تحلیل تکنیکال tradecitypro درباره نماد BTC در تاریخ ۱۴۰۴/۳/۳

👋 Welcome to the 100th Bitcoin Analysis!I'm really happy we've shared this 100-day journey together, and I hope you've been able to benefit from these analyses along the way.💥 Every single analysis I've posted so far has been the basis for real trades that I've taken myself. I'm glad to say the overall result of those trades has been profitable, and I hope your results have been positive too.⚡️ Today, I want to do a full multi-timeframe breakdown of Bitcoin and other major crypto indices. Let’s dive in and see where the market stands.💰 Bitcoin Analysis📅 Weekly TimeframeAs you can see, in the weekly chart, Bitcoin reacted to an ascending curved trendline during its recent correction phase and retraced up to around 72,147.💫 On the RSI, we also have a key support level at 44.75, which has held again. The combination of this support with the curved trendline has created a potential PRZ (Potential Reversal Zone), and price has since resumed its upward move.✔️ Last week’s candle managed to close above the resistance at 104,919 for the first time ever. Many in the market expected that a weekly close above this level would trigger a sharp rally toward 130,000 or even 160,000.📊 However, that hasn’t happened—this week’s candle is still small and lacks strong bullish momentum.✨ We can now view the range between 104,919 and 108,454 as a resistance zone. Although the price has entered this zone, we haven’t yet confirmed a breakout. That confirmation would come with a weekly close above 108,454.📈 Despite the strong momentum before breaking ATH, price seems to be losing steam now. That’s not necessarily bad—it’s actually expected, since this area is one of the most important supply zones for Bitcoin and won’t break easily.🔽 If price gets rejected and this move turns out to be a fakeout, there’s a real possibility of a trend reversal. We’ve got a potential double top forming, which is usually the first signal of a reversal. If price then breaks the 72,147 support, it would confirm the end of the current uptrend. A lower high and lower low afterward would confirm a new downtrend.⭐ At this point, I can’t give you a new spot-buy trigger in this timeframe. The trigger was around the curved trendline. Since price has moved away, we need to wait for a new setup to form.Let’s check lower timeframes for more detailed price action.📅 Daily TimeframeIn the daily chart, after getting support at 76,087, price started moving up and with the breakouts of 87,700 and 91,953, the bullish phase began.🔍 Currently, price is holding above 106,250 with increasing volume since the 91,953 breakout. Everything looks ready for Bitcoin to begin its main move and enter an extension leg up.🚀 If this happens, price could target 129,000 and even 150,000. RSI will be key for confirmation—if it re-enters Overbought territory and holds above 77.81, higher targets become more likely.🛒 The previous spot-buy triggers I gave were at 87,700 and 91,900. If you entered with those, I recommend holding for now and waiting for signs of a trend change before taking profits.🔔 If you didn’t buy earlier, I can’t provide a new entry just yet—we need to wait for a new structure and trigger to form.🔽 For now, I still see the trend as bullish. A bearish scenario would require a fakeout below 106,250—if price drops and forms a lower high and lower low, the uptrend would be over and a downtrend would begin.⏳ 4-Hour TimeframeAfter breaking 106,250, price rallied to 111,826 and is now pulling back to 106,250.✔️ RSI is holding above its local support at 44.48, and as long as it stays above that level, market momentum remains bullish.📈 You can consider entering a long on a pullback to 106,250. A breakout above 111,826 would be the main trigger for a new long.🔑 Right now, there’s no valid reason to short, so it’s best to wait for a clear bearish structure before considering that.👑 Bitcoin Dominance (BTC.D)📅 Weekly TimeframeAfter several green weekly candles, BTC.D printed a large red candle, pulling back toward the midline of its ascending channel and rejecting from 64.77. However, it’s now moving back up again.💥 With this strong momentum, there’s a good chance BTC.D could break out of the channel. If 64.77 breaks, we could see a push toward 71.04.⚡️ To confirm a bearish reversal in BTC.D, we’d need to see a breakdown below the lower trendline of the channel. That would likely signal the start of an altseason.📅 Daily TimeframeBTC.D has been in an uptrend and even broke above its channel briefly. But after hitting 65.31, it started a correction and dropped to the midline at 62.22.🎲 It quickly bounced from 62.22 and is now moving upward again. Given the bullish structure, it could retest the 65.31 high.📈 If it forms a lower high and breaks below 62.22, that would confirm a trend reversal. A breakout above 65.31 would confirm continuation of the uptrend.⏳ 4-Hour TimeframeBTC.D rallied to 64.31 and is now trying to retest that level. If it breaks above 64.31, the next target is 65.41.🧲 If it forms a lower high and breaks 63.51, we’d get a confirmation that the bullish leg has ended, increasing the chances of a move to 62.17.✔️ Total2 (Altcoin Market Cap Excluding BTC)📅 Weekly TimeframeAfter breaking the curved trendline, Total2 fell to around 816B before bouncing alongside Bitcoin.⚡️ Currently, it’s ranging between 1.15T and 1.26T for the past three weeks.🧩 If price breaks this range, it could rally toward 1.61T, which is the most important supply zone for Total2. A breakout here would likely trigger a strong altcoin rally.🛒 If that breakout coincides with a drop in BTC.D, it would be an excellent spot-buy opportunity for altcoins.📊 If the current rally fails to reach 1.61T and forms a lower high, another drop toward 816B is likely. This time, the chance of breaking that support would be high—confirming a trend reversal.📅 Daily TimeframePrice is stuck in a range between 1.15T and 1.26T.🔼 A breakout from either side would likely lead to a strong move. A break below 1.15T could extend the decline toward 861B, while a break above 1.26T would target 1.62T.⏳ 4-Hour TimeframeSame structure as the daily chart. Long trigger = 1.26T breakout. Short trigger = 1.15T breakdown.🔑 If price forms a higher low and starts moving back up, the likelihood of breaking 1.26T increases. The next target would be 1.33T.✔️ USDT Dominance (USDT.D)📅 Weekly TimeframeUSDT.D is ranging between 3.78 and 6.22.📉 It recently formed a lower high below 6.22 and broke below 5.06, now heading toward 3.78.🤔 If USDT.D drops to 3.78, we could see a major market rally—Bitcoin might move toward 130,000 or 160,000.🚀 If 3.78 breaks, the next support is at 2.53, which would mark the start of a major bull run.📅 Daily TimeframeUSDT.D has hit support at 4.40 and is now approaching a descending trendline that’s been holding since the 6.22 top.📈 If that trendline breaks, the trigger is at 4.70. A breakout here could lead to a move to 5.02.🔽 If price gets rejected again, the short trigger is at 4.40, and the next support is at 3.81.⏳ 4-Hour TimeframeSupport at 4.38 has held, and price is now above 4.50 and approaching the trendline.🎲 If 4.50 fails and price drops to 4.40, a break below 4.40 confirms a bearish continuation.📊 If the trendline breaks, use 4.74 as your confirmation trigger.❌ Disclaimer ❌Trading futures is highly risky and dangerous. If you're not an expert, these triggers may not be suitable for you. You should first learn risk and capital management. You can also use the educational content from this channel.Finally, these triggers reflect my personal opinions on price action, and the market may move completely against this analysis. So, do your own research before opening any position.