ProfessorCEWard

XAUUSD 4H TECHNICAL ANALYSIS OVERALL TREND 📉 DOWNTREND — A strong reversal occurred after tapping the Pivot High near 3,500, triggering heavy sell pressure as signaled by the dynamic resistance and confirmed by a sharp momentum shift. 🔴RESISTANCE ZONE 🔴 3,500.000 — SELL STOPLOSS | PIVOT HIGH 🔴 3,473.328 — SELL ORDER 2 🔴 3,418.942 — SELL ORDER 1 🎯ENTRIES & TARGETS 🎯 3,315.400 — SELL ORDER & TP1 🎯 3,228.382 — SELL ORDER & TP2 | Mid-Pivot 🎯 3,164.297 — SELL ORDER & TP3 🎯 3,065.920 — EXIT SELL & TP4 🟢SUPPORT ZONE 🟢 3,041.597 — BUY Order 1 | 🟢 2,983.746 — BUY Order 2 | 🟢 2,956.560 — Dynamic Support | Reversal Watch 📉OSCILLATOR INSIGHTS RSI at 38.17 — Weak, nearing oversold Stoch %K at 11.77 — Near bottom, possible bounce CCI at −124 — Deeply oversold, buy signal building MACD & Momentum — Both signaling strong bearish continuation Stochastic RSI flat at 0.000 — Indicates a bottoming potential 📉MOVING AVERAGE SUMMARY All 10–50 MAs are SELL signals — Short-term sentiment bearish 100 & 200 EMAs/SMA — Still supportive (BUY), suggesting macro trend not broken VWMA and Ichimoku Baseline confirm short-term bearish control 🤓STRUCTURAL NOTES Rejection from 3,500-level created a sharp fall back inside the previous range Short-term bearish control confirmed by a clean break below 3,315 (TP1) Major confluence area forming near 3,041–2,983 as next test zone Volume profile favors bounce if buyers defend 2,956–3,041 range TRADE OUTLOOK 🔎 📉 Sell Bias active below 3,315 with deep pullback toward 3,041–2,983 likely 📈 High-Risk Long Reversal possible near 2,956 support if volume spikes and momentum shifts 👀 Watch Hull MA (3,278) — rising into falling price = potential compression setup 🧪STRATEGY RECOMMENDATION CONSERVATIVE (Trend-Following): — Entry: Sell below 3,315 — TP: 3,228 / 3,164 / 3,065 — SL: Above 3,418 AGGRESSIVE (Reversal Scout): — Entry: Buy at 3,041 / 2,983 — TP: 3,164 / 3,228 — SL: Below 2,956 “Discipline | Consistency | PAY-tience™”

BTCUSD DAILY TECHNICAL ANALYSIS 📊 OVERALL TREND 📈 UPTREND — Momentum has surged, with multiple bullish candles breaking out above prior consolidation. Structure suggests a bullish continuation unless rejected at key resistance. 📉RESISTANCE ZONES 🔴 109,618.40 — PIVOT HIGH | Resistance Level 🔴 107,877.89 — SELL ORDER II 🔴 104,355.29 — SELL ORDER I 📈SUPPORT ZONES 🟢 102,576.04 — EXIT BUY | TP 4 🟢 96,169.15 — BUY ORDER | TP 3 🟢 92,012.50 — BUY ORDER | TP 2 | Mid-Pivot 🟢 86,027.66 — BUY ORDER | TP 1 🟢 79,908.44 — BUY ORDER II 🟢 76,167.19 — BUY ORDER I 🟢 74,406.60 — PIVOT LOW| Support Level 📊OSCILLATOR SIGNALS RSI: 67.98 — Neutral, approaching overbought MACD: 1,629.47 — 📈 Bullish crossover Momentum: 10,006.19 — 📈 Strong upward push Stoch RSI: 100.00 — 🔄 Extremely overbought, caution warranted Williams %R: −5.30 — 🔻 Sell signal (overbought territory) 📈MOVING AVERAGES ALIGNMENT All major EMAs & SMAs (10 through 200) are flashing BUY HMA (9): 92,191.54 — supports current bullish thrust Ichimoku Base: 84,535.45 — below price, further confirms bullish bias 🤓STRUCTURAL NOTES BTCUSD has cleared a long-term pivot range with conviction — first time in over 2 months Price now testing supply zone between 102K and 104K Break above 104K could trigger acceleration toward 107.8K and possibly 109.6K Pullback scenarios would likely retest 96.1K or 92K (TP zones 2 & 3) TRADE OUTLOOK 🔍 📈 Long bias remains strong above 92,012 with targets toward 107.8K and 109.6K 📉 Short-term profit-taking or rejections possible in 102.5K–104.3K zone 👀 Watch for confirmation of breakout or rejection from dynamic resistance at 109.6K 🧪STRATEGY RECOMMENDATION CONSERVATIVE BULLISH PLAY: — Entry: 92,012.50 — TP Targets: 96,169 / 102,576 / 104,355 — SL: Below 86,027 AGGRESSIVE SWING SCALP: — Sell Orders @ 104,355 or 107,877 — TP: 96,169 / 92,012 — SL: Above 109,618 “Discipline | Consistency | PAY-tience™”

The price of gold had a turbulent week, with a sharp decline followed by a partial recovery. While the precious metal has been a strong performer this year, driven by factors like central bank buying and recession fears, the recent market volatility is casting a shadow over its bullish outlook.The equity market selloff, fueled by concerns over a deepening U.S. recession and the Federal Reserve's monetary policy, has rattled investors. Traditionally a safe-haven asset, gold often benefits from such uncertainty. Surprisingly, gold was caught off guard by the sudden and significant drop in stocks, resulting in an initial sell-off. Further contributing to the market's concerns are the increasing tensions in the Middle East. Although geopolitical risks often increase the attractiveness of gold, the current situation seems to have both positive and negative aspects. While it may attract investors to safer assets, it could also lead to a sudden shift in sentiment that could have a negative effect on the price of gold.From a technical standpoint, it appears that gold is displaying indications of weakness. Although certain indicators are still neutral, there are others that are pointing towards a bearish direction, indicating a possible downtrend. The discrepancy between short-term and long-term moving averages suggests uncertainty in the market, although the overall outlook is leaning towards a negative bias. 📉Considering the current market dynamics, it is possible that the downtrend for gold may continue. ⚠️ Nevertheless, the current circumstances are subject to change, and unforeseen events have the potential to swiftly alter the overall perspective. It is important for investors to closely keep track of economic and geopolitical events as they may have significant impacts.SLO2 @ 2474 📉SLO1 @ 2455 📉TP1 @ 2419TP2 @ 2388TP3 @ 2366TP4 @ 2331BLO1 @ 2323 ⏳BLO2 @ 2303 ⏳SL @ 2293 🚫🔑BLO = BUY LIMIT ORDERSLO = SELL LIMIT ORDERTP = TAKE PROFITSL = STOP LOSS📉 = Order Triggered⏳ = Order Pending

Gold prices experience a significant surge in anticipation of the upcoming Fed decision, although there is a possibility of a potential downtrend on the horizon.Gold prices have experienced a significant increase, surpassing the $2,420 mark. This surge can be attributed to the optimistic outlook surrounding a potential rate cut by the Federal Reserve. Given the anticipation of the central bank's decision to keep interest rates unchanged, investors are eagerly awaiting insights from Fed Chair Jerome Powell's press conference regarding future monetary policy. A more cautious stance could potentially drive up gold prices, as the precious metal tends to benefit from lower interest rates due to its lack of yield.Despite the positive technical outlook for gold, there are some conflicting signals from oscillators that indicate possible price volatility. This divergence suggests that the market might be ready for a correction or consolidation phase.Traders are advised to proceed with caution and take into account the potential for a downward trend to develop in the coming days. Although the prevailing upward momentum is undeniable, a change in market sentiment or unforeseen economic data could potentially lead to a sell-off. It's crucial to closely monitor technical indicators and be ready to make adjustments to trading positions as needed.The upcoming days will be a critical period for those involved in gold investments as they navigate the intricate dynamics between interest rate expectations, economic indicators, and market sentiment.

✍️ As anticipated PA did continue the downtrend. 🤑 I shaved @ TP4 (link for the previous analysis below), and I'm still holding some short positions.1️⃣ PA closed below 2386 on the 1H2️⃣ Support should become Resistance @ 23933️⃣ Next stop should be 2366

📈 Despite the overall positive outlook for gold, it seems that we are currently witnessing a temporary decline. 1️⃣ The initial level of support, where we may observe a rebound or stabilization, is approximately $2,439. This was also the previous ATH.2️⃣ Following that, the next level of support is around $2,424. 3️⃣ Finally, the significant support level, where we anticipate a resurgence in prices, is approximately $2,405. ✍️ I expect the short to continue, and I won't consider an uptrend until we reach the demand level, which is also around $2,405.⚠️ This is a HIGH-RISK, COUNTER-TREND trade ⚠️XAUUSD...DT (30m)✍️ Based on my analysis, I have identified a resistance level of $2,461 that is close to the current price. 📉 Additionally, there is a higher resistance level of $2,463 that is further away. Once price action reaches either of these levels, there is a high likelihood of price action continuing to decline.➖I am considering a couple of areas of support, with the main one being at $2,439. Expect to see minor levels of support at $2,424, $2,392, and $2,368. 📈Our final target is a significant support level at $2,323. This support level is situated within the demand zone, suggesting that gold may soon resume its upward trend.👍 I'll make sure to provide you with regular updates as I observe and analyze any developments.💰 All 4 of our TPs triggered for a net win of +5,000 pipsAs anticipated PA did continue the downtrend. I shaved @ TP4, and I'm still holding some short positions.1️⃣ PA closed below 2386 on the 1H2️⃣ Support should become Resistance @ 23933️⃣Next stop should be 2366

On the intermediate timeframe of 15H, there is a prevailing sentiment that suggests a strengthening USD, which could potentially lead to a downtrend in XAUUSD (gold vs. US dollar).Although the Federal Reserve's policy of increasing interest rates is aimed at combating inflation, it may have the unintended consequence of weakening the USD in the medium term. Rising interest rates have the potential to hinder economic growth, which may cause investors to seek out safe-haven assets such as gold.On the other hand, if inflation remains a concern, the Fed could potentially take a more assertive approach in raising rates. This could result in a stronger USD and potentially reduce the attractiveness of gold.In general, the intermediate-term trend for XAUUSD is currently pointing towards a downtrend.SELLING OPPORTUNITIESSLO @ 2343SSO @ 2320

(Based on the 5D/45m Chart)SLO @ 2332 ⏳SSO @ 2312 ⏳😮TP1 @ 2288TP2 @ 2212TP3 @ 2156TP4 @ 2069TP5 @ 2032This is an Intermediate Time Frame trade (4 hours to 6 day):— Offers a clearer picture of the underlying trend compared to short-term frames.— Provides more opportunities for confirmation signals and technical analysis.— Allows for more flexible trading schedules, trades can be held overnight.— Suitable for swing traders and some positional traders.🔑⏳ = PENDING ORDERSBLO = BUY LIMIT ORDERDT = DOWNTRENDSLO = SELL LIMIT ORDERSSO = SELL STOP ORDERTP = TAKE PROFIT

(Based on the 4H/9D Chart) SLO2 @ 2427 ⏳ SLO1 @ 2380 ⏳ SSO @ 2325 ⏳ TP1 @ 2291 TP2 @ 2217 TP3 @ 2162 TP4 @ 2077 SUPPORT @ 2011 This is an Intermediate Time Frame trade (4 hours to 6 day): — Offers a clearer picture of the underlying trend compared to short-term frames. — Provides more opportunities for confirmation signals and technical analysis. — Allows for more flexible trading schedules, trades can be held overnight. — Suitable for swing traders and some positional traders. 🔑 ⏳ = PENDING ORDERS BLO = BUY LIMIT ORDER DT = DOWNTREND SLO = SELL LIMIT ORDER SSO = SELL STOP ORDER TP = TAKE PROFIT

Based on the 4H Chart SLO2 @ 2441 📉 SLO1 @ 2424 ⏳ TP1 @ 2391 TP2 @ 2363 TP3 @ 2343 TP4 @ 2311 BLO1 @ 2304 ⏳ BLO2 @ 2285 ⏳ This is an Intermediate Time Frame trade (4 hours to 6 day): — Offers a clearer picture of the underlying trend compared to short-term frames. — Provides more opportunities for confirmation signals and technical analysis. — Allows for more flexible trading schedules, trades can be held overnight. — Suitable for swing traders and some positional traders. 🔑 ⏳ = PENDING ORDERS BLO = BUY LIMIT ORDER SLO = SELL LIMIT ORDER SSO = SELL STOP ORDER TP = TAKE PROFITComment: Based on the 1H Chart SLO2 @ 2441 📉 +2800 pips SLO1 @ 2424 📉+1100 pips TP1 @ 2391 TP2 @ 2363 TP3 @ 2343 TP4 @ 2311 BLO1 @ 2304 ⏳ BLO2 @ 2285 ⏳ ADDITIONAL INFO: 🙏 Based on technical analysis, now that two candles that have opened and closed below our Anchor Candle @ 2414, we should be good for the DT Combined Net Equity is currently @ +3900 pips 🔑 ⏳ = PENDING ORDERS BLO = BUY LIMIT ORDER DT = DOWNTREND PA = PRICE ACTION SLO = SELL LIMIT ORDER TP = TAKE PROFITComment: 🌟 We hit our TP1 & TP2 🌟 💰 TP1 @ 2391, shaved 5000 pips from SLO2 💰 TP2 @ 2363, shaved 6100 pips from SLO1Comment: ✍️ I'm anticipating that PA will return to the DT within this 4H Supply Range Supply (distal) @ 2374 Supply (proximal) @ 2371Trade active: 🔥 WE HIT OUR TP1, TP2, & TP3 🔥 XAUUSD: Curve Analysis (Based on the 4H Chart) SLO2 @ 2441 SLO1 @ 2424 📉 TP1 @ 2391 💰 TP2 @ 2363 💰 TP3 @ 2343 💰 TP4 @ 2311 BLO1 @ 2304 ⏳ BLO2 @ 2285 ⏳ 💰 TP1 @ 2391, shaved +5000 pips from SLO2 💰 TP2 @ 2363, shaved +6100 pips from SLO1 🤑 TP3 @ 2343, CLOSED SLO2 for +9800 pips profit ⏳ TP4 @ 2311, will close SLO1 (pending)