citsvar

Typical liquidity cycle is 5-6 years long (65m). Buy bitcoin before an upswing (or end of QT) and sell when liquidity tightens. Macro is the best way to analyze markets?Adjust your stakes based on position of the cycle. Markets can have risk-on, risk-off episodes. Where Bitcoin is a risk-on asset.Use 10Y-02Y for guidance.ndx (log) using 10Y-02Ystocks move based on QE/QT, economic growth. Cant ignore the liquidity cycle?

It's obviously easy looking backwards. Using 3mos trend and longterm cycles, customized macd. Lowest risk with best reward.It's probably what the smart money is using anyway.Trend is 45 degrees, so you dont need re-tests.hindsight appl. super cycle.

During public euphoria, bitcoin needs a sustainable high to maintain it's trend.

Markets move in cycles and based on game theory. Everyone is risk averse and everyone jumps in when it appears "risk free". This is how prices would be bid up.Stocks work like auction. During Bull runs -> Highest payer - bids up the prices and the averages increase.During Bears -> it's a fire sale. BUYER has an upper hand and takes the lower prices available.It's human nature... Game theory states you buy whilst you can else you will be left behind. during "ATH" prices fly because prices are relative. Where the driver is the credit condition cycle (loose is good) and ofcourse ETFs.***If everyone wants and thinks 150k price. then there do be no or less buyers above 70k.; Majority of people put their PT at a logical level and most likely it's the same for everyone (ie the 150k). A smart trader sells their asset at 70-80% ish value based on resistance level? A level above trader knows game theory - and knows the leveling. If everyone knows about the 70% level, then they level to 50% price. 30% price, etc. If you follow price action during cycles, that's how it worked. High flying stock returns decrease, with volatility increasing.

pretty much self explanatory? this is the trend... see if it lasts. Halving good for btc. summers are good for btc. macro beneficiary Bollinger bangs are only reason that stops it from rallying?Comment: See BTC/SPY

A scenario where it gets to 100k by end of year. Just saving this up there)) needs to be led by the important moving averages (50ma, 200ma...). lets go!Comment: ---> Halving end of April ---> summers usually bullish for tech (lack of news) ---> presidential election volatility in autumn. and bullish post November. trade based on log graph.

bullish 123456778990890tooshortmessagehuhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhsupply is selling off (wyckoff 101)bull flag. maybe early 2022?

bull trap in action? buy lows. at the end it all comes down to QQQs which wont rally forever.people focus on horizontal view, it's gonna trade in an upward channel i think. Golden cross still in tact... but yea.

bulllliiiiiiiiiishhh?.........................................................

BTC will go to 60-100K, following upcoming rally in stocks (cyclicals), as yields rise. Expect volatility in september? and bullish till end of year. The "craze" mindset will be back. save this post.Catalyst is 200dma which will work as a trailing support.anything bellow the 40k level is a buying opportunity with adequate risk management. Think the 40k was a short squeeze.boom.