تحلیل تکنیکال WizWiza درباره نماد XRP در تاریخ ۱۴۰۴/۵/۱۷
XRP Price Forecast: The SEC Case is Over — What’s Next for Ripple’s Token? 📅 Date: August 8, 2025 📈 Current Price: ~$3.33–$3.37 (+11% in 24h) 1. The Legal Battle is Finally Over After more than three years of uncertainty, Ripple and the U.S. SEC have jointly filed to dismiss all remaining appeals, officially ending their long-standing legal dispute. The 2023 ruling stands: XRP sales on secondary markets are not securities — a regulatory green light that removes the biggest cloud hanging over Ripple’s future. Why this matters: Opens the door for institutional adoption without fear of legal backlash. Boosts confidence among payment providers, banks, and fintech platforms to integrate XRP. Positions Ripple as a credible player in global cross-border settlement. 2. Market Reaction in the Past 48 Hours Price Surge: XRP jumped 11–13% in less than 24 hours, adding nearly $20B in market cap. Volume Spike: Trading volume up ~200%, signaling entry of “smart money” and institutional flows. Short-Term Targets: Market momentum hints at a move towards $3.50–$4.00. 3. Technical Analysis Support Zones: $3.10–$3.20 (primary), $2.90 (secondary). Resistance Levels: $3.50, then $4.00. Indicators: RSI at ~68 (approaching overbought), Golden Cross formed — a strong bullish signal. 4. Fundamental Drivers Ahead Expansion of RippleNet’s banking partnerships. Growing role in cross-border payments — a $150T annual market. Participation in CBDC infrastructure projects. 5. Price Forecast Scenarios Timeframe Likely Scenario Bullish Scenario Key Triggers Next Month $3.50–$3.80 $4.00+ Momentum, positive news End of 2025 $4.50–$5.50 $6.00+ ETF approval, new banking deals By 2030. $10–$15 $20+ Global adoption, CBDC integration 6. Entry & Exit Points 🎯 Short-Term Trade: Entry: ~$3.30 Exit: $3.80–$4.00 📊 Medium-Term Position: Entry: ~$4.20 Exit: ~$6.00 🌍 Long-Term Hold: Entry: ~$8.50 Exit: $20+ 7. Risks to Watch Global crypto market corrections. Slower-than-expected institutional adoption. New regulatory hurdles outside the U.S. 💬 Final Take: The removal of legal uncertainty turns XRP into one of the most asymmetric risk/reward opportunities in the current crypto landscape. Volatility will remain, but the medium-to-long-term upside potential is significant — especially if Ripple captures a larger share of the global payments market. 📌 This is not financial advice. DYOR and manage your risk accordingly.XRP — Weekly Outlook (9–16 Aug 2025) Short-term bias tilts bullish-neutral, with a breakout above $3.42 potentially triggering a rally toward $3.70. On-chain metrics are improving, derivatives remain balanced, and the post-SEC-case momentum is still alive — but all eyes are on the upcoming US CPI release for the next decisive move. Current Price: $3.32 | Market Cap: ~$197B | 24h Volume: ~$7.5B 📰 Market Context Regulatory breakthrough — the SEC vs. Ripple case has officially ended with a $125M fine and a ban on direct institutional sales. This removes a major legal overhang while keeping some restrictions in place. On-chain activity shows XRPL transactions and active accounts (7-day moving average) trending higher compared to June, indicating renewed network usage post-July rally. Derivatives market remains balanced: Open Interest is steady at ~$3.4B with only ±1% daily change. Funding rates are slightly positive at +0.01%, showing mild bullish sentiment but no overextension. Liquidations in the last 24h are ~$15–16M — within normal range. 📊 Technical Levels Main support is at $3.15 (20-day MA). If that breaks, next supports are $3.05–$2.95, then $2.70. Immediate resistance is $3.40–$3.42; a breakout here could open the path to $3.60–$3.66. RSI (14D) is between 55–62, suggesting moderate bullish momentum. MA-20 sits at $3.15, MA-50 at $2.61. 📅 Key Macro Event The US CPI report for July will be released on 12 Aug 2025 at 12:30 UTC. Expect volatility as inflation surprises can shift USD strength and global risk appetite. 📈 Weekly Scenarios Base (55%) Consolidation — consolidation between $3.15 and $3.42 if price holds above $3.15 with neutral OI and funding. Bullish (30%) Breakout — breakout above $3.42 on strong volume and a $200–300M rise in OI could push price toward $3.60–$3.70, possibly retesting $3.66. Bearish (15%) Pullback — break and close below $3.15 with rising long liquidations could trigger a move to $2.95–$3.05, and in extreme conditions down to $2.70. ✅ Action Points Watch for a breakout above $3.42 with confirmation from OI and trading volume. Track XRPL active accounts and payments — if they rise with price, the move is more likely sustainable. Consider adjusting leverage or widening stops around CPI release time to handle potential volatility. 💬 My view: Short-term bias is bullish-neutral, with upside potential if $3.42 breaks on strong volume. Macro data and on-chain metrics will determine if the rally can extend.
