mytw0cents

hello & happy weekend everyone For coming week trade forecast. From the left side, the daily chart indicates that a breakout has occurred, and the current increase is a temporary pullback. If a rejection happens at the 0.236 daily retracement and the trendline on 1 hour chart successfully pushes the price downward, I see an opportunity to short towards the upcoming Fed interest rate decision. And I am very grateful for the support given, especially in some of the previous trades. I hope that my trade plan can help traders identify the direction to enter the market. good luck all **My trading strategy is not intended to be a signal. It's a process of learning about market structure and sharpening my trading my skills also for my trade journal** Thanks a lot for your support

hi everyone I hope you were able to ride the market based on the previous trade idea. Gold has broken below the daily support level, and the current upward movement is likely just a retracement. Therefore, both my Plan A and Plan B focus on short positions. For a stronger bullish move, the price needs to form a lower low—at least on the H1 timeframe. good luck all **My trading strategy is not intended to be a signal. It's a process of learning about market structure and sharpening my trading my skills also for my trade journal** Thanks a lot for your supportrejection also profit taking level.... now waiting time

Hi all The rejection at the 3202 level, Plan A remains a strong possibility, especially if the trendline also shows signs of resistance. However, if the trendline breaks, then Plan B would be the preferred approach—waiting for a confirmed breakout on the 30-minute timeframe before considering a long position. Keep a close watch on price action and ensure strong confirmation before making any moves. Feel free to share any updates or additional insights. Wishing you success in trading! good luck all **My trading strategy is not intended to be a signal. It's a process of learning about market structure and sharpening my trading my skills also for my trade journal** Thanks a lot for your support

hi again The US500 has shown strength by breaking the resistance at 5483.5 and is now at 5535. If the price reaches 5604.6 and a pullback occurs, targeting a temporary decline at the 50% Fibonacci retracement level is a good strategy. Fibonacci retracement is often used to identify potential support and resistance levels where the price might pause or reverse. The 50% level is one of the commonly watched levels by traders as it often indicates a significant turning point in price movement. good luck all **My trading strategy is not intended to be a signal. It's a process of learning about market structure and sharpening my trading my skills also for my trade journal** Thanks a lot for your support

Hi everyone, here is my gold price movement forecast. My forecast tends to lean towards temporary strength for gold. Therefore, if there is a rejection at the trendline on the H4, I will wait for the price to come back to 3320 before shorting gold... If the price successfully breaks the entry price and makes a new high, I will look for opportunities to long towards 3402. good luck all **My trading strategy is not intended to be a signal. It's a process of learning about market structure and sharpening my trading my skills also for my trade journal** Thanks a lot for your supportAlhamdulillah, yesterday's forecast hit 550 pips"Look for rejection from these two levels, 3240.46 and 3219.69, before entering long on XAUUSD."

hi Fundamental view The **US500 index** dropped due to several key factors affecting the U.S. stock market: 📉 **Tech Stock Decline** – Technology stocks faced heavy pressure, especially after **Nvidia** plunged **6.9%** due to U.S. restrictions on AI chip exports to China. Other stocks like **AMD (-7.3%)** and **Micron Technology (-2.4%)** also fell. 💰 **Federal Reserve Uncertainty** – Remarks from **Fed Chair Jerome Powell** raised concerns in the market. Powell warned that new tariffs could trigger higher inflation and slow economic growth, making investors uncertain about interest rate policies. 🛍️ **Surge in Retail Sales** – Retail sales jumped **1.4%** in March as consumers rushed to buy before new tariffs took effect. This highlights economic uncertainty, pushing investors to sell their stocks. Overall, a mix of trade tensions, uncertain monetary policy, and a tech stock sell-off caused the **US500 index to drop 120.93 points (-2.24%)** on **April 16, 2025**. Technical view Yes, the **bullish symmetrical triangle** pattern is often a strong signal for upward price movement. When the price moves within this pattern, it usually indicates a **tightening volatility** before a **breakout**, which can present a good market entry opportunity. 🔍 **Breakout Confirmation** 1️⃣ Increased trading volume when price breaks above the **upper trendline**. 2️⃣ A closing candle above the **triangle resistance** for a valid signal. 3️⃣ Price targets can be measured using the pattern’s initial height as a projection. 📈 **Potential Price Movement** If the breakout happens, the price could surge toward the next **resistance level**. However, if the breakout fails and price moves below support, the pattern could turn **bearish**. Warren Buffett famously said, “Be greedy when others are fearful.” good luck **My trading strategy is not intended to be a signal. It's a process of learning about market structure and sharpening my trading my skills also for my trade journal** Thanks a lot for your support

hi From the previous chart, the price successfully broke through the upper trendline and started to rise. This could indicate that bullish momentum is taking over. Waiting for the price to break the upper trendline is a solid strategy for confirming bullish momentum. However, there is a potential triple top pattern forming, which could indicate that the price may face rejection at a key resistance level 86056.35 If the triple top pattern becomes more apparent and the price fails to break above resistance, it could signal the start of a bearish move. In this scenario, trading volume and price action around the resistance zone are crucial to observe. If volume declines and selling pressure increases, the price may drop further. good luck **My trading strategy is not intended to be a signal. It's a process of learning about market structure and sharpening my trading my skills also for my trade journal** Thanks a lot for your support

hi all Potential Triple Top Pattern good luck **My trading strategy is not intended to be a signal. It's a process of learning about market structure and sharpening my trading my skills also for my trade journal** Thanks a lot for your supportwaiting trendline breakout

hi all this my trade plan until end of this month good luck **My trading strategy is not intended to be a signal. It's a process of learning about market structure and sharpening my trading my skills also for my trade journal** Thanks a lot for your supportATH

From the previous setup, we can see that the movement of gold made a breakout at the 2728 level before dropping to the take profit level at the 2.618 Fibonacci extension (2651) and then made a correction to the 50-61.8 Fibonacci retracement level (2709). So this week, I am waiting to see if the current price will head towards the 1.618 Fibonacci extension before deciding to continue the buy position. If the price successfully breaks the support level at 2642, it is likely that the price will head towards 2360-2500/90. However, if there is a bounce at the support area, the price might continue to rise towards 2690-2700. **My trading strategy is not intended to be a signal. It's a process of learning about market structure and sharpening my trading my skills also for my trade journal** Thanks a lot for your supportUPDATE