
ehsan_chegeni
@t_ehsan_chegeni
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ehsan_chegeni

Over the past 15 years, the cryptocurrency market has repeatedly witnessed exponential price surges in Bitcoin followed by altcoins—movements that sparked excitement and drew massive amounts of liquidity into the space. However, the cycle that began in 2024 and will end in about 20 days has failed to meet the expectations of market participants. This time, altcoins were no longer able to attract capital as they once did, and more than 70% of enthusiasts have permanently turned away from the space. A significant part of this downturn stems from the actions and policies of major exchanges such as Binance, FTX, and others. Altcoins have not only failed to gain value compared to Bitcoin’s 2023 prices but have also suffered sharp declines, with their downward trend still ongoing. Even Ethereum was unable to surpass its historic peak from 2021. The market is now entering a dangerous slope for Bitcoin price depreciation, where predictions suggest that altcoins like **Dogecoin** could fall to $0.05, **Ethereum** to $1,100, **Solana** to $80, and **Toncoin** to $0.60. This can be regarded as the worst experience in crypto history—not only for investors who will lose substantial portions of their capital but also for exchanges themselves, which, despite short‑term gains, will ultimately rank among the long‑term losers. Following this, the rate of new user acquisition in crypto will likely drop to one‑tenth of previous years, leaving the industry widely viewed as a **major scam** in the eyes of the public.

ehsan_chegeni

Right now, TON Coin still has a way to go before it really hits mass adoption. It’s only just been listed in the U.S. and is still in the early days of building its user base. That said, this project isn’t just good — it’s better than anything else out there, even Solana, when it comes to vision, tech, and execution. Thanks to heavy investment in NFT infrastructure, TON has already climbed to the #1–#2 spot globally in NFT trading volume and even rolled out NFT 2, pushing the whole space forward. The blockchain’s development speed is unlike anything you’ve seen — it’s moving just like Telegram did in its early days. Whatever you can imagine, they’re already building it on TON. Something that might take three years to launch on Solana or Ethereum could be developed and rolled out on TON in under a year. For now, the team isn’t chasing short‑term price spikes — they’re laser‑focused on building an unshakable foundation. And when this thing reaches maturity, TON has a very real shot at becoming the second‑largest blockchain in the world.

ehsan_chegeni

About 20 days are left before we can tell where altcoins are really headed. Honestly, if Dogecoin can’t reclaim the $0.30 range within these next 20 days, it pretty much means the altseason we were all waiting for just never happened — and I’m really upset about that. Over the past two weeks, I sold off a big chunk of my altcoins — including Ethereum, Toncoin, and even Dogecoin — because gold is in a much better position right now. For the first time ever, I’m completely disappointed in this market. This isn’t what any of us were expecting… they’ve basically destroyed the crypto cycle for good.

ehsan_chegeni


ehsan_chegeni

Bitcoin's status has become volatile following Trump's continuous tweets, leading to large price gaps. The current trend is promising, but I hope Trump refrains from tweeting further. Bitcoin will continue to grow, with or without Trump's tweets. What truly matters is decentralization, ensuring it is not dependent on any single country or individual.

ehsan_chegeni


ehsan_chegeni

Bitcoin cap is filling against gold This trend will continue for the next few days and then the price will rebound

ehsan_chegeni

If we look more closely, the targets seen in the image are defined for cryptocurrency whales, they will bring a huge amount of liquidity into the market in these sectors. They have a strong interest in playing with our minds, but this time they cannot do it. They plan to reach the prices shown in the image within 3 weeks, play in the range of 75-85 for a month, and then increase the price. It is quite clear to me that the market will continue like this for at least the next 2 months.

ehsan_chegeni

I have always believed in Bitcoin's bullish market, but the current state of Bitcoin and altcoin charts is disastrous. For the first time during a bull run, the price growth is moving very slowly, and altcoins are unable to rise. It seems that in the coming days, we might witness another drop, which could lead to Dogecoin experiencing a correction of around 30%, and other altcoins could also face similar declines to varying degrees. The state of Bitcoin dominance is not promising at all, and it’s likely to return to the +60 range. Altseason might happen in about six months, but a market crash could occur during Trump’s inauguration ceremony. Perhaps Trump could be assassinated or make remarks that trigger this crash (these are all speculations).

ehsan_chegeni

Unfortunately, despite its high potential and growing user base, Toncoin has failed to achieve significant growth over the past six months. Most Toncoin users are of Asian descent, have low per capita income, and were primarily attracted to it due to Telegram's airdrops. They do not contribute liquidity to the ecosystem and are merely seeking profits from the airdrops. If you ask them whether they have invested in Toncoin, most would say, "No!" In the upcoming bull run, Toncoin’s price could increase by a maximum of 300-400%. Meanwhile, Dogecoin, with a significantly higher market cap, could easily deliver returns of 800-1500%. I hope Pavel Durov changes his strategies and is released from detention soon, bringing greater growth opportunities for Toncoin.
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