bit_general

MM plans. A few historic lynch-pins. Distribution , which will be attributed to chinese new year, pump into halving , dump after as final shakeout. bull market proper begins. Cynical i know. lets see.

Furthering the weekly 2023-2026 plan Lower timeframe looking for a 2023-2024 daily plan. Swing or compound - red pill(line) or blue pill. Watch the moving averages rhyme with trends structure (or loss of) on PA will play out to give more clues - but ultimately, chase the liquidity zones - its what the whales do.Daily blue pill hit. I'd punt at a dive down now, into mid-march, then lift into halving narrative.

BTC repeating cycles; Using historic cycle data , repeating cycle for supply and demand along with subtle gain and degradations. Already tagged one target (previously predicted in august 2022) Weekly macro targets - it awaits to be seen if we tag the 2022/3 DMA area (First red circle) prior-to or post 2024 halving. We should see a liquidity grab $19-21k area at some point (next green circle). A small pump into pre-may 2024 halving, fast drop after and then pretty much up - only bull run into late 2025 top - signalled by divergence. i think at this rate, the 2026 drawdown will be fast, and brutal. SPOT + CHILL or SWING + COMPOUND Both will in out eventually, just a question of % gains.Weekly target hit, system says down - there is a chance we see a bulltrap in the next three weeks though, by way of weekly bearih divergence - beware. if not, next target shown. now 2/2. Amazing how all the PA narrative has been attuned to ETF. Do not follow influencers - only the chart.

Cobra Kai? Weakness showing on HTF now, losing Key MA. I'm still macro bullish, but how many would be prepared for a dive down into some lower swings/supports? Potential is there if we dont start reclaiming some LTF moving averages and soon. Wouldnt be surprised to see a small push up, catch some late longs out and drive them down for squeeze - seeing alot of narrative behind ETF , which if delayed will only drive the impatient away. Liquidity below, how could see many puke positions in the very late $teens only to see full reversal for a deviation play. time will be my only judge. reclaim of Daily MA for me to re-assess my bias.

ETH losing some LTF MA, not showing much volume on dips potential for breaskdown to lower support/liquidity. TP1 @ £1778. Tight SL as if we see a reclaim of MAs, likely to see a push up to nearest HTF resistance.lately found front running a level by $1-2 achieves more fills. TP1 hit, looking for a bounce now, potentially back to MA but volume not giving loads of confidence. If this level is lost, potential T2 is daily liquidity at $1750.TP2 HIT. More volume so look for mean reversion - but, Any further weakness and we could see $1620 for TP3TP3 All targets hit. complete lack of engagement on this trade - am i doing something wrong??

Trustswap, long accumulation and reclaiming some key Moving Average' Increasing volume - price constricting - Long, tight SL TP1 @ 15ctight SL FTW. volume collapsed on the breakout. keeping an eye on this still though, the potential is still there.

LTF Redistributio?n, or Accumulation? - Volume and reaction to horizontal line will give us the answer. Watching now very closely as IMO this could give us clues to a more Macro PA going forward.decision time 1; push to a local HH and mark-up - target 29-30k however, current low volume would normally mean a failed drive (cant trust a low volume weekend PA) 2; failure and redistribution confirmed, markdown , targeting 25-25.5kCould just keep on pumping, but ideally would like a test of blue horizontal now.possibly a hard test of previous resistance turned support. reclaim and off it goes, or bearish test and we go alot lower. position dependant on test (if it happens at all - LTF)

Deviation>? Reclaim 27400 , deviation and confirmation for long. A Bearish retest on this SR, confirmation to go short. Let the PA lead the decision - More than likely find out direction early into weekly open IMO

Bitcoin - Short Watching Volume, its still too high & so remain in shorts. Look to cut & enter a long after a low volume chop zone - my targets are marked out in green. No need to force trades, price action will show the way. Invalidation at $28400

Following on from the weekly chart ; The Daily history shows that on average the (bear) downtrend cycle price will reaches the previous cycles 89MA top before any significant pullback.The daily targets are slightly different as , along with 2013 , the 2021 BTC 89MA has two levels - both could be seen as targets for 2023. This would see a circa 55k upper level, or a lower of $42500.