
Xanrox
@t_Xanrox
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Xanrox

Bitcoin and mainly altcoins have been pumping in the recent weeks, so the important question is - will this trend continue, or is it over? My Elliott Wave analysis on Bitcoin suggests that we should see a correction to 105,000 USDT before another push to the upside. Why? I see a completed Impulse wave 12345 inside the rising wedge pattern, so this is a pretty bearish combo, to be honest. What's more, September is the worst-performing month for Bitcoin statistically, so that's also a problem. You probably don't want to be speculating on price increases during this period. I recommend buying in October and riding the bullish cycle until December 2025. Where should we buy BTC? When we take the Fibonacci retracement tool on the whole 12345 impulse wave, we have 105,386 - a strong Fibonacci 0.382 support. In confluence with the previous price action, there is a FVG (Fair Value GAP) between 103,399 and 104,622 on the daily candles. That's a pretty high-probability setup for buying BTC here, so thank me later! What about alt season? We have seen a pretty strong uptrend on altcoins, but they also need to breathe, so expect a pullback as well. Of course, some altcoins will start pumping pretty much because we are in the alt season, but let's say the major altcoins in the TOP20. Write a comment with your altcoin + hit the like button, and I will make an analysis for you in response. Trading is not hard if you have a good coach! This is not a trade setup, as there is no stop-loss or profit target. I share my trades privately. Thank you, and I wish you successful trades!You can still write your altcoins in the comment section -> I will answer with an analysis. Bitcoin is bearish, so trade is active. Rather buy some altcoins because of the current alt season.Wait for a breakout of the major trendline for a confirmation. Or wait for a pullback to enter a short position with a better RRR.

Xanrox

Bitcoin and altcoins have been crashing in the past 2 weeks! Is there any hope for a bull market, or has the bullish cycle ended? In this analysis I will tell you my personal opinion, and if you haven't seen my previous very successful analysis on Bitcoin, you can do it right now! Because it's highly informative, and it can open your closed eyes. In short, Bitcoin just recently hit the long-term trendline from 2017 - 2021 - 2025, and yes, the market reacted to this trendline and dropped as expected. Because this is a major trendline, we have to expect a strong reaction. I still think the market needs to go lower in the short term because there is an unfilled FVG at 109k, so closing this gap would be appreciated. This GAP is also a strong support because it's in a confluence with this blue parallel channel, and the upward-sloping trendline definitely acts as a support. In the short term we should see a bounce from this trendline. You probably saw that Ethereum massively pumped, and some specific altcoins as well. We saw a short-term alt season, there is no doubt about it, but will this altcoin season continue or not? Currently I do not see a bottom on altcoins, so BTC.D should go up in the short-term and mid-term, but in October/November/December I think that would be a very good time to buy some altcoins for the upcoming alt season! Write a comment with your altcoin + hit the like button, and I will make an analysis for you in response. Trading is not hard if you have a good coach! This is not a trade setup, as there is no stop-loss or profit target. I share my trades privately. Thank you, and I wish you successful trades!Bitcoin is hitting the strong resistance of the descending channel, which is a good entry point for a short position.A short trade is still valid because Bitcoin is still in the bearish descending channel. But if you feel uncomfortable, you exit at the entry point, but the invalidation point is 118,500 - until then Bitcoin remains in the bearish downtrend on this chart.

Xanrox

Bitcoin is in the final stage of the bullish cycle, and we want to look for the best price to sell and prepare for the 2025/2026 bear market! The best price to sell Bitcoin is at the 1.618 FIB extension or at the main long-term 2017-2021-2025 trendline. This is exactly at 122,069, as we can see on the chart. And 2 weeks ago, Bitcoin hit both the Fibonacci level and trendline! So this is a strong sell signal. Buying Bitcoin at the tipity top of a bullish cycle is not the best idea, because we will see 60,000 USD per Bitcoin in 2026! From the Elliott Wave perspective, there is probably only 1 high-probability scenario, and it's this ending diagonal pattern (rising wedge). I think we will see a final 2 waves on Bitcoin to form an ending diagonal wedge pattern (1-2-3-4-5). Bitcoin just finished wave 5 and is starting a brand new corrective pattern. But you can be more conservative and wait for more confirmations, such as a break of the 50-week moving average. Waiting for such confirmations in general gives us a higher chance of success but a lower risk-to-reward ratio; in other words, you can't catch the top. I always recommend using simple moving averages with 20, 50, 100, and 200 periods because this is what the big players are using as well. These MAs are very popular among giant institutions, banks, and investors. What's more, Bitcoin seasonality is telling us that August and September are the most bearish months for Bitcoin statistically. So you probably want to sell before a sell-off kicks in. Write a comment with your altcoin + hit the like button, and I will make an analysis for you in response. Trading is not hard if you have a good coach! This is not a trade setup, as there is no stop-loss or profit target. I share my trades privately. Thank you, and I wish you successful trades!We have very strong technical data to sell Bitcoin at the major trendline. I think we can all agree with that, but the question is—is Bitcoin strong enough to break this trendline, or will it go down?Bitcoin is down significantly! If you sell the TOP because you saw this analysis, you saved yourself a lot of money, and don't forget to counter-trade the comment section; that works usually well. Bitcoin is approaching a strong support, which is the first minor profit target, but we are going to go much lower later in August/September!

Xanrox

ETH is pumping, and altcoins with it. That means we are in an alt season, which I predicted in the previous post here on July 9, before the pump: ETH is part of the USA crypto reserve, and banks also love this altcoin. The ETH ETF was launched, and the big players already count this coin as the future of the crypto industry. So if you are a Bitcoin maximalist, you have to convince the rulers of this world to stop buying ETH. But we are here to make money; we don't care about the crypto technology, which is too restricting anyways. Worse than paper money or fiat or gold. Let's be honest, if there were no charts and no trading on cryptocurrency, no one would even talk about it, and the government would silently integrate this technology. So I am very bullish on ETH in the short term, because the price is inside this ascending channel and is breaking out with strong bullish momentum. Of course you don't want to buy the top and sell the low. We are somewhere in the middle, so if you buy now, sell at 5500 USDT. This is where the market will most likely stop for a long time before going higher. We are in an alt season because BTC.D is going down! That means some altcoins can 10x or 50x in the next weeks. This is very important - Write a comment with your altcoin + hit the like button, and I will make an analysis for you in response. Trading is not hard if you have a good coach! This is not a trade setup, as there is no stop-loss or profit target. I share my trades privately. Thank you, and I wish you successful trades!The uptrend is extremely strong, and it looks like there will be no stop and no opportunity to buy cheap ETH in this particular pump. So your limit orders may never be filled. But I recommend trading ETH on an intraday basis with long-only strategies. Seasonality is also favoring ETH - statistically ETH is going up from mid-July to mid-August.If you sold during this small downtrend, it's probably a mistake. This is a great opportunity to buy ETH and cheap altcoins! I am indeed bullish and 1-2 bearish days are very healthy.

Xanrox

Bitcoin is rising! That's what everyone sees at the moment, but we don't want to get drunk and establish our profit target. Where to take profit? Because we are in the price discovery mode, there is no previous price action above the current price. At this moment we really cannot use any horizontal lines, gaps, volume profiles, imbalances, previous ranges, or previous swing highs to establish our profit target. So we have to use special tools, such as Fibonacci extension or Elliott Wave. The Fibonacci extension is a great tool - in bitcoin's case we have a 1:1 FIB extension sitting at 135,096. This level is also in confluence with a major trendline that we can see on the chart. This gives us a really good profit target in the short term for this particular trade. This is also an opportunity to short Bitcoin here, if you trade futures. From the Elliott Wave perspective, we are in wave (3), so I made a prediction on where this wave should terminate and also where wave (5) should terminate. I think my analysis definitely makes sense! Please share your analysis in the comment section, only copy your link here. Trading tip at the end: Avoid the Obvious / Market Traps - Some obvious trading situations are kind of a trap where the chances are that everyone else has also spotted a wonderful trade situation which eventually sets you up for a disaster. Many people get trapped in some obvious good looking trades. Some obvious trades can sometimes be the market traps as they are hyped, professional traders stay away from these traps. Write a comment with your altcoin + hit the like button, and I will make an analysis for you in response. Trading is not hard if you have a good coach! This is not a trade setup, as there is no stop-loss or profit target. I share my trades privately. Thank you, and I wish you successful trades!This is an analysis from 2024 to 2025. Let's take a look at the 1h chart. There is a great opportunity to buy BTC.Bitcoin is pumping and hit my first profit target. Next target 123k ! I am bullish

Xanrox

Bitcoin is breaking out of the symmetrical triangle and showing major signs of strength, so we can expect to hit a new all-time high in the short term! Bitcoin was struggling in the past weeks compared to the stock market, but this should end! Why do I think that the alt season is starting? To answer this question, we need to look at the BTC.D (Bitcoin dominance chart). if BTC.D goes up, that means money is flowing out of altcoins to Bitcoin, and when BTC.D goes down, that means money is flowing from Bitcoin to altcoins. And we want BTC.D to go up! So what is the chart telling us? First of all, this is not exactly BTC.D on TradingView, but this is BTCDOMUSDT.P. I think this chart may give us a better outlook on the dominance at the moment. So what we can see here is that the long-term trendline is breaking down, that's a pretty rare event. That's definitely great news! Time to buy some altcoins and prepare for a bullish altcoin season. I would say forget about Bitcoin and a 5% profit; let's buy some altcoins, and I want you to tell me in the comment section, what altcoin do you believe in? Write a comment with your altcoin + hit the like button, and I will make an analysis for you in response. Trading is not hard if you have a good coach! This is not a trade setup, as there is no stop-loss or profit target. I share my trades privately. Thank you, and I wish you successful trades! Trading tip at the end: Learn to bear losses - A trader needs to accept the losses to maintain their emotional stability. Losses are a crucial internal part of trading that helps traders to learn how to grow from their losses. Traders learn from losses and implement required changes in their strategies for better results in future trades.Bitcoin has pumped as expected, but the price still didn't hit the top of the channel or 113,000 USDT! That means we are going to go higher, only there is an intraday pullback.Trade is still active, waiting for the touch of the channel!This analysis was successful, and Bitcoin hit my profit target. Ethereum pumped much more than BTC, so the prediction about alt season is also correct, but this is just a start. Also, I expect Bitcoin to hit 122,000 USDT in the short term.

Xanrox

Bitcoin has been pumping last week, but the problem is that the bulls made a false breakout above the bullish flag / descending channel. We see that the price went above the channel but failed to continue in the uptrend. This is called a false breakout of a pattern or a bull trap. Usually what happens next is that the price goes in the opposite direction!That's a pretty bearish case because the bulls are now trapped in their long position, and we all know that the whales need liquidity (orders and stop losses). That's why they will be ready to push the price to the downside, potentially to the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement of the previous impulse wave.From the Elliott Wave perspective, this is a bullish setup, but we have just finished an impulse wave (1), so we should wait for an ABC correction (wave (2)) to form before entering a long position. I expect Bitcoin to hit 102,909 USD in the short term because there is the 0.618 FIBO. Also, we have an unfilled FVG between 102k - 104k on the daily chart. Usually these kinds of gaps tend to be filled sooner rather than later; that's why I expect a pullback. Write a comment with your altcoin + hit the like button, and I will make an analysis for you in response. Trading is not hard if you have a good coach! This is not a trade setup, as there is no stop-loss or profit target. I share my trades privately. Thank you, and I wish you successful trades!Trading tip at the end: Organize Personal Life - Professional traders have great management of their personal life as they keep their trading activities from personal concerns. Balancing your personal life is essential to achieve harmony as well as improve your performance in trading.Bitcoin went up on Sunday and created a CME GAP. Historically all these GAPS are filled pretty quickly. Don't forget that Sunday's moves are unreliable due to the closure of the main market.BTC1! Bitcoin CME Futures gap:It's happening; it's evident that the bullish flag was a trap. Big players don't want Bitcoin to go up; they are buying mostly stocks now. And soon we have August and September, which are the most bloody months for Bitcoin, so don't expect a rally.Because the price has been going sideways, I recommend waiting for a breakout / breakdown!

Xanrox

The current price of XRP is 2.19 USD, and I predict a big crash in 2025/2026 to 0.6 USD. Yes, I know you may think that that's completely impossible, especially if you are high on your XRP holdings, but I can assure you that this is going to happen! What can you do?If you are a hodler, then you need to prepare for your portfolio to drop by 72%. Can you really handle this situation? If not, you need to take some action.If you are a trader and you still speculate on the price increase, you can consider exiting your position. If you bought before the huge pump, take your profit now.If you are a trader and you bought after the pump, that means at the TOP, you basically FOMOed-IN. It's time to take a small loss or exit your position at break-even.If you found yourself in one of the situations above, you have some work to do. And you need to do the work as soon as possible, before XRP starts crashing, which can be any day now. Otherwise, I strongly recommend entering a short position on futures on a strong resistance if you want to make money on XRP.Now, importantly, why do I think XRP will crash? Technically, XRP is in a big range and has been in a range since 2017. Nothing changed at all after the pump; the price is still inside this ascending triangle. After the huge pump, the price created a big FVG (Fair Value GAP), and historically this has been a big issue for XRP because we went down each time and wiped out the GAPs. Don't forget that XRP is something like a bitch coin, it's doing weird moves, and it's always ranging and taking liquidity from traders, like a casino. Smart traders can take advantage of it and trade it, but you need to have a strategy. Right now it's obvious that XRP is going to go down in the next months!Write a comment with your altcoin + hit the like button, and I will make an analysis for you in response. Trading is not hard if you have a good coach! This is not a trade setup, as there is no stop-loss or profit target. I share my trades privately. Thank you, and I wish you successful trades!So you definitely want to sell XRP now because the price is still extremely high at the top of the ascending triangle. I don't have anything against XRP. I think it's the same sh*tcoin as Bitcoin or Ethereum. But we want to trade it to make money, and I like MEME coins, they are at least funny.Because of the Bitcoin pump, XRP will probably pump as well in the short term. That means on the 1D chart. I recommend selling at around 2.3-2.6 USD! And prepare for the big crash. Don't forget that 1W and 1M charts are very bearish! Expect 0.6 USD in 2026.

Xanrox

Bitcoin is currently approaching a very strong resistance of this major bullish flag! We definitely want to sell resistances and buy supports, not the other way around, until we have confirmations. Bitcoin's price action is statistically very boring during summer seasons! Usually high volatility kicks in in September. I think we cannot really expect a new all-time high in the next few weeks. Instead, we should see a big range. In the short term, Bitcoin should go back at least to around 102,600 USDT to fill up the FVG. Also, markets always move in waves, and this move from 98,200 seems to be exhausted already.On the chart we can clearly see a blue trendline, and price went below this trendline at the end of May. This indicates that the uptrend is over and a consolidation/distribution phase is in progress. This phase is usually represented as a bull flag, triangle, rectangle, or wedge. When we look at the current price action, it looks like a bullish flag consolidation pattern. Bitcoin is currently in the sell around 109kThere are 2 types of traders. The first one they love to trade ranges, and the second they love to trade breakouts and higher volatility environments. Currently I think Bitcoin is creating a range, so do not expect any crazy movements until this bullish flag is valid.Bullish flags are usually bullish patterns, but often they break down and act like bearish patterns. So what would happen if this bullish flag breaks down? That would send the price of Bitcoin to the 0.618 FIB, which is at 88,882 USDT. What if this bullish flag breaks out? That would send the price of Bitcoin to 116,000 to 125,000, but to establish this price, we first need to see the low of the bull flag, which is not confirmed yet. I will definitely inform you in one of my next analyses, so write a comment with your altcoin + hit the like button, and I will make an analysis for you in response.Trading tip at the end: "A trader needs to accept the losses to maintain their emotional stability. Losses are a crucial internal part of trading that helps traders to learn how to grow from their losses. Traders learn from losses and implement required changes in their strategies for better results in future trades."Trading is not hard if you have a good coach! This is not a trade setup, as there is no stop-loss or profit target. I share my trades privately. Thank you, and I wish you successful trades!Short is valid; you can still wait for another last push to the upside if you want a better risk-to-reward ratio. Expect a huge pullback next week.The market has been going sideways. I think we are going to go down sooner or later, but there is a possibility of last push to the upside. see the screenshot above. ⬆️

Xanrox

Bitcoin is falling again mostly because of Trump's aggressive attack on Iran. But technical analysis in general is very strong, and we can find strong levels where smart money has their buy orders. You, as a fish, always want to trade with big whales. Bitcoin is approaching an extremely strong level, which is the bottom of the bullish flag and 1:1 Fibonacci extension. This level is exactly at 98,922 USDT and this is where you definitely want to put your buy orders. I am confident we will see a significant pump from this level.From the Elliott Wave point of view, Bitcoin is finishing a major ABC ZigZag correction. A classic textbook ZigZag pattern has a 1:1 fib extension between its waves. At this point we don't know if this is going to be the bottom on Bitcoin or not, because ZigZag can transform into a complex WXYXZ Triple three corrective pattern. Of course there are no patterns with 100% probability of success, but this ABC seems to be very probable, at least for a short-term bounce.Now the most important question - where to take profit? If we buy at 98,922 we definitely want to take profit at a strong resistance on the way up. In the next analysis I will share with you the best levels to sell and potentially short Bitcoin, so this will be very exciting, do not forget to hit the boost button and follow me! But I can already see a strong level around 104,500.Trading tip at the end: Before entering a trade, you must know where your profit target is and where your stop loss is.Write a comment with your altcoin + hit the like button, and I will make an analysis for you in response. Trading is not hard if you have a good coach! This is not a trade setup, as there is no stop-loss or profit target. I share my trades privately. Thank you, and I wish you successful trades!Bitcoin hit my entry point of 98,922 exactly! And started pumping as expected. That's a very good trade again.Bitcoin pumped from 98,922 to 106k hitting my profit target. Do not be greedy, take profit and move on to the next trade. Summer is usually boring, so the price will go down again.
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