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Watch the Daily RSI 50 Flip for a Bullish BTC Breakout. BTC is at a technically significant juncture. Recent price action has channeled into a downward-sloping structure, and market sentiment remains cautious. We now find ourselves back at the 110k supply liquidity zone, an important zone for BTC since June. However, there’s one simple momentum signal that could swiftly change the outlook: the daily RSI crossing and holding above 50. Why the RSI 50 Level Matters The RSI’s 50 level acts as a momentum baseline—when the daily RSI is below 50, sellers control the market; above 50, buyers take the lead. This makes the 50 line much more than just a mid-point; it’s a regime switch for trend-following traders. A confirmed daily close above 50 often signals the transition from neutral/bearish to bullish momentum and can precede a wider market move.​ Chart Context & Confirmation BTC price has struggled below the 50 RSI level, reflecting that momentum remains with the bears for now. Flipping the daily RSI above 50, with a candle close, would suggest renewed bullish demand and a shift in market psychology.​​ Further confirmation can be sought using moving averages (such as the 50 or 200 EMA) or volume spikes to validate the trend shift.​ Bullish Scenario Trigger: Daily RSI crossing above 50 with a strong candle close. Tactics: Aggressive traders may enter on the first cross; conservative participants may wait for retest confirmation or a combination with a bullish moving average crossover. Validation: Watch for price volatility or fakeouts—combine the RSI flip with other structural or volume-based confirmations to filter out false signals.​ Risk Management Always pair technical signals with disciplined risk management. Place stops below recent price lows, and look for profit targets around established resistance or if RSI nears overbought levels (>70).​ Summary: BTC’s daily RSI reclaiming the 50 level is a clean, historically reliable momentum flip often preceding renewed upside trends. Monitor this closely—if bulls push RSI above 50 and the move holds, it could mark the start of a new bullish phase. NFA

The Ethereum 1-hour chart displays a textbook triple bottom formation, with clear support established around the 3700–3750 level (see attached chart). This pattern emerged after multiple retests, indicated by green lines marking three distinct lows. The triple bottom suggests sellers may be exhausted and buyers are defending this zone.​ Bullish divergence is also visible in both RSI and MACD indicators. Both momentum oscillators show higher lows, adding strength to the reversal signal. Price action remains inside a descending channel, but the repeated rejection from the green support zone and visible volume buildup increases the probability of a breakout. If momentum continues, a successful rally could challenge overhead resistance at 4200, which coincides with previous range highs and a significant volume profile cluster. The red resistance zone is defined as the primary target area for longs. Should this level be breached, further upside will depend on market conditions and macro sentiment. Trade Plan Entry: Around 3760–3800 upon confirmed bullish reversal or close above channel resistance. Take Profit: Primary target at 4200; partials recommended between 4100–4200. Stop Loss: Below 3700, upon invalidation of the triple bottom. Notes Watch for confirmation and volume spike before entering. A failure to hold the green support invalidates the setup. NFA.

ETH seems to have been rejected at ATHs, with a consequent break of trend diagonal, it's retest and rejection. The chart reflects a bearish divergence between price and momentum indicators, suggesting a possible trend reversal for ETHUSD in the coming months. The RSI shows a lower high while price made a higher high, indicating weakening buying pressure. Similarly, the MACD’s lower high echoes a loss of momentum, confirming the divergence signal.​ The main daily chart displays a breakdown of the multi-month uptrend, as the price violated its rising support line around the end of September 2025. This technical break is reinforced by the outlined Fibonacci retracement levels, providing reference points for potential support and resistance zones. The red projection line anticipates further downside, aligning with the negative momentum seen in RSI and MACD.​ Price targets for the projected short setup are highlighted by the green box between the $2,150 and $2,600 zone, where historical volume and Fibonacci confluence may offer stabilization. A broader target extends as low as $1,650 if bearish momentum intensifies, while resistance on any bounce exists near $3,200 and $3,850.​ Trade Idea Summary: Bias: Bearish, following uptrend break and momentum divergence.​ Entry range: On confirmed retest and rejection of the broken trend line or key resistance ($3,200–$3,850). Profit targets: $2,600, $2,150, $1,650, based on volume profile and Fibonacci levels.​ Stop loss: Daily close above $4,000 or reclaim of trendline. Risk management: Adjust stop as price approaches $2,600 zone. This setup emphasizes momentum decay, technical breakdown, and structured targets, ensuring clarity for both experienced and newer traders. NFA

Examining the daily BTC/USD HTF chart, several indicators suggest a potential market top scenario reminiscent of previous Bitcoin peaks. The chart highlights three core components: RSI, MACD, and price action versus trendlines. Notably, the recurring MACD pattern—with a sequence of five yellow-labeled local peaks and valleys—has appeared near each major high, further strengthened by the visible red arrows marking historical tops. Context: The MACD panel shows a clear recurring pattern—each market peak coincides with closely-clustered MACD bursts and subsequent reversals, labeled (1)-(5), that echo the structure identified at Bitcoin’s previous all-time highs in early 2021 and again in mid-2025. These bursts typically reflect maximum market participation and social/media attention, followed by rapid declines as momentum wanes. RSI values in both instances remain elevated but subside as price fails to break the red resistance lines, indicating weakening bullish strength. The price chart itself displays a series of failed attempts to break above strong horizontal resistance (red lines), directly aligning with previous market highs. Each peak aligns with a spike in market excitement and a corresponding cluster of MACD peaks. The long-term green trendline underscores Bitcoin’s structural uptrend but also frames the risk—should price lose the trendline, historical price action suggests deeper corrections are possible. Trading: Given the repetition of this MACD burst pattern and multi-timeframe rejection at horizontal resistance, there is strong evidence that peak market attention and buying pressure for BTC have likely already occurred for this cycle. Previous instances saw significant corrections following similar technical conditions, suggesting caution is warranted. Short Profit Target: Initial target for shorts could be set near the green trendline support, around $85,000-$90,000, with more aggressive bears aiming for major swing low zones near $65,000. Short Stop Loss: Tight stop loss should be placed just above local highs, at $117,000-$120,000, to guard against unexpected breakouts to new highs. Risk/Reward: Consider a minimum 2:1 ratio, moving stops to break-even if there is rapid price rejection and MACD follows through with sustained bearish momentum. This analysis contextualizes both the technical signals and price action in terms understandable to traders and readers. Historical patterns suggest a strong likelihood that “attention” has peaked, reinforcing the probability that the next major move for BTC will be corrective rather than impulsive to the upside. Always use position sizing and risk management tailored to each portfolio’s size and goals.

Examining the daily BTC/USD HTF chart, several indicators suggest a potential market top scenario reminiscent of previous Bitcoin peaks. The chart highlights three core components: RSI, MACD, and price action versus trendlines. Notably, the recurring MACD pattern—with a sequence of five yellow-labeled local peaks and valleys—has appeared near each major high, further strengthened by the visible red arrows marking historical tops. Context: The MACD panel shows a clear recurring pattern—each market peak coincides with closely-clustered MACD bursts and subsequent reversals, labeled (1)-(5), that echo the structure identified at Bitcoin’s previous all-time highs in early 2021 and again in mid-2025. These bursts typically reflect maximum market participation and social/media attention, followed by rapid declines as momentum wanes. RSI values in both instances remain elevated but subside as price fails to break the red resistance lines, indicating weakening bullish strength. The price chart itself displays a series of failed attempts to break above strong horizontal resistance (red lines), directly aligning with previous market highs. Each peak aligns with a spike in market excitement and a corresponding cluster of MACD peaks. The long-term green trendline underscores Bitcoin’s structural uptrend but also frames the risk—should price lose the trendline, historical price action suggests deeper corrections are possible. Trading: Given the repetition of this MACD burst pattern and multi-timeframe rejection at horizontal resistance, there is strong evidence that peak market attention and buying pressure for BTC have likely already occurred for this cycle. Previous instances saw significant corrections following similar technical conditions, suggesting caution is warranted. Short Profit Target: Initial target for shorts could be set near the green trendline support, around $85,000-$90,000, with more aggressive bears aiming for major swing low zones near $65,000. Short Stop Loss: Tight stop loss should be placed just above local highs, at $117,000-$120,000, to guard against unexpected breakouts to new highs. Risk/Reward: Consider a minimum 2:1 ratio, moving stops to break-even if there is rapid price rejection and MACD follows through with sustained bearish momentum. This analysis contextualizes both the technical signals and price action in terms understandable to traders and readers. Historical patterns suggest a strong likelihood that “attention” has peaked, reinforcing the probability that the next major move for BTC will be corrective rather than impulsive to the upside. Always use position sizing and risk management tailored to each portfolio’s size and goals.