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Biotech stocks have been my focus as many are showing significant relative strength and posting new 52 week highs. I got long XBI yesterday on the break of $85.
Something to consider - stocks well below their all-time highs have a lot of supply to contend with, so the probability of a smooth trend out of a base tends to be lower and raises the probability of failure. The larger degree consolidation could look like this if the selling isn't absorbed by enough buyers at resistance:
ب.ظ 01:42 1401/10/23

This line historically held up UNH . See if it does it again
ب.ظ 04:53 1401/07/06

CALM held up very well in this correction thus far and reported strong earnings this week.
Potentially breaking out on the monthly and a confirmed breakout on the weekly based on last week's action.
ب.ظ 04:28 1401/07/06

2x leveraged fund shorting gold miners breaking out on the weekly time frame
ب.ظ 03:03 1401/07/01

Based on Market share and Turnover Maruti Suzuki is the largest car company in India with a market share of ~45%, nearly half of the cars sold in the country.
Some macro...
If India's economy continues to grow as predicted, by 2025 the Indian middle class will number 583 million people, or 41 percent of India's projected population,1 almost twice the current population of the United States (Columbia. edu ).
India’s real GDP is projected to grow at 9% in both 2021-22 and 2022-23 and at 7.1% in 2023-24. This projects India as the fastest growing major economy in the world in all these three years.
Source: Ministry of Finance
India has the third-largest group of scientists and technicians in the world and the population of India is expected to rise from 121.1 cr to 152.2 cr during 2011-36 an increase of 25.7% in twenty five years.
Source: National Commission on Population, Ministry of Health & Family Welfare
Nifty 50 vs S&P 500:
Website:
https://www.marutisuzuki.com/
This a long term hold
ب.ظ 04:51 1401/06/31

Recently China's been catching a bid and Solar's been one of the leading industries in the market.
One thing I don't like is JKS has been one of the weakest players in solar. I always want to be focused on the strongest name in any sector. In the medium to long term that trend is likely to stay in place.
But short term we might see some catch up in JKS vs other solar names. I also like the recent bid in China names which might help boost this thesis.
Some comparison against ENPH and FSLR:
JKS vs ENPH
JKS vs FSLR
As long as price can get and stay above 64.70 on a weekly closing basis, I'd want to be long JKS . If long ENPH or FSLR , I wouldn't replace those, but would view this position as an added layer of solar upside + China exposure.
ق.ظ 09:10 1401/06/22

This stock is a textbook example of long term basing followed by breaking out and historically delivering returns.
1987 - 1991 it consolidated then followed with a 550%+ return from breakout to peak
1996 - 2004: 450%+ return from breakout to peak
After 15 years we're seeing similar action seen in its previous major basing periods. The stock is now revisiting former all time highs set in 2007 after developing a massive cup and handle basing structure, all while the major indices are down -20 - 30%+
Good example of a multi-year hold (assuming no violations).
ب.ظ 05:00 1401/04/15
Bitcoin & Micron in lockstep
First off, I am NOT implying that these two assets actually have a meaningful relationship with one another (correlation of any sort/or if MU goes down so does BTC , vice versa).
I am just pointing out that Bitcoin and Micron have had similar price action in terms of peaks and troughs and I want to keep watching that relationship.
What's interesting to me is you don't see this similarity of price action in many other stocks/indices when compared to Bitcoin . The first thing I could think of is it's a simple risk-on/risk-off dynamic and a coincidence, which happens over and over in markets.
When measuring BTC against MU we have a perfect weekly H&S top, which suggests Short Bitcoin / Long Micron (which actually historically suggests short both, since BTC is a higher beta asset/with greater volatility on the downside and upside). To be bullish , you want to see Bitcoin in an *uptrend* against Micron (historically speaking):
My view on this relationship is it's a coincidence of a risk-on/risk-off dynamic, and a function of higher beta ( Bitcoin ) vs lower beta (Micron) that happened to be trading in tandem with one another.
What do you think?
ب.ظ 12:57 1401/04/10
The Bitcoin Cycle: A guide to time the next major entry
Bitcoin could be approaching a cycle low in the next 3-9 months.
Zooming in on the weekly chart, you'll see that price tends to develop a horizontally defined resistance *after* hitting a cycle low and consolidating. Once price breaks out from that resistance, it triggers a buy signal. This is the type of action I want to see to get long with size.
On the topic of cycles, I'll use a paragraph from the first book I read that got me interested in financial markets.
From CYCLES: The Mysterious Forces That Trigger Events
How can one tell, in any given instance, whether or not a
regular rhythm that one discovers is caused by a real underlying
force or merely by chance? Let's begin with some common sense
and simple logic. If a cycle has repeated enough times, with
enough regularity and with enough strength, the chances are that
it is significant. Such regularity cannot reasonably be mere accident.
Bottom line: A cycle's reliability is based on how well it repeated that cycle in the past. I will assume the cycle in this post remains in play, and will use it as my guide to help time the next major entry. The key thing is to enter based on a signal rather than buy just because price is in the cycle low range. The cycle just adds to the weight of evidence and helps with timing - it is NOT the signal.
ب.ظ 05:50 1401/03/30
Ethereum: Buy Zone
This is the only level I see that shows major support from here. It's also the major breakout level of 2020, which is normal to see retested.
ETH likely to continue underperforming BTC based on this chart below showing seasonality and continued risk-off in the market (forced selling/liquidation, etc):
ق.ظ 11:56 1401/03/24
سلب مسئولیت
هر محتوا و مطالب مندرج در سایت و کانالهای رسمی ارتباطی سهمتو، جمعبندی نظرات و تحلیلهای شخصی و غیر تعهد آور بوده و هیچگونه توصیهای مبنی بر خرید، فروش، ورود و یا خروج از بازار بورس و ارز دیجیتال نمی باشد. همچنین کلیه اخبار و تحلیلهای مندرج در سایت و کانالها، صرفا بازنشر اطلاعات از منابع رسمی و غیر رسمی داخلی و خارجی است و بدیهی است استفاده کنندگان محتوای مذکور، مسئول پیگیری و حصول اطمینان از اصالت و درستی مطالب هستند. از این رو ضمن سلب مسئولیت اعلام میدارد مسئولیت هرنوع تصمیم گیری و اقدام و سود و زیان احتمالی در بازار سرمایه و ارز دیجیتال، با شخص معامله گر است.
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