تحلیل تکنیکال readCrypto درباره نماد BTC در تاریخ ۱۴۰۴/۱۰/۱۱

Hello, traders! If you "Follow" us, you'll always get the latest information quickly. Have a great day. ------------------------------------- (BTCUSDT 12M Chart) The pattern of a 3-year uptrend and a 1-year downtrend appears to have undergone a slight change, with the 2025 bearish candlestick closing. The key areas to consider are the 69K-73K range and the 42K-44K range. Prices below the 42K-44K range are expected to be unseen again. Therefore, as the price approaches these levels, it's a good time to buy from a long-term perspective. If the price declines near the Fibonacci level of 1.618 (89050.0), it could touch the 69K-73K range. However, just as it failed to reach the expected target level of 2.618 (133889.92), the decline could also fall short of the 69K-73K range. Therefore, if the price declines from 1.618 (89050.0), we need to check for support near 1.414 (79902.66). Considering the previous pattern of three-year upswings and one-year downswings, 2026 is expected to be a challenging year, so caution is advised when trading. The Fibonacci ratios currently displayed on the chart are based on the second wave. Therefore, the Fibonacci level 3.618 (178729.84), which appears to be the end of the second wave, is expected to be the target area for the next bullish trend. - (1M chart) Since the HA-High indicator on the 1M chart formed at 110105.69, a decline is likely until it meets the DOM (-60) or HA-Low indicators. Currently, the price is positioned near the StochRSI 50 indicator and the M-Signal indicator on the 1M chart, and the StochRSI 20 indicator is showing signs of forming a new line. Therefore, support near the Fibonacci level 1.618 (89050.0) is crucial. If the price declines, the DOM (-60) indicator and the HA-Low indicator are expected to form a low soon. Therefore, we need to check for support near the previously mentioned levels: 1st: Fibonacci 1.414 (79902.66), 2nd: 69K ~ 73499.86. For the price to rise at a key point or range and continue the uptrend, the StochRSI, TC, and OBV indicators must show upward trends. Currently, the StochRSI indicator is showing signs of entering an oversold zone, the TC indicator is showing a downward trend below 0, and the OBV indicator is showing a downward trend between the Low Line and High Line. - (1W Chart) Since this is currently a volatile week, we need to monitor the movements below this week. The next volatile week is expected to occur around the week of January 26th. Therefore, the key is whether the price can rise along the uptrend line and remain above the M-Signal indicator on the 1M chart. If it fails to do so and falls, a downward trend is expected, as mentioned earlier. My basic trading strategy is to buy in the DOM(-60) ~ HA-Low range and sell in the HA-High ~ DOM(60) range. Therefore, a decline in the HA-High ~ DOM(60) range can be considered a normal decline, and it is difficult to determine a buy point at this time. Therefore, I recommend waiting until the DOM(-60) or HA-Low indicators are met. - (1D Chart) The HA-Low indicator on the 1D chart is forming at 87944.84, so the key question is whether it can find support near this level and rise. However, since the M-Signal indicator on the 1M chart is passing, it's crucial to see if the price can rise above it and maintain its upward momentum. Including these factors, a rise in the 84739.74 ~ 93.5K range is highly likely to trigger an uptrend. The next period of volatility is expected to be around January 10th, so we should monitor whether the price rises along the rising trendline (1) after this period. We should also monitor whether the price can break above the rising trendline (2). The TC indicator is above zero, and the OBV indicator is rising above the High Line to see if it can be sustained. The StochRSI indicator is falling in the overbought zone. Therefore, I believe that for the uptrend to continue, the StochRSI, TC, and OBV indicators must show upward trends. If the price finds support in the 84739.74 to 87944.84 range (DOM(-60) to HA-Low range on the 1D chart) and rises, and the StochRSI, TC, and OBV indicators show upward trends, the uptrend is expected to continue. As mentioned in the 12M chart explanation, this year is expected to be a difficult year. Therefore, when trading spot, it's important to increase the number of coins (tokens) corresponding to profits. When trading futures, it's important to minimize losses by trading short positions. This will prevent you from missing opportunities due to insufficient funds when the trend turns upward. It's best to increase the number of coins (tokens) representing profit during a stepwise downtrend. This is because a stepwise downtrend usually ends in an uptrend. A stepwise downtrend occurs when the price falls between DOM (-60) and HA-Low. However, because it's difficult to predict the end of a downtrend, you must carefully distribute your purchase amounts. Furthermore, when profit is generated by each purchase price, you should sell the amount equal to the purchase price, leaving the coins (tokens) representing profit. This will quickly convert to profit when the price rises. - Thank you for reading to the end. We wish you successful trading. --------------------------------------------------#BTCUSDT The key is whether the price can rise above the M-Signal indicator on the 1M chart and maintain its upward momentum. To sustain the uptrend by breaking above a key point or range, the StochRSI, TC, and OBV indicators must show upward trends. We need to see if the price can rise along the uptrend line and rise above the M-Signal indicator on the 1W chart. The key is whether the price can find support near 89294.25 and rise above the left Fibonacci level of 3 (92026.52) to 3.14 (93570.28). Currently, the StochRSI indicator is in an overbought zone, so upside is likely to be limited. Since the TC indicator has reached its all-time high, there's a high possibility of a decline soon. Therefore, I believe the support level around 89294.25 will be crucial. If buying pressure continues to flow in and the OBV indicator remains above the High Line, the upward trend will likely be broken.