Shavyfxhub

GOLD ,on 4hr is giving bullish impulse and a break out from chart pattern and followed by retest.if you missed the buy zone wait for sell supply roof .

Gold Price, 10-Year Bond Yields, Interest Rates, and DXY Correlation1. Gold vs. 10-Year Bond YieldsInverse Relationship: Gold prices and bond yields (nominal) typically move inversely. Higher yields reduce gold’s appeal as a non-yielding asset, while lower yields boost demand for gold.Real Interest Rates: The real yield (nominal yield minus inflation) is the key driver. When real yields fall (e.g., due to high inflation), gold prices rise, even if nominal yields increase. For example, gold surged during the 1970s despite rising nominal yields because inflation outpaced rates.Current Example: A 10-year Treasury yield of 4.54% (nominal) with high inflation could still support gold if real yields remain negative or low.2. Gold vs. Interest RatesInverse Correlation: Rising interest rates (e.g., Fed hikes) strengthen the dollar and increase bond yields, pressuring gold prices. Falling rates weaken the dollar and reduce yields, boosting gold.Opportunity Cost: Gold doesn’t pay interest, so higher rates make yield-bearing assets (bonds, savings) more attractiveRecent Context: Markets pricing in Fed rate cuts in 2025 have supported gold prices, as lower rates reduce the opportunity cost of holding gold.3. Gold vs. DXY (Dollar Index)Inverse Relationship: A stronger dollar (DXY↑) makes gold more expensive for foreign buyers, reducing demand. A weaker dollar (DXY↓) boosts gold’s affordability and appeal.Exceptions: During crises, both gold and the dollar may rise as safe havens (e.g., 2008 financial crisis).4. 10-Year Yields vs. DXYPositive Correlation: Higher yields often strengthen the dollar (DXY↑) by attracting foreign capital into USD-denominated bonds.Divergence Risk: If yields rise due to fiscal concerns (e.g., US debt) rather than growth, the dollar may weaken despite higher yields.Summary TableRelationshipTypical CorrelationKey Driver(s)Gold ⇄ 10-Year YieldsInverseReal interest rates (nominal yield - inflation)Gold ⇄ Interest RatesInverseOpportunity cost of holding non-yielding goldGold ⇄ DXYInverseUSD strength impacting gold’s global demandDXY ⇄ 10-Year YieldsPositiveYield-seeking capital flows into USD assetsKey ScenariosRising Yields + Strong Dollar:Gold faces dual headwinds (e.g., Fed tightening cycles).Falling Yields + Weak Dollar:Gold rallies (e.g., post-2008 QE, 2020 pandemic).Stagflation (High Inflation + Low Growth):Gold rises despite higher nominal yields (real yields turn negative).ConclusionThe interplay between gold, bond yields, interest rates, and the dollar is dynamic:Gold’s primary driver is real interest rates, not nominal yields.A weaker dollar (DXY↓) and falling real yields create ideal conditions for gold rallies.While correlations are strong historically, exceptions occur during crises or stagflation.Trade Implications:Monitor real yields (10-year TIPS) and DXY trends for gold price direction.Fed policy shifts, inflation data, and geopolitical risks can override typical correlations.For detailed analysis, track real-time data on bond yields, inflation expectations, and central bank rhetoric.#GOLD #DOLLAR

GOLD ,long term direction is still bullish but needs a short term correction which is normal.so as u sell gold remember that you are selling a bullish market.

few days age on trading view, i posted this chart on oanda and gave a possible area of buy and it came back as a complete analysis.

GOLD ,we kept the descending blue trendline with buy order and price came and reacted on that level in asian session.i detailed that descending blue trendline breakout awaiting a retest due to to the nature of the price action,a previously broken neckline to a doubletop structure MADE THE RS/SR and we have see that buy pressure.

GOLD ,i am expecting a solid demand zone reaction for buy.if buyers fail again, gold will drop in price .

GOLD ,the ema+sma +market structure strategy has given us a buy confirmation on 4hrs close ,i will monitor the current break of 3300 level for another 400pips drop ,but should that demand floor at 3289-3300 hold firmly, they could challenge the supply roof on demand and supply impulse strength, if they break asian session supply roof then london into newyork will look for buy opportunity in other to challenge the long descending trendline connect 3500,3457 and 3365 for a long swing into 3445 zone or more.the dxy is doing exactly what we want to see,if dollar reclaims 100$ this time around ,they will rally on demand to correct oversold market which will cause Gold price to drop on probability.

GOLD , the breakout of ascending trendline is watched as it drops over450pips,we are likely headed for retest to shot from the supply roof and go long on 3360-3365 break and retest.#gold #dxy

GOLD is my new love,we are friends and nothing can separate us forever,as a good friend she tells me the next price action and she is always on point.lol....trading is simple and fun.

SOLANA,on strong ecosystem application has shown a strong resilience and return to the demand floor after the price adopted a descending trendline as support floor.a break of the current daily roof will be buy confirmation