
Xanrox
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Xanrox

In this very detailed and unique analysis, we will look at the most important Bitcoin fundamental analysis of halving cycles. I predict Bitcoin will crash to 49k in 2026, so if you are buying now for the long term as an investment (buy and hold), you can probably wait for a better price! We can statistically predict Bitcoin moves with this simple chart because it's always right and never wrong. What can we say with certainty?Statistically:Bitcoin's bull markets last for 742 to 1065 daysBitcoin's bear markets last for 364 to 413 daysCorrection is every time weaker, but still hugeStatistically, Bitcoin crashes every 4 years by 86% to 77%. The market cap is getting bigger as institutions step in, so this time I expect a weaker crash (around 65%). Still, it's a huge crash, and many investors will sell at a loss as usual. Knowledge of the Bitcoin cycles will save you a lot of money.We are in the final stage of the bullish cycle, and this cycle should end between September and December 2025. When you draw a trendline on the linear monthly chart, you will get a target of around 125,000 USD. This is a good level to sell Bitcoin. I would never listen to moon boys that are screaming that Bitcoin will never go down and Bitcoin will reach 500k or 1M in the next months. That's due to an already big market cap, pretty much impossible. After we finish this bull cycle, we can expect a massive crash to 49k in 2026. For people who are prepared, this may be an incredible investment opportunity. Also, you can short Bitcoin at the top and ride the investment in the opposite direction, plus you will make money on funding fees every 8 hours.Bitcoin halving is coded to occur once every 210,000 blocks, or roughly every four years, and will continue in this fashion until the final supply of 21 million BTC is reached. It is assumed that the last BTC will be mined in 2140. After that, transaction fees are supposed to be the only source of block rewards for miners.Write a comment with your altcoin + hit the like button, and I will make an analysis for you in response. Trading is not hard if you have a good coach! It is not a trade setup, as there is no stop-loss or profit target. I share my trades privately. Thank you, and I wish you successful trades!Profit target around 125k, later this year!If you want to wait for a better price, you can! In the next analysis, I will show you when Bitcoin can go before continuing to 125k! What is the best price to buy bitcoin? Wait for a new analysis.

Xanrox

During summer, Bitcoin is usually very boring. You probably have heard of the sentence "Sell in May and go away." We can expect Bitcoin to go pretty much sideways in the next months, which creates a perfect environment for altcoins. But in the short term, Bitcoin is bullish and we are going to hit a new all-time high soon. Let's look at the latest bitcoin price action.On the chart we can see that Bitcoin has been moving in the ascending channel in the recent weeks, and at the end we see a symmetrical triangle. Symmetrical triangles from the Elliott Wave perspective are usually marked as wave 4 preceding the last wave to the upside, followed by a crash. Usually triangles are very tricky, and market makers use them to trap retail traders. This is exactly what is going on here; we can clearly see trapped traders above the symmetrical triangle at this moment. Their stop loss is most likely below the triangle! This is where the price can go before continuing higher.100k is a strong psychological support, and I believe the bulls will hold it. I am currently bullish on Bitcoin and expect a new all-time high in the near future! Altcoins should start exploding in the next weeks! Now tell me in the comment section, do you think an alt season is ready?Write a comment with your altcoin + hit the like button, and I will make an analysis for you in response. Trading is not hard if you have a good coach! It is not a trade setup, as there is no stop-loss or profit target. I share my trades privately. Thank you, and I wish you successful trades!Bitcoin is very strong, so we may not see a retest of the 100k level.Bitcoin is pumping and hit our first profit target.

Xanrox

Bitcoin is in the final stage of the bullish cycle, and we want to look for the best price to sell and prepare for the 2025/2026 bear market! The best price to sell Bitcoin is at the 1.618 FIB extension or at the main long-term 2017-2021-2025 trendline. This is exactly at 122,069, as we can see on the chart.Buying Bitcoin at the tipity top of a bullish cycle is not the best idea, because we will see 60,000 USD per bitcoin in 2026! From the Elliott Wave perspective, there is probably only 1 high-probability scenario, and it's this ending diagonal pattern (rising wedge). I think we will see a final 2 waves on Bitcoin to form an ending diagonal wedge pattern (1-2-3-4-5). Bitcoin is in wave 3.I am also bullish because of the 50-week moving average. Historically, Bitcoin reacted to this MA very precisely. I always recommend using simple moving averages with 20, 50, 100, and 200 periods because this is what the big players are using as well. These MAs are very popular among giant institutions, banks, and investors.Write a comment with your altcoin + hit the like button, and I will make an analysis for you in response. Trading is not hard if you have a good coach! It is not a trade setup, as there is no stop-loss or profit target. I share my trades privately. Thank you, and I wish you successful trades!I think the bull market will end between September and December 2025!If you want to buy it, wait for the wave 4 pullback.

Xanrox

This is probably the last time we see Bitcoin above 94,000 USDT! In the next months we can expect prices below 70k and 60k. Why? It's because of a huge bear market that started in February 2025 with Donald Trump's election. Crypto technology is not new. It was brought to planet Earth from outside. This technology is already integrated on thousands of different planets in the galaxy. Mostly to convert a human to a cyborg with Elon Musk's AI Neuralink in our brain. AI will insert artificial thoughts to your mind, will tell you what to do, what to eat, who to be friends with, etc... If you don't want this, stop using AI. (https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Os6VI0jqZBk)On the 4H chart, Bitcoin is breaking down! The price is now below 2 major trendlines and 1 ascending channel. It seems like the minor uptrend from 74k to 97k definitely ended, and we are going to go only down. From the Elliott wave perspective, this minor uptrend looks corrective rather than impulsive. Even though there are no overlaps between major waves, the minor waves themselves look corrective. We have 3 major supports on the way down that you can use as your profit targets (see the chart).Write a comment with your altcoin + hit the like button, and I will make an analysis for you in response. Trading is not hard if you have a good coach! It is not a trade setup, as there is no stop-loss or profit target. I share my trades privately. Thank you, and I wish you successful trades!Time to enter a short position. I believe bitcoin will not go above 100K.

Xanrox

As long as Bitcoin is below the 0.618 FIB retracement and below the POC on the volume profile, Bitcoin is in a bear market, and we have a great opportunity to sell not only Bitcoin but also altcoins in general. Have you ever heard of the sentence - "Sell in May, go away?" That's exactly what you should do on Bitcoin if we take historical data into consideration. May is still a pretty good month for Bitcoin, but not in the case of bear markets. What we can see in the picture is that Bitcoin is extremely weak during the summer and very bearish in September! So you want to sell in May and buy in October.From a technical point of view, the current price of Bitcoin is below the 0.618 FIB retracement of the previous February/March drop. A very strong resistance is ahead, so selling into this cloud may be very wise. Of course you want to sell at resistance and buy at support, not the opposite way. Right now I expect a drop to 85k also because the current uptrend created a pretty significant FVG, and these types of FVGs tend to be filled quickly.Write a comment with your altcoin + hit the like button, and I will make an analysis for you in response. Trading is not hard if you have a good coach! It is not a trade setup, as there is no stop-loss or profit target. I share my trades privately. Thank you, and I wish you successful trades!

Xanrox

A crash to 2650 is very likely in the next few weeks! Why? Let's take a look at the most popular oscillators - RSI, MACD and STOCHASTIC.Let's start with the RSI indicator on the monthly chart. The RSI indicator moves between 0 and 100. What we can see here is a strong horizontal resistance at the 85 level in the overbought region. Every time gold hits this strong resistance, a huge crash follows, specifically in 2006, 2008, 2020, and now in 2025. So this is a sell signal. We don't want to chase gold, while the RSI indicator is at such high levels - we want to wait for a pullback.The next is the MACD indicator - the histogram hit a new all-time high on gold. We have never seen such crazy levels on gold. The histogram is currently too far away from the 0 line, which is a sign of an extremely overbought market. What we want to do here is to wait for the histogram to return to 0 and buy. There isn't really any bearish sign on the MACD indicator yet, but if you want to wait for a confirmation, then wait for a first downtick on the histogram and sell.The last very popular indicator is STOCHASTIC. This indicator pretty much screams to sell, because both lines have been in the overbought territory since 2023. Plus, we have a bearish crossover this month (if the candle closes like today's price). To see this bearish crossover, you have to zoom in. So this indicator is giving us a bearish signal to sell gold.Additional bearish reasons: The first reason is that the price of gold just hit a major trendline on the monthly chart. Monthly charts are incredibly powerful, so you want to make sure to know what is going on here. Always trade with a valid trend. The next reason is an untested POC on the volume profile. This POC is exactly at 2650, so this should be a great buying opportunity!Please write a comment below and let me know what you think about this upcoming crash on GOLD? And are you bullish or bearish? Also hit the like button for more ideas on gold, so I know you are interested!Sold at 3426. Now we want to wait for a crash and buy gold at a much lower price!Short-term profit target hit: The price dropped from 3426 to 3259. Pretty huge crash, but it will take minimum a few weeks for gold to reach 2650.

Xanrox

Whales are preparing a huge trap for the retail traders, and you probably already know that the trap is this massive falling wedge! Falling wedge patterns are usually bullish, right? But not if they occur at the end of a trend. You probably want to trade wedges that are at the start of a trend. What's more, everyone is watching and buying into this wedge, which brings so much questions - will all retail traders get REKT again? Most likely yes, as usual. You want to do pretty much the opposite of what the majority of retail traders do to be a profitable trader.You probably already know that Bitcoin is manipulated and controlled by the banks and huge institutions. They control the price and development. Do not be fooled that some average Joe geek from Florida eating McDonald's controls the development. Whales need liquidity to buy because their orders are so huge; they need time to buy as much Bitcoin as possible. That's why they need to push the price down to take all stop losses from retail traders.The price is below the 20, 50, 100 and 200 daily moving averages - that's a huge downtrend! Also, on the chart we can see a huge previous rectangular range between 108k and 91k. It does make sense if the price will test this range before continuing to the downside. To me, this is indeed a risky speculation. I definitely don't want to speculate on that, because sooner or later Bitcoin will crash to 67k! I don't trust this falling wedge at all! Please tell me, what about you?Write a comment with your altcoin, hit the like button, and I will make an analysis for you in response.The price is going up a little bit; which was expected. I drew 2 arrows on the chart. The most important thing is that this is a false move staged by whales! Sooner or later Bitcoin will go down to 67k.Right now, there is an increased chance of sweeping liquidity above the previous swing highs. This can be a magnet for whales.

Xanrox

Gold is extremely bullish, but nothing lasts forever. To trade gold profitably, you need to always trade with a trend. Clearly the trend is bullish, so we want to open only long positions and avoid short positions to increase the probability of success, and it doesn't matter if you are an intraday or swing trader. When can this huge uptrend end?The price of gold is inside this huge ascending parallel channel on the monthly chart. This channel has a total of 5 touches, and we are waiting for the 6th touch to take action. I made a calculation, and gold will hit the top of the channel at around 7000 USD in around 2027. This channel is on the LOG scale, so to draw it, you need to switch from linear to LOG. This ascending channel started in 1993 and currently has 32 years!From the Elliott Wave perspective, we are in wave 3, so expect a wave 4 pullback, probably this or next year. This upcoming pullback will drop the price by 20% to 30% based on historical data. But right now I am very bullish and expect much higher prices!Please let me know in the comment section what your ultimate profit target for gold is. Are you also bullish? Trading is not hard if you have a good coach! This is not a trade setup, as there is no stop-loss or profit target. I share my trades privately. Thank you, and I wish you successful trades!Buy now. Profit target at the top of the channel (+120%). Reliable investment with a very small risk, all central banks buying gold for their reserves.When it comes to the entry point - entry now, or if you decide to, get a better price. Here are the levels of where to buy gold for the long term. Do not forget that a 20% flash crash is very normal.

Xanrox

Trump in 2019 made a statement on X (source) that Bitcoin is not money. A few months ago he completely flipped and wanted to make the USA a crypto reserve. Why is that, and can we trust what he posts?The Simpsons are very well known for predicting the future. They predicted many events, including Trump's second inauguration. But how can they predict the future? No one can predict the future unless they know the plans and scripts on what will happen. The Simpsons also tells the hidden truth to the public. Take a look at this video and tell me in the comment section what you think about it. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=zTK_5Xz6X8Y&From a technical point of view, the price of Bitcoin is still inside this falling wedge pattern. There are 2 options: this pattern will break up or down. Because we are in a bear market, there is a very high chance of breaking down. So please be careful and clever when trading Bitcoin! We have 2 strong levels below the current price for a short-term bounce. I always bring you very strong technical data and fundamentals! Write a comment with your altcoin + hit the like button, and I will make an analysis for you in response. Trading is not hard if you have a good coach! This is not a trade setup, as there is no stop-loss or profit target. I share my trades privately. Thank you, and I wish you successful trades!The price is approaching the top of the falling wedge, so it's the best time to open a short position!The falling wedge is valid! The price is inside the wedge.Currently the price is breaking out! This is a sell signal.

Xanrox

Bitcoin is heading towards 30k to 40k in 2026, and many people will lose money, especially ETF investors. All major Bitcoin ETFs launched around January 10, 2024, at the price of around 45,000 USD per Bitcoin. What if I tell you that everyone who bought this ETF will be in a loss during the next major bear market cycle? Of course whales need liquidity, and pushing the price to the ETF's all-time low would be a perfect plan. Bitcoin has been going only down since Trump's first day in office. All investors are extremely disappointed because they saw Trump at a Bitcoin conference talking about the future of Bitcoin and the USA crypto reserve. Unfortunately, it was a trap, and Bitcoin is losing its value pretty significantly. Everyone who bought the news is pretty much at a loss. Of course Bitcoin is completely manipulated by the central banks and government, so forget about decentralization and freedom. But let's take a look at the technical analysis on the weekly chart.On the chart, we can see a parallel channel, and today we have a huge red dildo breaking the channel to the downside with a strong volume. This parallel channel is a representation of the whole bull market (uptrend) since 2022. It's breaking down, and we can completely forget about any bull market this year. From the Elliott Wave perspective, an impulse wave has been completed, and we are looking for a bearish retracement. Usually we want to focus on the 0.382, 0.500, and 0.618 FIB levels. These levels provide the highest probability of a bounce.In the short term, we have a falling wedge pattern that I warned you about a few days ago. I predicted this dump successfully.⬇️Write a comment with your altcoin + hit the like button, and I will make an analysis for you in response. Trading is not hard if you have a good coach! This is not a trade setup, as there is no stop-loss or profit target. I share my trades privately. Thank you, and I wish you successful trades!I am bearish; first target 75k, second 71k. With this recent bullish pullback, we can enter a short position.The price yesterday was 81k, today the price reached 75K and hit my first profit target. The downtrend is strong; expect 71k soon! I have been warning you about this price action for a long time.
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