Tr8dingN3rd

The white Fork marks the most probable path of price. There is currently no indication, that Ripple really want's to take off to the upside, but: We have some potential points that could give us a clue: 1. Price seems to stabilize at the L-MLH. 2. There's a clear pressing going on (red line), which mostly will vanish when price pops above. 3. The L-MLH and the yellow CIB are pullback levels where price pauses If we trade below the Support Zone, the idea is thrown in the bin. Let's hold the water and see what happens .

First, we touched the white Centerline twice. The third attempt was a miss and triggered a Hagopian, which got filled in mid-August. Already below the yellow Centerline, Bitcoin wasn’t able to climb back above it. Now, price is near the L-MLH of both Forks, indicating that potential support lies just ahead. Let’s see if we can hold at the white L-MLH and find a long entry, which would hopefully shoot us back up to the Centerline (remember: there’s an 80% chance of reaching the Centerline). Patience is key, so let’s relax, grab some popcorn, and watch this movie §8-)

Remember when I said, I do it again Sam? Nothing changed. Only the price in the consolidation at P4. This will temporarily end at P5 (Yellow Count), where I'll take my profit. With a little pressure, price will even make it to the L-MLH. Then I'll relax and watch, how the Chickens run around and create new opportunity. 🐔🐓 Don't be a Chicken, be the 🦊 Fox 🦊, be clever and have patience. Happy new week all §8-)

The expected “end of hype” around Nvidia stems from its current inability to forecast H20 chip sales to China, forced production halts, and growing political friction—despite its strong financial performance elsewhere. The tension between U.S. export policy and China’s technological self-reliance is creating real operational and strategic obstacles for Nvidia. In this weekly chart we still have an upward projection. Nonetheless do we all know what a Game NVDA is playing by selling to its one companies. The air is thin, very thin up there. And after the Earnings Report we all know how the books are pimped. A breach of the CIB line would make me go "hmmm....", and starting to look for a short. Until then, just relax and watch the show.

We can see that from the white Centerline, MSTR has only been heading south. In contrast, Bitcoin has held up quite a bit better so far. If you go back through my posts, you’ll see that I’ve been warning for a long time that MSTR is basically feeding itself. That simply can’t end well! Either way – we gratefully take our profit and wait until we reach the lower centerline. Because we know there’s about an 80% chance that the price will fall back into temporary equilibrium, the Centerline And if you’re not too greedy, well then you take 70%–80% of the profits now and let the rest run. Anyone who was able to learn something from this trade or even make profits is welcome to boost and comment. §8-) YT video will be available tomorrow. ...and on we go.

Not only is the S&P 500 following the oracle in the SPY, but the Nasdaq has also given us a short signal. So, the scenario is the same as with SPY: short down to the Centerline. For the indicator traders, I’ve also added the EMA(10) and EMA(20). Look at how well they’ve provided support so far. If the EMA(20) cracks, things will get hot. And if the CIB line (Change In Behavior) also breaks, then all hell breaks loose! As already mentioned in the SPY post, it wouldn’t be a shame to take at least 50% of the profits you’ve accumulated so far. Because if it goes further up, e.g. above the U-MLH, you still have 50% left to benefit. If it goes down, we’ve already bagged 50%. BTW: At the 1/4 line, we can usually expect support. Exciting times, when maybe it’s better to sit still and keep your hands to yourself. I’ll create the YT video with details tomorrow. Happy profits to you all!

We can see ETHUSD nibbling at the WL. This currently looks like a short-term pullback. If Ether pulls back, we will at least see the U-MLH. After that, the centerline would be the next target before further support can be expected.

Bitcoin is trading within the Pendulum Fork. After the CL was reached, the price should have gone to the L-MLH. However, this was not achieved, and instead a HAGOPIAN was left behind. In most cases, this HAGOPIAN will drive the price higher than where it came from. Since we know that in about 80% of all cases the market moves to the CL, we also have a good chance this time of reaching the high of at least 125,400. Personally, I see the target quite a bit higher, but let’s see what BTCUSD has in store for us. Thanks for the likes peeps §8-)

The red and green lines nicely illustrate what true support and resistance look like. At the moment, it appears that the market has formed support again (1), but we can’t really confirm this since we don’t have a higher high that has been broken. So we can only assume that the base is at the C point. We’ve been trading within the fork for several months now, which suggests that we’re once again in a longer-term upward movement. If that’s the case, then we look for a nice profit target (PTG1) at the CL, because we know there’s over an 80% chance of reaching it. An open and close outside the fork would be an exit signal, and could indicate a possible reversal to a short position. I’ll explain further details in the YT video.

On this chart we have 2 forks. Orange: the pullback fork It shows us where the equilibrium is — at the centerline, which the market respected to the tick (1). After that, there were several bars that formed support (2). When the CIB line was broken (3), the market gapped above the orange centerline and made its way up to the white centerline (5), the target that we can expect in around 80% of all cases. Note the confluence point where the centerline of the white fork and the upper median line parallel (U-MLH) of the orange fork meet. A day later, we saw a sharp sell-off within just one bar! Is this now another trend reversal? No, clearly not. For a trend reversal to occur, the market would have to break the white L-MLH (lower median line parallel). As long as the market is trading within the white fork, we remain long. I’ll make a YT video soon, covering the details. Wishing you all a successful new trading week.