تحلیل تکنیکال brandlabelden درباره نماد JUP : توصیه به فروش (۱۴۰۳/۱۱/۳)

The Tides Are ShiftingAs we step into 2025, JUP/USDT finds itself teetering on a fine edge. Trading at $0.8152, the pair has retraced by over 55.9% from its all-time high of $1.8496 reached in April 2024​. Yet, the spotlight now turns to emerging bullish signals and a question looms: Are we witnessing a bottom or merely a pause before further declines?The RSI (14) on the daily chart suggests oversold conditions at 32.68, signaling the potential for a rebound​. Meanwhile, the MFI (60) at a low 29.68 reinforces this notion, reflecting dwindling sell-side pressure. However, the story becomes more intriguing when you factor in the interplay of patterns like the "Buy Volumes Takeover," hinting at a potential shift in momentum​​.Yet, this is no time for complacency. With support levels lurking at $0.777 and $0.738, and resistance firmly set at $0.9017, the market faces a critical juncture. The breach of these barriers will likely define the trajectory for days to come.What lies ahead? Will bulls seize control and drive a recovery, or does the market have further to fall? The answer could hold opportunities for both traders seeking short-term volatility and investors eyeing long-term gains.Roadmap of JUP/USDT Patterns: Tracing the MovesThe Journey Begins: "Sell Volumes Max" (2025-01-20 17:00 UTC)The pattern “Sell Volumes Max” kicked things off with a strong bearish vibe, closing at $0.912 after opening at $0.9657. True to its direction, subsequent patterns confirmed the continuation of selling pressure, with the next session plunging further into bearish territory​​. This was the moment where the bears took the reins.A Glimpse of Hope: "VSA Buy Pattern Extra 2nd" (2025-01-20 17:00 UTC)Enter the bullish contender. The “VSA Buy Pattern Extra 2nd” hinted at a recovery, but the subsequent “Sell Volumes Max” overpowered the buy signal, showing that bulls failed to secure dominance. This invalidated the potential reversal from the extra buy setup.Reconfirmation of Bears: "Sell Volumes Max" (2025-01-21 04:00 UTC)Another bearish signal appeared, and this time it delivered. Prices continued their southward journey, reinforcing the bearish momentum as the market respected the trigger points. The consistency here set the stage for further declines, proving this sell pattern’s reliability.The Turnaround Begins: "VSA Buy Pattern Extra 1st" (2025-01-21 04:00 UTC)Finally, the bulls struck back. This time, the pattern held its ground, with the market beginning to pivot upward in the following sessions. The trigger was validated, and the price began building upward momentum, signaling a potential long-term shift.Bullish Revival: "VSA Manipulation Buy Pattern 4th" (2025-01-22 15:00 UTC)The fourth iteration of the “VSA Manipulation Buy” emerged as the hero pattern. After a slow build-up, the market began respecting its bullish bias, breaking past the three-bar low triggers. Prices closed higher, confirming a significant turn in market sentiment​​.Buy Dominance Confirmed: "Buy Volumes Take Over" (2025-01-22 16:00 UTC)To seal the deal, the “Buy Volumes Take Over” reinforced the bullish sentiment, with prices moving decisively upward from this point. The sequence of bullish patterns successfully outperformed previous sell signals, marking this as a pivotal point in the trend’s evolution.What’s Next?Looking at the roadmap, we’ve seen a fascinating interplay between buyers and sellers. Patterns like “Sell Volumes Max” set the tone for a bearish leg, but it’s the precise recovery of buy patterns that brought balance back to the game.Stay tuned, traders. The next chapter could redefine the market’s direction—are you ready to catch the wave?Technical & Price Action Analysis: Key Levels on the RadarHere’s the breakdown of the key zones that every trader should have pinned to their charts. These levels are where the action happens—either as bounce points or barriers. If the price fails to respect these zones, don’t sweat it; they’ll likely flip into resistance or support depending on the move.Support Levels0.777 – The first line of defense. If buyers can’t hold it, expect it to flip and act as a ceiling. 0.738 – A critical level for bulls to step in. If breached, it’s game over for a deeper dip. Resistance Levels0.9017 – The big hurdle. Bulls need to clear this to reclaim control. If not, it turns into a tough ceiling that could cap any rallies. Powerful Support Levels1.371 – The heavyweight champion of supports. If tested, it’s where we’d expect some serious buying pressure. But if it breaks, buckle up for some turbulence. Powerful Resistance Levels0.5783 – A fortress in the bears’ favor. Bulls breaking through here would signal a major shift in momentum. The Golden RuleRespect the levels, but stay nimble. If a support level cracks or a resistance gets shattered, flip your bias—these same levels will play for the other team as the market evolves. As always, let price action be your guide and keep it sharp!Trading Strategies Using Rays: The Power of Fibonacci DynamicsConcept of RaysThe "Rays from the Beginning of Movement" concept redefines precision trading. By leveraging Fibonacci mathematical and geometric principles, we construct rays that act as dynamic guides, predicting where the price might pivot or accelerate. These rays are drawn from the inception of a trend, not traditional extremum points, allowing traders to stay ahead of new trend phases or corrections.Why It WorksMarkets are complex, and predicting exact levels is often a fool’s errand. However, rays provide zones of high probability for price interaction. When paired with moving averages (MA50, MA100, etc.), these zones highlight key areas of potential reversals or continuations. Each ray and corresponding MA serve as stepping stones in the market, marking paths for price action.Price interaction with rays, supported by Volume Spread Analysis (VSA), signals the ideal moment to enter trades—whether it's bouncing off a ray or breaking through it toward the next.Optimistic ScenarioPrice respects the Fibonacci ray levels and moving averages, triggering bullish momentum.Entry: After price interacts with Support 0.777, supported by MA233 at 0.8756, and confirms upward movement. First Target: Resistance 0.9017 – Watch for a breakout or a pause. Second Target: Powerful Resistance 1.371 – Anticipate heightened activity at this zone. Pessimistic ScenarioBearish pressure dominates, breaking supports and interacting with descending rays.Entry: After price breaks below Support 0.738, retests it, and interacts with descending rays, signaling continuation. First Target: Dynamic MA support near 0.675 – Aligns with descending ray zone. Second Target: Powerful Support 0.5783 – A likely point for consolidation or bounce. Proposed Trades Based on Ray InteractionsBullish Bounce from 0.777This level, supported by ascending rays, presents a strong buying opportunity. Wait for confirmation through volume spikes or bullish candle patterns.Breakout Trade Above 0.9017If price interacts with ascending rays and MA50 before breaking this resistance, initiate a long trade targeting 1.371.Bearish Breakdown Below 0.738A clean break of this support, coupled with descending ray interaction, opens a short setup targeting 0.5783.Dynamic MA Trade at 0.8756 (MA233)If the price reverses near this level, supported by rays, it signals a strong continuation setup for trend followers.Key TakeawaysPatience is Key: Always wait for price interaction with rays and MAs before entering.Target the Rays: Movement from one ray to the next is often enough to secure solid profits.Adaptability: Rays automatically adjust to new patterns, keeping you ahead in dynamic markets.Trade smart, let the rays guide you, and ride the trends from zone to zone!Let’s Stay Connected!Hey there, fellow traders! If you’ve made it this far, it means you’re serious about improving your trading game, and I’m here to help. Have questions or thoughts about the analysis? Drop them in the comments below—I read and respond to everything, and your feedback is always appreciated. Let’s keep the conversation going!Liked the roadmap? Don’t forget to hit Boost and save this idea to revisit later. Watching how price respects these rays and levels is crucial for sharpening your trading instincts. Remember: it’s not just about predictions—it’s about understanding key reaction points.By the way, the rays and levels you see here? They’re automatically plotted by my private indicator-strategy. If you’re curious to use it, feel free to send me a private message to discuss access.Need a custom analysis for your favorite asset? Let me know in the comments. I can create a detailed breakdown—either publicly for the community or privately if you prefer to keep your strategy under wraps. Whether it’s crypto, forex, or stocks, these rays work on all markets, and I’d be happy to personalize them for you.Lastly, don’t forget to follow me here on TradingView to stay updated on all my latest ideas. Let’s build a community of smarter, more confident traders—starting with you. 🚀