ceciliones

🔸Introduction:In financial markets in general—and the crypto market in particular—understanding market liquidity and imbalance zones is essential for building successful trading strategies. One of the most prominent modern price analysis concepts, especially within the Smart Money Concepts (SMC) framework, is the Fair Value Gap (FVG). This refers to a price imbalance between buyers and sellers.🔸What is the Fair Value Gap (FVG)?A Fair Value Gap is an area on the price chart that shows an imbalance between supply and demand. It occurs when the price moves rapidly in one direction without being fairly traded within a balanced price range. This usually happens due to the entry of large players or “smart money,” creating a gap between three consecutive candlesticks on the chart.Classic Bullish FVG Setup:Candle 1: A bearish or neutral candle.Candle 2: A strong bullish candle (usually large).Candle 3: A bullish or neutral candle.🔸Where is the Gap?The gap lies between the high of candle 1 and the low of candle 3.If candle 3 does not touch the high of candle 1, an unfilled price gap (FVG) is present.🔸How is FVG Used in Market Analysis?Traders use Fair Value Gaps as potential areas for:Entering trades when the price returns to retest the gap.Identifying zones of institutional interest.Setting potential targets for price movement.🔸Common Scenario:If a strong bullish candle creates a Fair Value Gap, the price often returns later to retest that gap before continuing its upward movement.The gap can be considered "delayed demand" or "delayed supply".🔸🔸Types of FVG:🔸🔸🔸Bullish FVG:Indicates strong buying pressure.The price is expected to return to the gap, then bounce upwards.🔸Bearish FVG:Indicates strong selling pressure.The price is expected to return to the gap, then continue downward.🔸Relationship Between FVG and Liquidity:Fair Value Gaps are often linked to untapped liquidity zones, where buy or sell orders have not yet been fulfilled. When the price returns to these areas:Institutional orders are activated.The price is pushed again in the primary direction.🔸How to Trade Using FVG (Simple Entry Plan):Steps:Identify the overall trend (bullish or bearish).Observe the formation of an FVG in the same direction.Wait for the price to return and test the gap.Look for entry confirmation (like a reversal candle or a supporting indicator).Set your stop loss below or above the gap.Take profit at a previous structure level or the next FVG.🔸🔸Real-World Examples (Simplified):🔸🔸🔸Bullish Example:A strong bullish candle appears on BTC/USD.A gap forms between $74K and $80K.The price rises to $108K, then returns to 74K$ (inside the gap).From there, it begins to rise again.🔸Important Tips When Using FVG:Don’t rely on FVGs alone—combine them with:-Market Structure.-Support and resistance zones.-Confirmation indicators like RSI or Volume Profile.-Best used on higher timeframes (15m, 1H, 4H, Daily).-The gap can be filled the same day or after days/weeks.🔸ConclusionThe Fair Value Gap is a powerful analytical tool used to identify zones of institutional interest. It plays a key role in the toolset of professional traders who follow smart money principles. By mastering this concept, traders can improve entry and exit timing, reduce risk, and increase their chances of success.Best regards Ceciliones🎯

Over the past 3 years, I’ve noticed that Bitcoin has been moving in a consistently bullish pattern, as shown on the chart.After breaking out of the red ellipse shape, Bitcoin tends to rally strongly—and that’s usually the signal for altcoins to follow. We’ve now broken out of this ellipse, and it looks like the real bullish move is just beginning.In this chart, I’ve tried to illustrate both the potential upside ahead of us and the estimated timeframe in which this move could unfold.I’ve divided the chart into segments from August 2022 to April 2025.🔸The red numbers 1, 2, 3, 4 indicate periods of consolidation.🔸The blue numbers 1, 2, 3, 4 represent strong Bitcoin and altcoin rallies that follow the breakouts.While the exact percentage gains and time durations may vary, if we take the average, we can estimate the upcoming move to be around 120%, taking Bitcoin to around $165K.Similarly, the average time duration for each bullish move has been approximately 120 days.[b]Welcome to the bull market.Best Regards Ceciliones🎯

- On the 3-day chart, XRP displays a breakout from the bullish pennant pattern, with a target implying nearly 200% upside from the breakout point — which aligns perfectly with the Fibonacci level 2.- Additionally, price has broken above the neckline of the inverse Head and Shoulders pattern, further confirming bullish momentum.-From an Elliott Wave perspective, the first four waves of the impulse sequence are complete, and we are now likely entering the fifth and final wave, which is estimated to be shorter than Wave 3. When applying this projection, Wave 5 also ends near the Fibonacci level 2.Everything on the chart is aligned with impressive precision — there's no room for luck or coincidence here.The Fibonacci 2 level is around $7. Try to accumulate XRP now, as no major corrections are expected in the coming days.Best Regards Ceciliones🎯Is the chart hacked?… Just look at how precisely the wick of the candle reacted and bounced right off the upper boundary of the bullish pennant pattern.On the 3-day timeframe, you'll see the coin has broken out of a falling wedge pattern and completed a successful retest.It's just a matter of time before you see XRP trading above $5.

On the weekly timeframe, the downward trendline has been broken and successfully retested.A strong move upward is just a matter of time… Notice how it bounces hard every time it touches the support zone marked by the grey rectangle — this has happened three times in a row.Also, FIL has been in an accumulation phase for around 1,092 days — that’s nearly 3 years.$28 is a target I'm fully confident in for this coin.Best Regards Cecilion🎯

A nice bounce occurred as soon as it touched the legendary support — the primary trendline and the grey zone.Just look at the price behavior every time it approaches this rectangle.You'll notice that, based on the Elliott Wave Impulse, Wave 4 has likely completed, and we’re now entering the final impulsive leg — "Wave 5"$100 is a very modest target in the long term.Best regards Ceciliones 🎯

The upcoming wave will be directed toward all Ethereum-based tokens, with ARB being one of the most significant.On the 3-day timeframe, you’ll notice it has broken the downward trendline with a giant bullish candle, signaling a trend reversal from bearish to bullish.It has also formed an inverse Head & Shoulders pattern, a strong bullish signal.While the long-term targets for this token are insane, I’ll settle for a $2 target—for now.Best regards Ceciliones 🎯

Ethereum has dropped 65% since December, hitting its bottom in April —that’s 5 full months in a bear market with a massive drawdown, especially for the second-largest crypto by market cap.Today, it made a strong bounce, rallying over 50% from the grey support zone,confirming that the bottom was likely in.Looking at the RSI, Ethereum has entered the oversold zone only 3 times in the last 5 years —which is another strong indication that a bottom has been reached.So what can we expect from ETH in the coming days?- Ethereum is still close to the bottom, and RSI conditions remain healthy.- Historically, the current RSI level has only occurred three times in five years.Based on this:- This bounce is likely just the beginning of a much bigger move. ETH still has a lot of upside potential.- The next key resistance is around $2,500, which lines up with both the 200 EMA and the 0.618 Fibonacci level — keep an eye on that.- Long-term, Ethereum is on track for a new all-time high (ATH).

All tokens built on the Ethereum network pumped yesterday as ETH moved up by just 4%, and SONIC (S) stood out as the top performer among them, surging by around 22%.Currently, the coin has formed a symmetrical triangle pattern, which has been broken to the upside with a massive green candle. It's now retesting the 0.382 Fibonacci level — a key zone to watch for continuation.This is a massive investment opportunity to buy the token at around $0.55 only.The long-term targets for S in 2026 are insane — the most conservative target for now is $1.20.Best regards Cecilion🎯

APT has reached its strongest support level ever.You’ll notice that price always tends to bounce from this exact zone.This coin hasn’t moved yet, and its long-term targets are insane — definitely worth having a portion of it in your portfolioBest regards Cecilion🎯

3D chart shows a Bullush exaggerated Divergence on RSI indicator.Bullish Exaggerated Divergence happen whenPrice: Forms a double bottom (two equal lows).RSI: The second low is higher than the first.Implication: Momentum is picking up despite flat price, hinting at a possible upward reversal.It's called exaggerated because price looks stable (same lows), but RSI reveals a hidden shift in momentum.There’s also a breakout from a falling wedge pattern and a perfect break above the 50 EMA with a massive green candle.We are now at the beginning of Bitcoin’s true bullish rally.Best regards Ceciliones🎯