maxty

This analysis speculates on Bitcoin’s trajectory over the next three years (2026-9), identifying the potential market bottom, ATH, and cycle peak.

We are officially in a Bear Market . Ignore all the hype on social media. Preserve capital and wait. Anticipated Bear Bottom (re-entry level): August 2026. The next Bull Phase might begin around November 2026.

Smart money tends to accumulate heavily when sentiment is at extreme fear, signaling belief in a rebound. It is often correct, though not consistently. Much of the pessimism appears to be fully priced in at this point. Thus, a bullish scenario remains technically possible, although broader conditions still align with a bear-market environment. Let's see.tomorrow is crucial: *ISM Manufacturing PMI *Powell Speech

BTC is coiling. Liquidity is tightening. Momentum is fading. The market is soon to decide whether we break higher toward the next resistance leg… or lose key support and trigger a broader correction. Two key dates stand out: November 6 and November 17.bottom: late-November top: early-January

Let’s see if this alternative Bitcoin top plays out — after all, it’s an experimental chart

As of May 17, 2025, Bitcoin ( BTC ) is trading around $103,000, below its ATH of $109,000. Bitcoin might reach slightly above $140,000 in the late-June 2025, marking the top, IMHO. TP1 - $120,000 (%50) TP2 - $130,000 (%25) TP3 - $140,000 (%25)

BTC currently finds itself at the intersection of geopolitical tensions and broader macroeconomic uncertainty. Although traditionally viewed as a hedge against systemic risk, it is presently exhibiting characteristics more aligned with high-risk assets. The FED's forthcoming policy decisions will likely play a pivotal role in determining whether Bitcoin stabilizes or experiences further downward pressure. The chart represents the most optimistic scenario for Bitcoin to dateDecision time: 1-15 May, 2025

In a bear market scenario, Bitcoin might see extended periods of stagnation or decline, which could challenge its perception as a store of value or its role in a diversified investment portfolio. However, bear markets can also present buying opportunities for long-term investors, as they may view the price declines as temporary setbacks in Bitcoin's overall growth trajectory.

Bitcoin’s ultimate support for bulls lies between the two black lines shown above.unless the price closes above 97,000 on the weekly candle ending November 24, bearish momentum is expected to remain dominant, with the majority of indicators continuing to point toward further downside risk

Bitcoin’s price trajectory hinges on critical technical levels. Should Bitcoin fall below the key support zones—referred to here as the 'red lines' and t he bold black line —it risks entering a bear market, potentially signaling the end of the current bull cycle. These levels are pivotal for sustaining the parabolic bull market’s final leg. Following an initial decline from current levels, Bitcoin is projected to drop to approximately $70K, where it may consolidate for a couple of months. For the best-case scenario to unfold, Bitcoin must hold above the critical $70-77K threshold and execute a sharp V-shaped recovery. From there, a robust rally could propel it beyond $100K around August, culminating in the cycle’s peak in September at its highest point. While this outcome appears unlikely in the short term, it remains the most favorable projection, contingent on Bitcoin maintaining strength above the $70K line. Failure to do so could prematurely terminate the bull cycle.revised: