تحلیل تکنیکال tradecitypro درباره نماد ATOM در تاریخ ۱۴۰۴/۲/۲۸

👋 Welcome to TradeCity Pro!Today we have a deep research analysis of the ATOM project, and in this report, I’m going to review the project completely. Let’s first go over the project’s fundamentals and then analyze the ATOM chart technically.🌌 What Is Cosmos?Cosmos is a blockchain ecosystem designed to solve major challenges in the blockchain industry, such as low speed, high cost, lack of scalability, and the environmental impact of proof-of-work algorithms like Bitcoin. Cosmos enables cross-chain interaction (interoperability) by connecting independent blockchains through a protocol called Inter-Blockchain Communication (IBC).Cosmos aims to simplify the development of blockchains and decentralized applications (dApps) using a modular framework known as Cosmos SDK, which makes it easier for developers to build blockchain networks.🛠 How Does Cosmos Work?The Cosmos network is composed of three main layers:Application Layer: Handles transaction processing and updates the network stateNetworking Layer: Manages communication between blockchains and their transactionsConsensus Layer: Establishes the final state of the blockchain using a consensus algorithmAt the core of this structure is the Tendermint BFT engine, which enables developers to build custom proof-of-stake (PoS) blockchains without coding from scratch.🔗 Cosmos Hub and ZonesCosmos Hub was the first blockchain created within the Cosmos network and serves as a central hub for other blockchains—called zones.These zones are independent blockchains that can interact through Cosmos Hub.Validators on Cosmos Hub are responsible for maintaining consensus across all zones and are compensated with transaction fees.The native token of the network, ATOM, is used for transaction fees, governance participation, and staking.🎯 Key Features of CosmosInteroperability: IBC allows blockchains to interact directlyHigh Scalability: Blockchains run in parallel without overloading a single chainEase of Blockchain Development: Cosmos SDK lets developers build customized networksDecentralized Governance: Users participate in governance by staking ATOM💡 Interchain Accounts UpgradeIn February 2022, the Interchain Foundation introduced the Interchain Accounts upgrade, allowing blockchains to control accounts on other chains. This enables remote actions like staking, voting, token swapping, and more—without needing full network upgrades.This significantly enhances interoperability and composability within the IBC ecosystem.👥 Founders of CosmosJae KwonZarko MilosevicEthan BuchmanCosmos was initially developed by Tendermint Inc. In 2020, Jae Kwon stepped down as CEO and was replaced by Peng Zhong.🔐 Network SecurityCosmos uses a proof-of-stake consensus algorithm with Byzantine Fault Tolerance (Tendermint BFT):Validators are selected based on staked ATOMMalicious behavior results in slashing (loss of tokens)Rewards are distributed proportionally among validators and their delegators📍 Where Can You Buy ATOM?ATOM is available on most major exchanges, including:BinanceCoinbaseOKXKraken📈 ATOM Token Information📊 Initial Token DistributionIn 2017, Cosmos raised approximately $16 million through public and private sales. The initial token distribution was as follows:Public Fundraise:Share: 44.1%Unlocked: 35.6%Block Rewards:Share: 39.5%Unlocked: 31.7%Strategic Investors:Share: 7.03%Unlocked: Unknown (likely still locked)All in Bits, Inc. (Tendermint):Share: 6.53%Unlocked: 5.26%Interchain Foundation:Share: 6.51%Unlocked: 5.26%Seed Investors:Share: 3.31%Unlocked: 2.67%💰 Supply and InflationInitial supply: 236,198,958 ATOMCurrent supply: ~292 million ATOMMaximum supply: UnlimitedInflation rate: Between 7% and 20%, targeting ~2/3 of total supply to be stakedThe inflation rate is dynamically adjusted to incentivize staking. If the staking ratio drops below the target, inflation increases, and vice versa.🔐 Staking and RewardsUnbonding period: 21 daysAnnual reward rate (APR): Between 14% and 20%, depending on network conditions and staking service providerBy staking ATOM, users help secure the network and earn rewards funded through inflation and transaction fees.🧾 Economic MechanismsBurning: If a governance proposal is vetoed, the deposited tokens are burnedSlashing: Validators engaging in malicious or negligent behavior lose part of their staked tokens🧠 ATOM Tokenomics Models: 1.0 vs 2.0Recent analysis reveals different impacts of tokenomics models on network sustainability:ATOM 1.0 with a 10% inflation cap has shown a 10% improvement in token price and treasury healthATOM 2.0 suffers from stability issues and is often replaced by ATOM 1.0 to maintain network securityCommunity Treasury in ATOM 1.0: May face depletion within ~24 months due to limited token supply🔚 ConclusionCosmos represents a significant advancement in blockchain infrastructure by addressing some of the core limitations of earlier networks—most notably, interoperability, scalability, and developer accessibility. Through its modular architecture, innovative Tendermint consensus engine, and the IBC protocol, Cosmos has laid the foundation for a truly interconnected web of blockchains.The network’s native token, ATOM, not only fuels this ecosystem through staking and governance but also underpins its dynamic economic model. While challenges remain—especially around inflation control and treasury sustainability—Cosmos continues to evolve as a leading force in the multichain future of decentralized technologies.Now that we’ve reviewed the project, let’s move on to the chart for a technical analysis.📅 Weekly TimeframeIn the weekly timeframe, as you can see, the price has formed a support bottom at the 3.812 level and has tested it multiple times.✨ This support is very important because if it’s lost, the price could move down toward the 1.863 bottom.💥 On the other hand, if the price is supported at this level, a bullish cycle could begin. The resistance levels ahead are 6.602 and 10.135.🔍 The 6.602 zone isn’t very strong, and if the price gets rejected there, it signals that sellers are much stronger than buyers.✔️ But if the price breaks through this level and moves upward, the 10.135 zone becomes very significant, because if that level is broken, a Double Bottom pattern will be activated and we can get confirmation of a trend reversal.💫 If this pattern is confirmed, the first target will be 15.704.📊 Right now, it’s better to pay attention to oscillators like volume and RSI. Volume is currently decreasing, and we need to wait for volume confirmation alongside price movement. If the price starts to move with volume convergence, the likelihood of continuation increases.🔔 The RSI oscillator also has a small bullish divergence with price. The reason it’s considered small is that the price made an equal low while the RSI made a higher low. If RSI makes a new higher low again, we may start to see the effect of the divergence in the chart.🎲 A breakout above the 50 level on RSI could also be a confirmation of bullish momentum.📅 Daily TimeframeIn the daily timeframe, we can see more details of the price action.🧩 As observed, the price has formed a range box between 3.989 and 5.380, and within this range, RSI has shown a strong divergence.📈 I think if RSI doesn’t stabilize below the 50 level, and if the price sets a new higher low above 4.588, the chance of breaking the 5.380 resistance on the next test will be much higher.🔑 If 5.380 is broken, the price could rally to 7.514. The next target after that would be 10.135, a level I also emphasized in the weekly timeframe.🔽 For a bearish scenario and short positions, the first trigger is a break below 4.588, which can act as a lead-in to a possible break of 3.989. The main short trigger will be the confirmed break of 3.989.❌ Disclaimer ❌Trading futures is highly risky and dangerous. If you're not an expert, these triggers may not be suitable for you. You should first learn risk and capital management. You can also use the educational content from this channel.Finally, these triggers reflect my personal opinions on price action, and the market may move completely against this analysis. So, do your own research before opening any position.