
TheFXCapital
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TheFXCapital

Key Elements 45M Order Block: This represents a significant price zone where institutional orders might be present. Price is likely to react when it reaches this area. LQ Sweep 1: Liquidity sweep, indicating a point where the market takes out previous lows or highs to grab liquidity before reversing. This is a common stop-hunt area. FVG + Imbalance: Fair Value Gap and Imbalance areas suggest zones where price may return to fill gaps. These can act as potential targets or reversal points. Shift 2 and OB (Order Block): Another area indicating potential supply where price previously reacted, suggesting future resistance or target. CHOCH (Change of Character): This marks a potential trend reversal point where the market structure shifts from a bullish to bearish trend or vice versa. Lower High / Break of Structure (LH / BOS): Indicates a break in the market structure, confirming a trend change. OB Unmitigated: This shows an order block that hasn't been tested yet, indicating a potential area of interest for buy orders. $$$: Representing areas of high liquidity, often targeted by the market. Current Setup and Projection Entry and Stop-Loss: The green area shows a long entry position with a stop-loss slightly below the OB unmitigated area. Target: The target is set at the FVG+ area, suggesting a significant upward move from the current price level. Trade Idea The chart suggests entering a long position near the current price level of around 2324.725, with a stop-loss set around 2313.000. The target for this move is around 2349.500, aiming for the FVG+ or imbalance area. Additional Observations Liquidity Sweeps: Multiple liquidity sweeps indicate attempts to grab liquidity before making significant moves, suggesting volatility. Trendlines and Structure: The chart shows a mixture of bullish and bearish structures, indicating potential consolidation before a breakout. Conclusion The chart indicates a bullish setup, with the expectation that the price will move towards the FVG+ area after filling the order blocks and imbalances below. The setup suggests a long position with a risk-reward ratio favoring the upside, targeting the next significant supply area. If you have any specific questions or need further details on this analysis, feel free to ask!Set Your SL based on RISK management and previous LTF High a short scalp major plan is BuyLTF has completed FVG and OB retest. Entry confirmed and sell position started along with London Timeframe for AMD

TheFXCapital

Gold (XAU/USD) on the 30-minute timeframe. Here’s an interpretation of the chart: Resistance and Supply Zone: The red shaded area at the top represents a resistance or supply zone around the price level of 2331.92 USD. This zone indicates where selling pressure is expected to be strong enough to potentially halt the price rise and cause a reversal. Support and Demand Zone: The green shaded area at the bottom represents a support or demand zone around the price level of 2314.58 USD. This zone indicates where buying pressure is expected to be strong enough to prevent the price from falling further. Buy Side Liquidity (LQ): The label “buy side LQ” marks a level where there is significant liquidity available for buyers. This could be a previous high or an area where stop-loss orders of short positions are clustered. Order Block (OB): The label “OB” denotes an order block, which is an area where institutional orders might be clustered. It is a price range where significant buying or selling activity took place previously, creating potential support or resistance. Trendlines: There are diagonal trendlines drawn from past price points indicating the overall trend direction. In this chart, the trend appears to be bearish with lower highs. Price Action: The price is currently testing the upper resistance level, which might indicate a potential reversal if the selling pressure holds. If the price breaks above this resistance, it could indicate a bullish continuation. Conversely, if the price falls and tests the support level, it could either bounce back, indicating a bullish reaction, or break below, indicating a bearish continuation. In summary, this chart appears to be showing a potential trade setup where the trader might be looking to short the market at the resistance level with a target near the support level. The stop-loss would likely be placed above the resistance zone to manage risk.

TheFXCapital

expecting long move of 400 pips in Gold. LTF Is still in bullish trend

TheFXCapital

Given the current price of XAU/USD at 2418 and a target price (TP) of 2390, here’s a detailed technical analysis and trade setup for a short trade based on the specified conditions. ### Technical Analysis for XAU/USD Short Trade #### Current Market Context - **Current Price:** 2418 - **Target Price (TP):** 2390 - **Pips Targeted:** 28 pips #### Key Technical Indicators 1. **Support and Resistance Levels:** - **Resistance:** The recent high and significant resistance level. Let's assume recent resistance is around 2425. - **Support:** Target support level at 2390. 2. **Moving Averages:** - **50-period EMA:** Check if the price is below the 50-period EMA on the 1-hour chart, indicating bearish momentum. - **200-period EMA:** Confirm if the price is also below the 200-period EMA to reinforce the bearish trend. 3. **Relative Strength Index (RSI):** - **RSI Level:** Ensure the RSI is below 50 on the 1-hour chart to confirm bearish momentum. - **Overbought/Oversold:** Ensure the RSI is not in the oversold region (below 30), which could indicate a potential reversal. 4. **Fibonacci Retracement:** - Draw Fibonacci retracement levels from the recent swing high to the recent swing low. - Identify key Fibonacci levels around the current price and check if there is confluence with other indicators. 5. **Candlestick Patterns:** - Look for bearish reversal candlestick patterns on the 15-minute and 1-hour charts (e.g., bearish engulfing, shooting star). #### Trade Setup 1. **Entry Point:** - Enter the short trade at the current price of 2418. 2. **Stop-Loss:** - Place the stop-loss above a key resistance level. If recent resistance is at 2425, consider a stop-loss around 2428 to allow for market noise. 3. **Take-Profit:** - Set the take-profit at the target price of 2390. #### Example Trade Plan - **Entry Price:** 2418 - **Stop-Loss:** 2428 (10 pips above entry) - **Take-Profit:** 2390 (28 pips below entry) - **Risk-Reward Ratio:** 1:2.8 #### Risk Management - **Position Sizing:** Determine position size based on risk management rules. For example, if you risk 1% of your account on this trade, calculate the position size based on a 10-pip stop-loss. - **Monitoring:** Continuously monitor the trade for any signs of reversal or unexpected news that could impact the market. #### Example Calculation for Position Size Assuming a trading account with $10,000: - **Risk Per Trade:** 1% of $10,000 = $100 - **Stop-Loss Distance:** 10 pips - **Value Per Pip:** $10 (for a standard lot) Position Size = Risk Amount / (Stop-Loss Distance * Value Per Pip) Position Size = $100 / (10 pips * $10 per pip) = 1 standard lot #### Conclusion The trade setup for shorting XAU/USD at the current price of 2418 with a take-profit target of 2390 and a stop-loss at 2428 offers a favorable risk-reward ratio of 1:2.8. By using key technical indicators such as support and resistance levels, moving averages, RSI, Fibonacci retracement, and candlestick patterns, the trade is well-structured and aligned with market analysis. --- This analysis is hypothetical and for educational purposes. Actual trading decisions should be based on real-time data and individual analysis. Always ensure proper risk management when trading.

TheFXCapital

XAU USD short as of certain reasons mentioned EXPECTED 1620 - 1625 SHORT AND THAN A RISE.

TheFXCapital

gold short 1. BMS LTF 2. market did not covered the liquidity GAP of 1700's 3. market is making HL of HTF 4. SH and RTO of HTF to be tested.

TheFXCapital

market made a bos in LTF and HTF to make LH to continue its trend

TheFXCapital

waiting for gold to make a retest considered 5 min HL and retest to resistence break and expected LH to HTF.

TheFXCapital

we expect btc usd short for certain reasons starting daily timeframe we see clear rising wedge and of 10 days of doji's market has made a pattern that it has maintained HTF resistance. LTF is making market formation of double top.

TheFXCapital

gold short as of certain reasons supply zone 4H HH-HL 5min BOS LL TO LH and now expecting new HL whereas 15min we expecting market to go 78% retracement for fibs.
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