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Downside risks persist for ETHUSD

Ether prices slipped near their 5-month low, as waning risk appetite and macro uncertainty weighed on crypto markets. Selling pressure intensified as forced liquidation in leveraged long positions amplified downside momentum during the selloff. ETF outflows of more than 450 mln USD over the past three days signal fading demand and limited dip-buying interest. ETHUSD extended its decline within the descending channel following a reversal below the channel's upper bound. If ETHUSD breaks below the support at 2700, the price may approach the following support at 2220. Conversely, closing above the channel's upper bound and resistance at 3400 may prompt a further rise toward the following resistance at 3900. By Li Xing Gan, Financial Markets Strategist Consultant to Exness

lixing_gan
XAUUSD 17 Dec Intraday Analysis

Gold prices extended their rally after rebounding from the H4 Fair Value Gap, with additional support from a bullish H1 Fair Value Gap, maintaining the upside bias. Recent data point to a cooling US labor market, with slower wage growth and a rising unemployment rate reinforcing expectations of Fed easing. Alongside steady central-bank buying and firm ETF demand, these factors continue to underpin gold prices. As long as price holds above the H1 bullish Fair Value Gap near 4300, the path remains open for a further push toward the next buy-side liquidity zone. Conversely, closing below the H1 Fair Value Gap may prompt a deeper retracement toward the H4 Fair Value Gap, which is around 4250. By Li Xing Gan, Financial Markets Strategist Consultant to Exness

lixing_gan
بیت کوین در مرز سقوط یا خیزش بزرگ: خط روند نزولی شکسته میشود؟

Bitcoin prices saw muted movements as investors remained cautious over whether the recent pullback reflects a temporary pause or a deeper correction to come. Liquidity conditions have thinned, while subdued ETF flows reflect waning demand. Meanwhile, digital asset treasury companies faced sharp losses amid bitcoin volatility, with some trading below their mNAV of less than 1, indicating that investors valued them less than the crypto on their balance sheet. With onchain signals mixed and ETF flows choppy post-FOMC, bitcoin prices may continue to consolidate in the near-term. From a technical perspective, BTCUSD retreated below the descending trend line and is testing the 88,000 support, where a break below this level may prompt a further decline toward the following support at 82,000. Conversely, closing above the trend line and 94,000 resistance may prompt a further rise toward the psychological resistance at 100,000. By Li Xing Gan, Financial Markets Strategist Consultant to Exness

lixing_gan
Can bitcoin prices (BTCUSD) extend their gains?

Bitcoin prices consolidated as traders balanced expectations of a 0.25% Dec Fed rate cut against concerns that Chair Powell may signal a pause in January 2026, tempering hopes for a strong year-end crypto rally. Momentum remains soft amid subdued ETF inflows, as several major houses have trimmed their year-end and 2026 price targets. Despite continued accumulation from LTHs, recent buyers within the past six months hold a higher cost basis of around 103,000, which increases the likelihood of profit-taking and may limit gains. BTCUSD is approaching the 94,000 resistance. The price remains within the ascending channel while holding above bullish fair value gap, suggesting potential for near-term gains. If BTCUSD closes above the 94,000 resistance, the price may surge toward the channel upper bound. Conversely, retreating below 94,000 may prompt a retest of the support at 89,000. By Li Xing Gan, Financial Markets Strategist Consultant to Exness

lixing_gan
بیت کوین در کما؟ آیا ریکاوری BTCUSD پایدار است؟ تحلیل فاندامنتال و تکنیکال

Fundamental perspective: Bitcoin (BTCUSD) is attempting a cautious rebound, but subdued ETF flows suggest investors remain wary. The Fed injected 38.5 bln USD in liquidity through repo operations, one of the largest boosts since 2020, sparking renewed optimism across risk assets. With quantitative tightening ending, expectations of a looser financial environment are rising, providing a potential tailwind for crypto. Technical perspective: BTCUSD bounced off the 85,000 support and is now testing the ascending channel’s upper bound and resistance at 94,000. A breakout above 94,000 may extend bullish momentum toward the psychological resistance at 100,000. Conversely, a move below 85,000 may trigger further downside toward the subsequent support at 81,000. By Li Xing Gan, Financial Markets Strategist Consultant to Exness

lixing_gan
بیت کوین در آستانه سقوط؟ مقاومت کلیدی و سطوح خطرناک پیش رو!

Bitcoin prices hovered near recent lows as onchain data showed that the Total Supply Held by LTHs has declined by around 390k BTC since Jul's peak, signaling ongoing distribution. ETF outflows have persisted through Nov, with only minor inflows offering a limited offset, underscoring waning demand. Bitcoin prices may remain under pressure as risk appetite softens and investor conviction weakens. From a technical perspective, BTCUSD is testing the upper bound of the descending channel, which coincides with the 106,500 resistance. The Ichimoku cloud is also indicating bearish pressure. If BTCUSD breaks the psychological support level at 100,000, the price may extend its decline toward the 93,000 support level. Conversely, a bullish breakout of the channel may prompt a retest of the resistance at 115,000. By Li Xing Gan, Financial Markets Strategist Consultant to Exness

lixing_gan
بیت کوین در آستانه سقوط؟ سطح حیاتی 100 هزار دلار شکسته میشود؟

Bitcoin prices extended their decline after six consecutive days of ETF outflows totaling over 2 bln USD, signaling persistent selling pressure amid mounting liquidity concerns. The broader retreat in global markets has added to the cautious tone, with investors trimming risk exposure. A massive 4.7. bln USD in bitcoin options contract set to expire today suggests heightened volatility ahead. From a technical perspective, BTCUSD broke out of the ascending channel and is testing the 100000 psychological level. A break below this support may prompt a further decline toward the 88000 support zone. Conversely, closing above 105000 may prompt a retest of the resistance at 112000. By Li Xing Gan, Financial Markets Strategist Consultant to Exness

lixing_gan
بیت کوین زیر ۱۰۰ هزار دلار: آیا کف قیمتی شکل میگیرد یا سقوط ادامه دارد؟

Bitcoin remains under pressure as ETF outflows exceeded bln 1.3 bln USD over the past five days, reflecting weakening institutional demand. The Fear & Greed Index slipped into extreme fear territory, hinting at a potential bottom, though sentiment remains fragile. Despite occasional rebounds, deteriorating risk appetite and lower liquidity suggest selling pressure could persist, keeping near-term bitcoin prices vulnerable. From a technical perspective, BTCUSD broke below the ascending channel and is currently testing the psychological support at 100,000. If BTCUSD breaks below this level, the price may extend its decline toward the following support at 88,000. The price is holding below the Ichimoku Cloud, reinforcing its bearish pressure. Conversely, if BTCUSD closes above the 105000 resistance, the price may approach the following resistance at 112,000. By Li Xing Gan, Financial Markets Strategist Consultant to Exness

lixing_gan
افت بیت کوین زیر ۱۱۳ هزار دلار: آیا سقوط به ۸۸ هزار دلار محتمل است؟

Bitcoin prices slipped below the short-term holders’ cost basis of 113k USD, highlighting waning demand and slowing momentum. Persistent selling by long-term holders intensified last week, with net distribution exceeding 70k BTC, the highest since Aug. Historically, recovery phases have begun only after LTHs shift to sustained accumulation, but current trends show limited signs of this, while ETF outflows add to bearish pressure. As a result, bitcoin prices remain at risk of retracing further toward the 88k USD Active Investors’ Realized Price. From a technical perspective, BTCUSD is testing the support zone at 105000, which aligns with the 78.6% Fibonacci Retracement. Closing below this level may prompt a decline toward the psychological support at 100000, with a break below this level potentially prompting further weakness toward the 88000 support zone. Conversely, closing above the 112000 resistance may prompt a retest of the following resistance at 116000. By Li Xing Gan, Financial Markets Strategist Consultant to Exness

lixing_gan
سودهای اپل (AAPL)؛ موتور محرک رکوردشکنی جدید یا توقف در مرز 4 تریلیون دلار؟

Apple (AAPL) extended gains to a record high, briefly pushing its market capitalization past the USD 4 trillion mark as strong iPhone 17 demand and a broad tech rally buoyed sentiment. Early data from Counterpoint Research showed iPhone 17 sales outpacing the previous generation by 14% in the first 10 days across the US and China, underscoring resilient consumer demand despite higher price points. However, signs of moderating lead times and delayed AI feature rollouts may temper momentum ahead of Thursday’s earnings, where investors will focus on iPhone sustainability and progress in Apple’s AI strategy. From a technical perspective, AAPL is approaching the resistance at 127.2% Fibonacci Extension at 275. A break above this level may prompt a further rise toward the 161.8% Fibonacci Extension at 290. Conversely, a retracement may prompt a retest of the support at 245. By Li Xing Gan, Financial Markets Strategist Consultant to Exness
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