Phenor

As we approach the final phase of the current Bitcoin cycle, the broader picture is coming into focus. This analysis maps the journey from November 2022 to November 2026 via a projected cycle peak in October/November 2025, highlighting key price channels and Fibonacci retracement levels. - Previous cycle's peak: $69K. - Projected cycle peak: ~$143K. - Bear market target (1.618 Fib Level): ~$ 31K, November 2026. This chart outlines the path Bitcoin could take, helping anticipate the transition from the current bull run into the inevitable bear market. I expect a market correction this summer, setting the stage for a sharp price surge starting in mid-August. This momentum could drive Bitcoin toward its anticipated all-time high in the final quarter of the year. Will history repeat, or will new macro factors reshape the landscape?

Disclaimer: I don't think this cycle's top is in yet. We have been ranging between 91k and 107k for a couple of months now. If we're printing a reaccumulation pattern, then this is what could happen. The daily 200MA should be around 80k and help support the fall by the ~23rd of February. Also, the recovery after the spring could take longer, so don't take the path I drew in yellow too seriously.Here's the drop.The price reached ~78k, so around the expected target of ~80k. Time to go up.Things are going as planned so far, we're going up.

The concept of advance breakout and breakdown is highly effective in technical analysis, especially with indicators like the Relative Strength Index. An advance breakout occurs when the RSI indicator surpasses its previous peak or breaches a trendline while the price has not yet done so. This serves as an advanced or early signal, suggesting that the price will likely follow the direction indicated by the RSI in the upcoming sessions. So... is it? :)Despite what I just wrote, I would be cautious about entering the trade here/now (unless you're ready to hold a little). Personally, I'm looking for an entry around the $75 price tag.

Interesting zone to fill the bags. This asset's potential and its tokenomics make me think it is currently undervalued. If the double bottom plays out, we could see some nice returns.~$22.70Let's have a quick look at OMNIBTC to understand what has been happening lately:

Very risky considering the context (BTC halving and all the FUD that comes with it) and the chart above. But the RSI is currently displaying a bullish div (1h TF) and the volume has been kind of low which might suggest a trend reversal. New asset, so not much data. Spot only if you choose to follow this idea. Good luck!Already 14% in 5 hours with BTC's help.This idea is over. The price reached ~$29.75 from $22.50, which is a ~32.2% increase in less than 2 days. However, I do not think the climb is over yet. This will probably go to $40 soon, and perhaps even try to revisit its ATH (around $55.50).

Just a little idea to give the bears a scare and the bulls some hope :)Erratum: I made a small mistake with the blue arrow that goes from the blue level to the green one. It should stop at the green horizontal ray ($435,000), making it -73.15%. instead of -76.11%. If we made its origin the green line as intended, the price would then become $116,700 instead of $104,000 (as one of the options for a possible new ATH). So anywhere between $116,700 and $184,500, with the most probable option (in my humble opinion) being $140,000.

Be careful if you've opened a long position. The BTC chart is looking pretty bearish right now on higher and lower time frames, which means almost every other coin/token is probably about to look bearish as well.The price is currently following the more bearish scenario. It isn't able to break through the white resistance line.The price has broken through the white line and has bounced off it. However, the move wasn't a high volume one, so I would be cautious. The price is evolving inside two symmetrical triangles: the large one drawn on the chart, and a smaller one which should be coming to a conclusion in the next couple of hours.As expected, low volume oblige, price went right through the lower line of the smaller symmetrical triangle and found support at the larger symmetrical triangle's lower line. But this support is weak. I don't expect it to hold the price. The white resistance line is back in the game. We managed to get above it again, but it's also pretty weak as a support. If we're looking for stronger support, we could find it around price point $18,200. If that one doesn't hold either, we might go straight to $17,600.We're desperately trying to get back to $19,100, creating a small bear flag in the process. If the price falls in the very near future, it might bounce off those levels: $18,750, $18,500, and $18,200.This feels like a sell-off is imminent. Same price action as last weekend. There's a high chance we're going to $17,600 the next time the price touches the thin descending white line.Okay, it might actually be scenario #2 with a 48h delay. Or it might not. Guess we'll see in the next couple of days.

I never short, even when I firmly believe things will go down, so I won't advise it. However, this is what I think will probably happen, and it's been that way for a while now. Act cautiously. Do not follow blindly what "analysts" and random people like me write on the internet. Let's all use our own brain. Do not invest what you can't afford to lose. If something looks too good to be true, it's probably because it is. Best regards.Bitcoin is on track to reach my target so far. The price will likely fall to $17600 before September 11.BTC closing above $22400 today would be a great sign for the bulls. However, the price would still be inside a wider descending channel. This could be a bull trap.BTC's price was pushed back at $22800 and fell to its support at $19800 because of some news related to inflation. I honestly don't think the bulls have enough juice to retest the resistance at $22400. I'm expecting the price to drop further.The big fall is almost here.