personalityson
@t_personalityson
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personalityson
DOGE to 0.0135 USD
There won't be another alt season until DOGEBTC returns to 20 satoshis (BTCUSD = 69k, DOGEUSD = 0.0135, DOGEBTC = 0.00000020.
personalityson
فروش بزرگ شروع شد: چه کسی پشت ریزش ناگهانی ارزهای دیجیتال است؟
x.com/cryptomanran/status/1991823369453351261 Tl:dr; Sell-off beginning on October 10th was triggered by MSCI questioning whether crypto-heavy companies like MSTR should be classified as funds, which would exclude them from major indices and force large passive investors to sell. The idea is to stop the self-reinforcing loop: MSTR grows by buying more assets, gets added to more indices because of that growth, and then receives even more forced buying from passive funds. Most likely the decision (Jan 15th) will not be market-friendly. Smart money reacted immediately already on Oct 10th.
personalityson
بیتکوین در 5 دسامبر به 150 هزار دلار میرسد؟ رمزگشایی از رابطه پنهان با بورس!
personalityson
Possible conclusion to this bullrun
This bullrun is starting to look like stairs up, elevator down. Fractal analysis, an update to my previous chart.
personalityson
Updated chart: 1050 days of bull, 380 days of bear
Each cycle fits quite neatly into ca. 1050 days of bull market and 375 days of bear. Sell in Sep/Oct 2025. Buy in Nov 2026. An argument can be made that 2021 was a botched bull run. By the time we got to the second peak, Bitcoin was already running out of steam. One single peak would have topped around 100k. I blame SBF/Alameda. People who are trying to extrapolate/do curve fitting through that 2021 peak will underestimate 2025. 2021 should be ignored as an exception.
personalityson
Anti-bart in July for ETH
Wherever it bottoms, this is THE dip to buy. Analogue forecasting with fractals similar to the ones I make for Bitcoin. Let's try this.
personalityson
Fireworks after the summer
Bitcoin to climax in Aug/Sep 2025. The charts are a little skewed because of depreciating dollar. There is no new ATH on the BTCEUR and BTCGBP charts. Don't get fooled by this range-bound move. Let's try this.
personalityson
1050 days of bull, 380 days of bear
Planning for the afterlife already. Each cycle fits quite neatly into ca. 1050 days of bull market and 375 days of bear. The big bounce should happen just before the summer, then consolidate, and the last leg up should come after, and we peak in late October. Let's try this
personalityson
Snot chewing will continue for another couple of months
Just my opinion, but yesterday was a bear rally. I think we touch low 70s in May, then recovery before summer, slow summer, and a final leg up in September.
personalityson
6-9 new months of swing trading
I think 2025 will be a repeat of 2024. Fractal analysis, an update to my previous chart. Let's try this.
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