto Crew U. YT channel) trope about the market has built a lot of structure by slowly grinding up, unlike in 2019 in which the price moved too quickly to 13.9k. And they take this as some gospel or evidence that the price will not crash back down to a lower low. This a syllogistic logical fallacy or a form of apophenia that attempts to assign causation to features which may be present among other outcomes. A more sophisticated person entertains all of the facts of the situation and doesn’t try to form causal conclusions based on myopic cherry picking of preferred datums. They should read the How to Piss Me Off Guide. Why doesn’t anyone else notice the following? 1. For every bear market bottom, the second crash below the 200 WMA is always deeper than the prior one within the same cycle. Thus clearly another deeper move below the 200 WMA is looming before the bottom. 2. Note my textual annotations on the following chart. Note ending diagonals in 2018 and currently are followed by massive, intense moves in the other direction. Also note that the 5 waves for the prior bull market were a terminating wave because of wave 2 retraced more than 67% of wave 1. A TERMINATING WAVE MEANS THE BITCOIN BULL MARKET SINCE ITS INCEPTION IS FINISHED. Thus Bitcoin will not make a new ATH ever again until the entire bull run from its inception has been reset. Per Steve Courtney’s 5.3 ratio theory which predicts every bull market top for Bitcoin, the next top can only be ~413% above the bottom. If Bitcoin bottoms at 13.6k in 2024 as I expect, then it will top at ~70k and will not make a new ATH.