RILOBUYLOW

Another very outside-the-box trend that I discovered while going down an INTOTHEBLOCK rabbit hole was the Holders' Composition by Time Held leading into the parabolic phase. These BTC Coin balances are a metric powered by INTOTHEBLOCK that shows ownership distribution over time. What is a Hodler Balance? They are address balances that have held BTC over a period of one year or longer. These are long-term investors. An increase in this metric shows long-term bullish sentiment. What is a Cruiser?They are address balances that have held BTC over a period of one - twelve months. These addresses are what we would consider swing traders. The transfer from Cruiser balance to Trader balance can be seen as bearish sentiment and the transfer from Trader to Cruiser can been seen as bullish sentiment. What is a Trader?They are address balances that have held BTC less than one month. These are short term balances of day traders, bot trading, etc. An increase in this metric would indicate volatility and a potential bearish sentiment in the market. With that being said about the Trader Balance, on 10/22/20 we can see a (+6%) uptick in Trader balances and a (-2%) down in Cruiser Balances showing investors taking profits and trading into the volatility. On 4/20/24, the Trader Balance crossed the Cruiser Balance solidifying this accumulation period. They started closing in on each other at the end of July, Post-Bitcoin Conference w/Trump speech + JPY reverse-carry trade unwinding + Mega Tech FC. Now they have returned the their early July numbers. KEY TAKEAWAY: You will see a flow into TRADERSBALANCE, out of CRUISERSBALANCE AND HODLERSBALANCE when the market has officially accepted we have entered the parabolic phase of this bull cycle. Look for a flow change and TRADERSBALANCE | CRUISERBALANCE cross between 10/8 & 10/22.

Thursday... the 5th of November 2020... BTC pumped nearly 7% in one day.We were 30ish days into the parabolic phase of the 3rd bull cycle for #Bitcoin.It was trading at $14,911.The holders had no idea that BTC would continue to climb an additional 335% over another 5 months, reaching a local ATH of $64,895 on April 14th 2021.Here we are on September 6th, 2024. BTC dropped to $52,546 or (-3.8%) for the day. Septembers are a sore subject when it comes to financial markets and Bitcoin in particular. Across the Post-Halving years, BTC will drop -2% historically. Considering BTC has tested local lows across the 5th and 6th of the last 3 months;July 5-6th low: $53,499August 5-6th low: $49,050September 5-6th low: $52,546 (so far)It is almost like someone is trolling the Holders...The focus of this chart is to consider the above and the following. Have we found our local bottom this early in September? ($52,546)How will Bitcoin react to the upcoming 25 bps Fed Rate cut? ($50,000 vs $60,000)Will our price position entering the parabolic phase affect the overall gains over the next 6 months? (90% vs 480%)Where will our new ATH fall next April/May? ($100,000 vs $305,000)Let me know how bearish or bullish you think the future of Bitcoin is.

We have 47 days until the new BTC ATH.Watch for pressure driving the price down as there is a high potential to retest the $50-52k range within the next 9-10 days. Avoid capitulation if possible. Historically, the parabolic phase of this cycle will start within the next 4-5 weeks.----------Key Notes:- Holiday Prediction Levels -Halloween | 2024 | 82KThanksgiving | 2024 | 105kChristmas | 2024 | 142kNew Years Day | 2025 | 185k - 500 D ATH Prediction Levels -Bear | 110kBase | 200kBull | 314k- 280 D ATH Prediction Level -Realist | 148k----------Prediction indicators based on historical data from the 3rd Post-Halving cycle. Institutional, Micro, Macro and Seasonal economic pressures from either direction could blow this off course. I am hopeful the pending September 2024 Fed Rate cut will move the new ATH up by 10-15 days and result in a higher retest low before going parabolic. ----------Indicator used is LuxAlgo's historical price prediction indicator, Date is 9/5/20 used on a daily chart with a growth factor of (1). The BLUE trend line is traced over the 2020/2021 parabolic phase of the 3rd bull cycle.

‼️ BITCOIN PARABOLIC PHASE INCOMING ‼️Confirmed 100k BTC by 2025. If GOLD walks away from this new ATH...It would confirm there is enough correlation to look further into a 49 month clock in the #GOLD & #Bitcoin Bull-Cycle.Theory is... #GOLD will start it's parabolic phase of its bull cycle, lasting 6 months and reaching a new ATH. There will be a 2 month "break" between both assets, sideways or slightly down. After the 2 month break, #Bitcoin will start it's parabolic phase of its bull cycle, also lasting 6 months. The two assets will go sideways and do their thing for 35 months before the 14 month parabolic dance starts all over. Cycle 1⃣:02/01/2020 | GOLD | $1,58708/01/2020 | GOLD | $2,049+29% Change10/01/2020 | BTC | $10,55504/01/2021 | BTC | $58,732+456% ChangeCycle 2⃣:03/01/24 | GOLD | $2,00409/01/24 | GOLD | $2,555+27% Change11/01/24 | BTC | TBD05/01/25 | BTC | TBDTBD% ChangeThe GOLD trend lines match during the 6 month parabolic phases. 46 degree trend on the daily, both cycles. -31 degree trend on the daily, 8 months after ATH. ...If History repeats itself...BTC should stay sideways or down for the next 55 days. Most likely a fake-out pump coming from the pending Fed Rate cut this month. We should stay below 65K based on the price action around the Jackson Hole speech.We would only need an 88% increase this phase for BTC to reach 100k. This is a small ask, considering the previous post-halving cycles. If it follows the same trend line up this cycle we could see 305k next April. As nice as that sounds, it is not very likely we will see a 456% gain this cycle.