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Price action anlysisThe initial phase, likely Phase A, marked the stopping of the previous downtrend. The low reached around the 24th could be identified as a Selling Climax (SC) or a significant low. The subsequent rally to near the 25th then established an Automatic Rally (AR), defining the upper boundary of the initial trading range. A following decline that tested the SC zone, around the 25th, would constitute a Secondary Test (ST). Following this, the price entered Phase B, the "building of the cause," where the "Composite Man" is presumed to be accumulating. From the ST on the 25th until near the 26th, the price moved laterally, repeatedly testing the support and resistance levels established by the SC and AR, with supports around $107K-$107K and resistance evolving from $109K towards $109-$110K The low on the 26th, reaching near $107K, is particularly noteworthy and could be interpreted as a Spring or an ST in Phase C, effectively a shakeout below prior support.If this low on the 26th is indeed a Spring, then Phase C, the test, is confirmed by the immediate subsequent rally that did not retest this low with any significant force, indicating a lack of supply. This leads us into Phase D, characterized by a developing uptrend within the range and the potential for a breakout. The ascent starting late on the 26th and continuing to the current moment displays clear Signs of Strength (SOS). The price has broken through internal resistance levels within the range and is now challenging the upper boundary of the broader trading range, near $110K. Currently, the price at $109K is situated at a critical resistance zone, which notably coincides with the Point of Control (POC) indicated by the volume profile.Volume Behavior Analysis:The behavior of volume provides further context. During Phase A, volume at the SC, while not climactic, was significant compared to its immediate surroundings, and the volume on the AR was moderate. Crucially, volume during the ST on the 25th was markedly lower than at the SC, a positive sign for accumulation, suggesting diminishing selling pressure. Throughout Phase B, volume was somewhat erratic but generally decreased on successful tests of support. Some volume spikes were observed on upward movements testing resistance, indicating absorption of supply. The volume on the potential Spring on the 26th was moderate, which is acceptable if followed by a swift recovery on low-volume retests. In Phase D, the rally from late on the 26th has been accompanied by an increase in volume on bullish candles, especially during the breakout of internal resistance levels, supporting the SOS and indicating demand taking control. Current volume, as the price consolidates at the highs, is moderate.RSI Behavior Analysis:The Relative Strength Index (RSI) offers additional insights. A clear bullish divergence is evident when comparing the price low of the 25th with the low of the 26th; while the price made an equal or slightly lower low, the RSI formed a distinctly higher low. This classic signal supports the interpretation of a Spring or a final test of supply. During the accumulation phase, the RSI mostly oscillated below the 50-60 levels. With the onset of Phase D and the SOS, the RSI has crossed above and is maintaining itself above 50 (currently at 58.27), indicating a shift towards bullish momentum. It is not yet in overbought territory (above 70), suggesting potential for further upside if demand persists. The volume profile on the right shows the POC, the area of highest traded volume, situated precisely where the price is currently, around $109,7K - $109,8K. This area acts as a strong magnet and a significant potential resistance or support. Below this, a High Volume Node (HVN) around $108K could serve as strong support on pullbacks. Above the current POC, a Low Volume Node (LVN) exists before another minor HVN near $111K; LVNs are often traversed quickly if the price can overcome the current HVN.Relevant Points to Consider for the Next 24 Hours:Looking ahead for the next 24 hours, several key elements will be crucial. The immediate focus is on the price's ability to break and sustain above the current resistance and POC zone of $109,7K - $110K USDT. A confirmed breakout above $110K USDT, ideally accompanied by increasing volume, would validate the SOS and signal entry into Phase E, a markup phase, with potential targets around $110,5K and then the HVN near $111K. A pullback to this breakout zone that holds as support, forming a Last Point of Support (LPS), would be a strong bullish indication. Conversely, a failure to overcome this zone, especially with increasing selling volume, could lead to a retracement to test lower supports, initially around $109K-$109,2K, and then potentially the HVN at $108K. Volume during any breakout or rejection will be paramount; a low-volume breakout would be suspect (a potential Upthrust), while increased volume on a breakout would be confirmatory. For the RSI, if new price highs above $110K are achieved, it will be important to see if the RSI confirms with new highs or forms a bearish divergence, which could warn of short-term bullish exhaustion. Sustaining above RSI 50 is positive. From a Wyckoff perspective, if this is indeed Phase D, "Backups" or LPS testing the breakout area are normal. However, a failure of the structure, such as a decisive break below the Spring level (e.g., below 106,800), would invalidate the accumulation scenario and suggest either redistribution or a continuation of the prior downtrend.

Price Action Analysis:Observing the price action from May 23rd to May 26th, the chart suggests the development of a Wyckoff accumulation schematic. The initial phase, Phase A, marked the stopping of the previous downtrend. This began with a Selling Climax (SC), where price bottomed near the $107,3K level due to panic selling being absorbed by larger interests. This was followed by an Automatic Rally (AR) to approximately $110K, which established the upper boundary of the subsequent trading range. Subsequent declines, like those served as Secondary Tests (STs) of the SC area.Phase B represented the "building of the cause," where the "Composite Operator" accumulated positions. This phase extended from the AR, with price trading largely sideways between roughly $107K and $109,8K. The Volume Profile Visible Range (VPVR) highlights a significant Point of Control (POC) near $107,3K during this period, indicating substantial trading activity and value acceptance in the lower part of this range.Phase C involved a critical test of supply. The dip observed around towards the $106,8K level, testing the SC/ST lows, can be interpreted as a Spring. This maneuver is designed to mislead uninformed traders and assess remaining supply, with price quickly recovering above the range's support.Following the test, Phase D began, signifying the trend emerging out of the range and its confirmation. A clear Sign of Strength (SOS) occurred with the strong rally. This move decisively broke above the Phase B trading range resistance ($109,8K) and reached approximately $110,4K, indicating that demand had overcome supply. Currently, the price action on May 26th, consolidating above the broken resistance (now support) around the $109,6K-$109,9K area, is characteristic of a Last Point of Support (LPS) or a Back-Up (BU) to the "creek." This area also aligns with a new prominent POC on the VPVR, suggesting it's a new level of value acceptance.Volume Behavior Analysis:Volume patterns have closely supported the Wyckoff schematic. The Selling Climax on May 23rd was accompanied by a distinct volume spike, indicative of a significant transfer of shares. Volume during the subsequent Automatic Rally and Secondary Tests was generally lower, signaling diminishing selling pressure. The Spring on May 25th showed notable volume, suggesting a final cleanout of supply, but the ensuing rally demonstrated demand's ability to absorb this. Critically, the Sign of Strength breakout rally on May 25th occurred with a significant increase in volume, validating the upward thrust. During the current LPS/BU consolidation, volume has generally decreased, which is a constructive sign, suggesting light selling pressure as the new support level is tested.RSI Behavior Analysis:The Relative Strength Index (RSI) has also provided confirming signals. During the Selling Climax, the RSI likely dipped into oversold territory (below 30). Throughout Phase B, it oscillated primarily in the neutral zone, reflecting the range-bound price action, and may have formed bullish divergences. The Spring might have seen the RSI briefly dip or form another bullish divergence. Importantly, during the Sign of Strength, the RSI surged upwards with the price, likely approaching or entering overbought territory (above 70), confirming strong bullish momentum. In the current LPS/BU phase, the RSI has pulled back from its highs and is now around 46.58, a neutral reading. This cooldown is typical after an impulsive move and provides room for a potential next leg up.Primary Trend, Signs of Strength, and Weakness:The trend prior to May 23rd was likely bearish. However, the successful development of the Wyckoff accumulation structure and the subsequent SOS indicate that the emerging primary trend is now considered bullish for the short to medium term.Signs of strength for this new bullish trend include the completed accumulation schematic, the decisive SOS breakout with increased volume, the price holding above the broken resistance (now support) during the LPS/BU phase (around $109,6K-$109,8K), diminishing volume on the pullback, and the RSI cooling off to neutral. The new POC forming at the LPS/BU level further reinforces this area as a value zone.Signs of weakness to watch for would include the price failing to hold the current LPS/BU support, a significant increase in selling volume on rally attempts, the price falling back into the previous trading range, or the RSI breaking down or forming significant bearish divergences.Relevant Points to Consider for the Next 24 Hours:Over the next 24 hours, the price action around the key support zone of $109,5K to $109,9K (LPS/BU) will be critical. Holding above this, especially with low volume on any dips, would signal continued strength. Volume confirmation is essential: any attempt to rally from the current consolidation and break the recent high around $110,4K should be accompanied by an increase in volume. The RSI should ideally confirm new price highs or hold above 40-50 on tests of support. The immediate resistance is the recent high around $110,4K. A sustained break above this with good volume would signal the continuation of the markup phase. Should the current LPS/BU fail, the next significant support to watch would be the $107K - $107,3K zone. The market is in a post-SOS consolidation, and the immediate future will determine if the markup resumes or if further testing is needed.

This comprehensive technical analysis offers a granular look into the recent trading activity of BTC/USDT. By dissecting the established market structure, various indicator signals, and crucial volume patterns, we aim to build a detailed picture of the forces at play and the evolving sentiment within this market.1. The Bedrock: Established Bullish Structure and a History of Ascending PeaksObserving the price action from the designated "STRUCTURE START" point, it's evident that Bitcoin has, for a considerable span, carved out a path indicative of bullish market dominance. This was not a haphazard series of movements but rather a more methodical construction of a positive trend, characterized by the consistent achievement of higher highs. Each successive peak surpassed its predecessor, and often, the subsequent troughs also formed at higher levels than those before them. This pattern of ascending highs and higher lows is a cornerstone of classical technical analysis, widely interpreted as a sign of robust underlying demand and a prevailing optimistic sentiment among market participants. Buyers have demonstrated a recurring willingness to absorb selling pressure and to pay incrementally more for the asset, leading to this stair-step upward progression. This established bullish framework provides the critical context against which more recent, potentially contrasting, signals must be evaluated. It forms the baseline expectation of continued upward momentum that has been challenged by more recent developments.2. An Early Warning: The Initial Bearish Divergence and Its Eventual NeutralizationWell before the most recent price turbulence, an interesting cautionary signal emerged in the form of a "WEAK BEARISH DIVERGENCE," as demarcated by the yellow dashed line connecting price peaks with corresponding RSI peaks. This specific instance occurred when the price chart successfully printed a new, higher high, yet the Relative Strength Index (RSI), a momentum oscillator, failed to confirm this strength, instead registering a lower high. Such a discrepancy between price and momentum is a classic bearish divergence. It often suggests that while the price is still being pushed upwards, the underlying buying power or enthusiasm is beginning to wane. It can be an early indicator that the bullish thrust is losing conviction and that the trend might be vulnerable to a pullback or reversal.However, this particular early warning signal did not immediately usher in a significant downturn. As the chart highlights with the red "!" exclamation mark on the RSI, this divergence was subsequently "mitigated." Divergence mitigation can occur in several ways, such as a sharp price correction that pulls the RSI down significantly, effectively "resetting" the oscillator, or a period of sideways consolidation where the RSI drifts lower, resolving the overbought conditions without a major price drop. In this case, the mitigation implied that the bearish undertones indicated by the divergence were either absorbed by renewed buying interest or were not potent enough to derail the overarching uptrend at that juncture. The market seemingly managed to overcome this initial hiccup in momentum, allowing the bullish structure to persist for a while longer.3. The Volume Narrative: A Tale of Initial Strength Followed by Decisive Weakness at the ApexThe volume profile, particularly over the most recent trading days leading up to and including the latest peak, provides crucial insights into market conviction. As BTC/USDT embarked on its ascent towards the recent significant highs, there was a conspicuous and encouraging surge in trading volume. This is visually represented by the taller volume bars, and the green upward arrow on the volume indicator emphasizes this period of high participation. Generally, strong volume accompanying a price rally or a breakout above key resistance levels is considered a bullish confirmation. It suggests broad market participation, institutional interest, and a strong consensus behind the upward move, lending credibility to its sustainability.However, a very different and far more concerning volume pattern emerged during the attempt to retest or potentially exceed this recently established high. As indicated by the red downward-sloping arrow and the prominent red question mark above the volume bars, the trading volume experienced a dramatic and notable decline during this critical retest. This sharp fall-off in volume as the price approached or nominally touched the prior peak is a significant bearish tell. It signals a profound lack of buying conviction at these elevated price levels. Potential interpretations include buyer exhaustion (those willing to buy have already done so), profit-taking by earlier entrants, or an absence of new capital willing to chase the price higher. The failure to decisively break the previous high, especially when accompanied by such diminished volume, often acts as a strong precursor to price rejection, suggesting that the bullish impetus witnessed earlier had significantly dissipated, leaving the market vulnerable.4. An Unresolved Condition: The Persistent Bearish Divergence Deepens its RootsMore recently, and perhaps more alarmingly for bullish prospects, a distinct and more pronounced bearish divergence has taken shape, as explicitly marked in red ("DIV") on the RSI indicator. This divergence materialized as the price action, particularly looking at candle closes, managed to etch out highs that were comparable to, or in some instances slightly above, the peak established just before the sharp subsequent decline. In stark contrast, the RSI painted a very different picture, charting a series of clearly lower highs. This disjuncture, where price holds or inches higher while momentum (as measured by the RSI) visibly weakens, is a classic and often more reliable bearish signal. It implies that the upward price movements are occurring on fumes, with diminishing underlying strength and buying support.What makes this particular divergence especially noteworthy is its resilience. Despite the "relatively violent attack on the lows" observed – a sharp and rapid downward price movement that might typically be expected to "reset" indicators and alleviate overbought conditions or divergences – this bearish divergence was not mitigated. One might anticipate such a forceful sell-off to drive the RSI down substantially, thereby resolving the discrepancy with price. However, in this instance, while the RSI did decline in response to the price drop, it did not fall to a level that would invalidate the pre-existing bearish divergence. Instead, this sequence of events seems to have reaffirmed and potentially extended the divergence. The RSI’s failure to achieve a deep reset during the sell-off, coupled with any subsequent weak price recovery attempts that still keep the RSI relatively subdued compared to its earlier peaks, reinforces the notion that the selling pressure encountered was substantial and that the bulls currently lack the momentum to decisively overcome this prevailing underlying weakness. This persistent, unmitigated divergence, especially when viewed in conjunction with the aforementioned volume weakness at the highs, strongly suggests a more entrenched struggle for the bulls.Conclusion:While it's true that in the very short term, the persistence and extension of the bearish RSI divergence, coupled with volume weakness during the latest attempt to surpass highs, presents a scenario with slightly bearish undertones and warns of a potential corrective or consolidation phase, it is crucial not to lose sight of the broader perspective. The primary price structure, observed since the "STRUCTURE START," continues to exhibit a sequence of higher highs. This is a fundamental pillar that maintains the bullish scenario as the principal and most probable one in the medium term.Therefore, even if the price were to experience a correction and seek lower support levels or even recent lows (such as a potential test of the POC zone or lower marked levels), the priority mindset should remain geared towards identifying buying opportunities. This is because the underlying expectation is that, following a potential corrective or consolidation phase, the price will resume its path to make future attacks on key resistance levels. Seeking long trades, with an eye on surpassing recent highs and continuing the upward trend, remains the predominant strategy.Additionally, it is vital to consider the confluence with the prevailing bullish trend on higher timeframes (daily, weekly). What we are currently observing on this lower timeframe chart could be interpreted as a phase of fractal re-accumulation within the inertia of this larger uptrend. That is, a pattern of consolidation and subsequent continuation that replicates on a smaller scale within a broader bullish movement. Pullbacks, in this context, often serve as opportunities for longer-term traders to add to positions or for new participants to enter in the direction of the main trend.Consequently, while the formation of a short-term bearish setup cannot be entirely dismissed, especially if weakness persists and key supports are broken with conviction and volume, this bearish scenario still lacks the necessary confirmations to consider it dominant or to invalidate the underlying bullish structure. For now, the structure of higher highs and higher lows, supported by the trend on higher timeframes, suggests that any current weakness might be temporary before a new bullish impulse. The underlying bullish structure remains the primary guide until proven otherwise with compelling technical evidence, such as a break and consolidation below significant prior structural lows.

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