Mark-Rocket

The gold market is currently influenced by a mix of bullish and bearish factors. On the one hand, expectations of aggressive interest rate hikes from major central banks (particularly the Federal Reserve) continue to put pressure on gold prices, as higher interest rates increase the opportunity cost of holding non-interest-bearing gold. The continued strength of the US dollar also limits gold's upward potential. On the other hand, growing geopolitical concerns are providing significant safe-haven support for gold prices. The market is closely watching inflation data and central bank policy signals amidst persistent risks and concerns about a global recession. Any sign of a slowdown in the pace of interest rate hikes could trigger a strong rebound in gold prices. Overall, based on fundamentals, gold prices are more likely to experience a volatile pattern in the short term, but safe-haven buying below provides solid support. From a technical perspective, gold prices have established a significant short-term support level near 4160. This level is not only the low point of multiple recent pullbacks but also near a key psychological support level. The current price, near 4181, is just above this support level, showing signs of stabilization. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) may have rebounded from oversold territory, suggesting weakening downward momentum and the need for a technical rebound. An initial upside target could be 4210, the intersection of the recent rebound high and a minor resistance level. Setting a stop-loss at 4161, just below the support level, effectively manages risk. If support breaks, gold prices could see further downside potential. Gold recommends a long position around 4181, with a stop-loss at 4161 and a target of 4210.

The world's two largest economies continued their battle over key industries related to defense and national security. Washington and Beijing renewed their battle on Tuesday after China decided to sanction five US subsidiaries of Hanwha Ocean, a South Korean shipbuilder, for alleged ties to the US government. Hanwha's stock price plummeted 8% on the news, while Bitcoin fell 4% before recovering in the afternoon. (China accuses Hanwha Marine, a South Korean shipbuilding company, of assisting the US in a Section 301 investigation / Hanwha Marine) A formal announcement from China's Ministry of Commerce stated: "In response to the US's Section 301 investigation measures against China's marine, logistics, and shipbuilding sectors... we hereby announce the imposition of countermeasures against five subsidiaries of the US-related Hanwha Marine Co., Ltd., effective October 14, 2025." Section 301 of US trade law allows the government to respond to unfair trade practices. The US alleges that China is secretly engaging in unfair activities aimed at dominating the marine, shipbuilding, and logistics industries. Beijing has been accused of subsidizing these industries and even employing "forced technology transfer" to "reinvent [foreign] technology." The United States subsequently imposed service fees and tariffs of up to 150% on Chinese marine products. Beijing retaliated with higher service fees and, today, sanctioned Hanwha's US subsidiary, accusing it of assisting Washington's investigation. "A Google Translated version of the official Chinese announcement states: 'The US Section 301 investigations and measures against China's marine, logistics, and shipbuilding industries seriously violate international law,' and 'Hanwha Marine's US subsidiary assisted and supported the US government's investigation, endangering our country's sovereignty, security, and development interests.'" Bitcoin and Hanwha stock weren't the only assets affected by the news. The broader cryptocurrency market fell 2%, and stocks experienced some volatility following the announcement, but subsequently recovered. However, the Nasdaq remained down 0.18% at press time. At the time of writing, it was trading at $112,334.40, having earlier plummeted to $110,029.49 following the Chinese announcement. The cryptocurrency is down 7.55% this week, despite having risen as high as $116,020.49 since Monday. FAQ ⚡ Why is Bitcoin down today? Bitcoin fell over 4% after China announced sanctions against a subsidiary of South Korea's Hanwha Ocean, which has ties to the US. What sparked the US-China dispute? Washington imposed steep Section 301 tariffs on China's marine industry, prompting Beijing to retaliate. How severe was the market reaction? The overall cryptocurrency market fell around 2%, with Bitcoin briefly dipping to $110,000 before recovering somewhat. What is Section 301? It's a US trade law that allows tariffs to be imposed on countries accused of unfair or coercive trade practices.

Gold has been hitting new highs recently, which is nothing new. While bulls are constantly hitting new highs, we must be wary of technical pullbacks. Yesterday, during the Asian session, I warned my friends not to chase long positions at high levels, fearing the risk of a sharp pullback. Sure enough, gold experienced a sharp unilateral pullback, falling from around 4179.6 to 4090, a drop of nearly $90. Yesterday, we bought at 4105-4110 and added to our long positions at 4096-4100. Gold rebounded immediately after hitting 4090, a perfect buy for the bulls. Gold opened today, repeating yesterday's trend. However, be careful not to chase long positions at high levels, and be wary of a sharp technical pullback. Wait for a pullback and stabilization before entering long positions. This is the only way to ensure a safe bet. Everyone must pay attention to risk control in their trading. If your current trading is not ideal, I hope my article can help you avoid investment pitfalls. Feel free to discuss your options! Looking at the 4-hour market trend, the short-term support at 4136-4142 is currently underway, with a focus on the key support level of 4076-80. The bullish rally is strong and there's no end in sight. Trading strategies should prioritize buying on pullbacks. In the intermediate range, be cautious and cautious in following orders, patiently waiting for key entry points. I'll provide detailed trading strategies during the trading session, so please stay tuned. Go long on gold with a light position at 4136-4142, and add to your position when it falls back to 4113-4122. The target is 4195-4200, and continue to hold if it breaks through!

Buy gold if it continues to pull back; keep going long and you'll reap the rewards! Technically speaking, the emphasis is on chasing long positions at high levels. The entry point is crucial. As time passes and the price breaks through 3970, short-term support will shift upwards. Focus on 3945-3950, where the previous top and bottom reversal occurs, and continue to buy. If the correction continues, the support below is too layered, so watch for stabilization until the price consolidates before buying. Of course, buying at the regional support level of 3900 is certainly a comfort, but the expectation of price retesting this level is low. Therefore, watch for stabilization signals at the upper levels and continue buying. 80% of sideways trading will lead to an increase, and the direction will tend to be bullish. This once again highlights the importance of the trend! The subsequent operations will gradually become more difficult. If you're confused and struggling, please refer to my previous analysis. Experience and thinking speak louder than words. Trading requires a sound mindset to be successful!

لم یشهد الذهب أی ارتفاعات أو انخفاضات حادة یوم الجمعة، بل شهد اتجاهًا تصاعدیًا ثابتًا، لیغلق عند 3886. ومن المؤکد أن اختراق مستوى 3900 للأسبوع المقبل. ففی النهایة، یحتاج السوق الصاعد إلى الحفاظ على زخمه الصاعد. یعلم متابعونی أننی أرکز دائمًا على الشراء عند التراجعات، وقد نجحتُ فی وضع صفقات شراء طویلة الأجل أسفل مستوى المقاومة عدة مرات. شهد الذهب تراجعات فنیة متکررة بعد ارتفاعه، لذا لا أنصح بالشراء عند مستویات مرتفعة. فی سوق یتمیز بالارتفاعات والانخفاضات الحادة، لا یمکن جنی الأرباح إلا من خلال التقدم المطرد. یبقى الشراء طویل الأجل هو الاتجاه السائد، والشراء عند التراجعات هو استراتیجیتنا الحکیمة. إذا لم یکن تداولک الحالی مثالیًا، ونأمل أن نساعدک فی تجنب مخاطر الاستثمار، فلا تتردد فی مناقشتنا! بناءً على اتجاه السوق على مدار 4 ساعات، راقب مستوى الدعم قصیر الأجل دون 3846-54، وراقب مستوى الدعم الرئیسی عند 3795-3800. السوق الصاعد قوی، ولا نهایة له فی الأفق. ینبغی أن تُعطی استراتیجیات التداول الأولویة للشراء عند التراجعات. فی هذه الحالة، توخَّ الحذر عند الشراء عند التراجعات، وانتظر بصبر نقاط الدخول الرئیسیة. سأقدم استراتیجیات تداول مفصلة خلال جلسة التداول، فتابعونا. اشترِ مرکزًا طویلًا فی نطاق 3846-3854، وأضف إلى مرکزک إذا ارتد السعر إلى مستوى 3825-3828. استهدف مستوى 3895-3900. إذا کسره، فاحتفظ به!

Gold saw no dramatic ups and downs on Friday, only a steady upward trend, closing at 3886. A break above 3900 next week is a sure thing. After all, a bull market needs to maintain its upward momentum. Those who follow me know that I always emphasize buying on pullbacks, and have successfully placed long positions on the downside many times. Gold has repeatedly experienced technical pullbacks after rising, so I never recommend buying at high levels. In a market characterized by sharp ups and downs, only steady progress can reap profits. Going long remains the dominant trend, and buying on pullbacks is our prudent strategy. If your current trading is not ideal, and we hope to help you avoid investment pitfalls, please feel free to discuss! Based on the 4-hour market trend, focus on short-term support at 3846-54 and key support at 3795-3800. The bull market is strong and there's no end in sight. Trading strategies should prioritize buying on pullbacks. In the middle, be cautious about buying on pullbacks and patiently wait for key entry points. I'll provide detailed trading strategies during the trading session, so stay tuned. Go long in the 3846-3854 range, and add to your position if it retraces to the 3825-3828 level. Target 3895-3900. If it breaks, hold on!Take profit at 3910! Lock in the profits! Wait for a pullback and buy again later. My strategy is still working!

أظهرت بیانات ADP الصادرة أمس انخفاضًا قدره 32,000 وظیفة فی سبتمبر، وهو أکبر انخفاض منذ مارس 2023. کما تم تعدیل أرقام أغسطس بشکل کبیر بالخفض. یشیر هذا إلى استمرار تدهور وضع التوظیف. وقد أدى إغلاق الحکومة الأمریکیة، إلى جانب ذلک، إلى دفع أسعار الذهب إلى مستویات قیاسیة جدیدة. وبسبب إغلاق الحکومة، قد لا یُصدر تقریر الوظائف غیر الزراعیة یوم الجمعة فی موعده المحدد، مما سیعزز أهمیة بیانات ADP لتوظیف القطاع الخاص الصادرة أمس. یتوقع السوق خفضین إضافیین لأسعار الفائدة قبل نهایة العام، مع احتمال یزید عن 90% لکل خفض بمقدار 25 نقطة أساس. لذا، لا تتوقعوا انخفاضًا حادًا فی أسعار الذهب. فالأخبار الحالیة لا تدعم هذا السیناریو. على الأکثر، سیکون مجرد تصحیح طفیف، واختبار للقاع، ثم ارتداد. إذن، هل تعتقد أن الذهب سیصمد عند مستوى 3,900؟ أما بالنسبة لاتجاهه، فلا أعرف. لقد دخلنا الآن مرحلةً حرجةً. استمروا فی متابعة الاتجاه الصاعد. الأمر أشبه بصعود سلم: السلم مُجهزٌ بالفعل، ویعتمد الأمر فقط على مدى جرأتک على الصعود. توقعی الشخصی هو أن الوصول إلى 4000 ذهب سیکون رهانًا جیدًا. الاتجاه الیومی الیوم هو اتجاه صاعد بطیء مع تقلبات. الاتجاه قصیر المدى لیس قویًا. أغلق خط التداول الیومی أمس بخط مقلوب. الیوم، یمکننا أن نشهد انخفاضًا بناءً على أعلى مستوى عند 3895. هذا اتجاه قصیر المدى. لذا لا تطاردوا الارتداد قبل افتتاح السوق الأمریکی. أولًا، سنرى أعلى مستوى ثم انخفاضًا فی السوق الأمریکی. ثم یمکننا أن نرى دعمًا قویًا عند 3820 قبل أن نرى اتجاهًا صاعدًا!

Yesterday's ADP data showed a 32,000 drop in September jobs, the largest drop since March 2023. August's figures were also significantly revised downward. This indicates a continued deterioration in the employment situation. Coupled with the US government shutdown, this has directly pushed gold prices to new heights. Due to the government shutdown, Friday's non-farm payroll report may not be released as scheduled, which will amplify the importance of yesterday's ADP private sector employment data. The market is pricing in two more interest rate cuts before the end of the year, with a probability of over 90% for each 25 basis point cut. So don't expect a sharp drop in gold prices. The current news doesn't support this scenario. At most, it's a small correction, a test of the bottom and a rebound. So, do you think gold can hold up at 3,900? As for where it will go, I have no idea. We've entered no-man's land now. Just keep following the trend upwards. It's like climbing a ladder: the ladder is already set, it just depends on whether you dare to climb. My personal prediction is that 4,000 gold will be a good bet. Today's intraday trend is a slow upward trend with fluctuations. The short-term trend is not strong. Yesterday's daily line closed with an inverted line. Today, we can see a decline based on the high of 3895. This is a short-term trend. So don't chase the rebound before the US market opens. First, we will see a high and then a decline in the US market. Then we can see the strong support at 3820 before we can see an upward trend!Facts have proved that the price I bought yesterday was very correct. Gold did not continue to fall as many people said, but started to rise!

Gold prices rose from 3825 to 3871 in the Asian session today, before quickly selling off in the European session and breaking down to 3808. The 4H chart has weakened, and a volatile downward trend is currently expected. Short-term resistance is 3825-3832, with strong resistance at 3840. Short-term support is 3808-3800, with strong support at 3790 and the daily MA5-3780. Operationally, short selling is recommended before the non-farm payroll data release, with specific pre-market guidance. Sell near 3832, with a target of 3800-3790-3785. Hold if the price falls below.Friends, you can check out my analysis from yesterday. This year and last year share many similarities, including the impending major correction followed by another surge!

Bitcoin is trading around $112,256 today, bringing its market capitalization to $2.23 trillion. Trading volume over the past 24 hours reached $44.38 billion, with the intraday price fluctuating between $109,257 and $112,327—small fluctuations, but enough to get traders' pulses racing. Looking at the daily chart, Bitcoin appeared to have staged a textbook slump in early September, sliding to the $107,000 region. But then—dramatic music—it double-bottomed like a seasoned professional and rallied with conviction. The green candlesticks, coupled with volume, indicate a renewed surge in bullish sentiment. The potential long entry point between $110,000 and $111,000 now appears fully validated, with resistance between $117,000 and $118,000 looming. The breakout from consolidation is supported by strong volume, and this rally has a good chance of success—assuming buyers don't exit mid-stream. After a sharp drop that pushed Bitcoin to $108,652, the asset quickly rebounded, retaking $112,000. We're witnessing a classic V-shaped rebound, with increasingly higher lows. The $109,000 to $110,500 entry zone is ideal, with resistance ahead at $113,500 to $114,000. If the price gets hammered there, some consolidation is expected—but as long as it holds above $108,500, the bulls remain firmly in control. As long as Bitcoin holds above $112,000, the next logical short-term profit-taking zone lies in the $112,500 to $113,000 window. However, be mindful of bearish divergences in the relative strength index (RSI), as latecomers could be getting scammed. Now, let's talk about indicators. Oscillators displayed a diplomatic demeanor today—generally neutral. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) was at 48, while the Stochastics oscillator was at 30 and the Commodity Channel Index (CCI) was at −58—all neutral readings. Even the Average Directional Index (ADX), typically a proxy for trend strength, finished at a languid 17. The Awesome Oscillator (AO) dipped to −1986 (also neutral), but Momentum flashed a mildly bullish signal at −3390. The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) was less supportive of the rebound, flashing a bearish signal at −658. Thus, while the oscillators were acting conservatively, Momentum whispered, "Buy the dip," while the MACD whispered, "Not yet, my friend." Moving averages (MAs) are the Thanksgiving dinner of the financial world: some support, some don't. The 10-period Exponential Moving Average (EMA) and Simple Moving Average (SMA) waved bullish flags at $112,153 and $112,209, respectively. But the 20-, 30-, and 50-period moving averages—both EMAs and SMAs—are flashing red. If you're counting, that's four consecutive bearish signals. The 100-period EMA at $111,792 offers some hope, and the longer-term 200-period MAs are clearly bullish: the EMA at $106,343 and the SMA at $104,609. Need I make this clear? The long-term trend remains bullish, but the short- to medium-term picture is quite divided. In summary, Bitcoin has regained support across multiple timeframes, accompanied by strong volume and a bullish technical pattern. Traders seeking an entry should closely monitor a pullback to the $110,000 to $111,000 area. If $108,500 holds, the current breakout rally has room to continue. But don't ignore the mixed signals from key oscillators and moving averages—the road ahead won't be smooth. The bulls are back in control and showing no signs of letting up. With a confirmed breakout across all timeframes, strong support at $108,500, and a high-volume rebound from recent lows, the situation favors the bulls. Momentum is quietly building behind the scenes, and the 200-period moving average is perfectly aligned with the long-term trend. As long as Bitcoin doesn't break below $110,000 on low volume, there's a chance the market will head straight for the $117,000 to $118,000 region. But caution, my friends. While the recent rebound looks convincing, several key moving averages remain bullish, and the sell signal from the MACD should not be taken lightly. Oscillators are neutral at best—not exactly encouraging. If Bitcoin fails to break through $113,500 and flips on declining volume, we could be seeing a bull trap forming. A break below $108,500 would invalidate the entire short-term rally and reopen the door to sub-$107,000 lows!