austunutsua

Updating my projections that I about 1 year ago. Here is my new speculative outlook on the BTC price over the remainder of 2025

[Repeat but Zoomed In More] I predict we see ~100% increase from prior all time high (ATH) and the Bitcoin Pi Cycle Top sometime in early 2025 (March or April-ish). This puts bitcoin at roughly $140,000 with the better case scenario being 158k. I would like to note that bitcoin has continuously surprised me over the years. I have drawn some hypothetical paths leading towards the next profit zone. The blue is the best case scenario, yellow follows previous structure, and red what I would consider conservative. - Previous Cycle Structures: Each BTC market cycle, subsequent peaks from prior ATH have topped out two rainbow regression bands lower than the previous cycle. This pattern has formed over the past 3 major tops in Dec 2013, Dec 2017, and Nov 2021 - Best Case Scenario: -1.618 Fib Retracement is @ ~$158,000 - Natural Scenario: -0.618 Fib Retracement is @ ~$158,000 The Fibonacci Retracements taken from prior cycle low to breakout past prior ATH. This approximately resembles what the prior cycles did and where they saw consolidation. I'm also taking the cyclical nature of BTC in the beginning life-cycle as halvings affect the supply and hash rates. We have typically seen the peak occur between 150-300 days after breakout. Furthermore, if you average out the month over month ROI since August 2010, we find that April and November have historically seen the best returns at an average of 40% for lower bound and 110% as upper bound. I also took into consideration the low volume we have seen compared to prior peaks. Finally, with the change in administration, I cannot ignore the media and social attention crypto will see in as we head into 2025 and more. ~ hope i'm right ~

I predict we see ~100% increase from prior all time high (ATH) and the Bitcoin Pi Cycle Top sometime in early 2025 (March or April-ish). This puts bitcoin at roughly $140,000 with the better case scenario being $158k. I would like to note that bitcoin has continuously surprised me over the years. I have drawn some hypothetical paths leading towards the next profit zone. The blue is the best case scenario, yellow follows previous structure, and red what I would consider conservative. - Previous Cycle Structures : Each BTC market cycle, subsequent peaks from prior ATH have topped out two rainbow regression bands lower than the previous cycle. This pattern has formed over the past 3 major tops in Dec 2013, Dec 2017, and Nov 2021 - Best Case Scenario : -1.618 Fib Retracement is @ ~$158,000 - Natural Scenario : -0.618 Fib Retracement is @ ~$158,000 The Fibonacci Retracements taken from prior cycle low to breakout past prior ATH. This approximately resembles what the prior cycles did and where they saw consolidation. I'm also taking the cyclical nature of BTC in the beginning life-cycle as halvings affect the supply and hash rates. We have typically seen the peak occur between 150-300 days after breakout . Furthermore, if you average out the month over month ROI since August 2010, we find that April and November have historically seen the best returns at an average of 40% for lower bound and 110% as upper bound. I also took into consideration the low volume we have seen compared to prior peaks. Finally, with the change in administration, I cannot ignore the media and social attention crypto will see in as we head into 2025 and more. ~ hope i'm right ~

Here is my BTC Chart that I trade off of. I like to predict out price projections for the upcoming bull runs. The parallel lines are the rainbow regression lines. You will also find a true regression line show as a green shadow at the bottom and a red shadow at the top which is fit "bubble" data. Finally, you will see a "Pie Cycle Top" and "Halving Cycle Profit" indicators. Since there has been a little over a month since the halving occurred, I would now like to publish my projections. As for my prediction, I think that BTC can surpass the 100K mark with a high of 120K and a low of 80K. The blue flag indicates where I think we might see the next pie cycle top which falls in the "take profit" range based on the previous halving. The YELLOW line going into late 2024 and early 2025 is my baseline for what I think Bitcoin might do from a price perspective. The BLUE line is best, best case scenario topping out under 200K. (For the record, I do not think BTC will reach these levels this next run, but with it's volatility, I cannot leave that the possibility out.) The RED line is the on the conservative and low end of price projects in a scenario where BTC does not reach the 100K level topping out in the low 90s.

This is the chart I use to trade my ETH. I tend to project out what I think ETH is capable of achieving. I do this to track my projects versus actuals. The parallel lines on the chart are approximations of the rainbow regression lines. I think that ETH could reach between 10-15K by early 2025 assuming the BTC bull run is getting started.