Lamassu_Trade

In our previous analysis, we warned: “Bitcoin is testing the $120K–$124K resistance zone, right under the mid-line of the long-term ascending channel. A daily close above $124K = breakout. Rejection = bearish retrace.” And here we are — the rejection hit perfectly. BTC reached $126K, couldn’t close above $124K, and then dumped straight to $112K, confirming our bearish scenario 🔻 📉 Market recap: Clean rejection at mid-channel resistance. Price broke below $118K support → bearish confirmation. Current zone $112K–$109K may act as short-term demand. Next major support levels: $105K and $95K. For bulls to recover, BTC needs to reclaim $118K–$120K on a daily close. 💣 We said this would happen — and it did. Massive liquidations followed, and once again, patience paid off. ⚖️ Outlook: Momentum remains bearish while under $118K. Short opportunities still valid, but manage risk — volatility remains extreme. 💬 Check the proof — our previous BTC call 👇

In our previous analysis (Oct 3) we warned loud and clear: “For ETH to stay bullish, it must close above $4,960 — otherwise, rejection could trigger a deep retrace.” ETH only managed to reach $4,700, failed to break or close above $4,960, and then collapsed, closing below the $4,000 level — confirming a major bearish breakdown right after one of the largest crypto liquidation waves of 2025. 🔻 Technical Breakdown: ETH has broken below the ascending channel and lost key structural support. Price is now consolidating around $3,800–$3,600, but momentum remains weak. If this zone breaks, next demand levels are $3,200–$2,800, and $2,130 as the final strong support. Only a daily close back above $4,200–$4,300 can shift structure back to neutral. 📉 Market Context: Last night’s liquidation wiped out billions in leveraged longs across the crypto market. ETH followed BTC’s rejection perfectly — exactly as we predicted. We said it before: no close above $4,960 = correction, and that’s precisely what played out. ⚖️ Outlook: Short-term → Bearish Mid-term → Testing support for possible relief bounce Long-term → Bullish only if price reclaims the channel and $4,300 For those who followed the plan and stayed cautious — well done. For late longs — the market just gave a painful reminder. ❗ This is not financial advice — just my personal market view. 💬 Check our previous analysis below 👇

Ethereum is testing the $4,760–$4,960 resistance zone inside its long-term ascending channel. 🔼 Bullish case: A daily close above $4,960 opens the path to $5,500–$6,300, targeting the upper channel. 🔽 Bearish case: Rejection here could pull ETH back to $4,000–$4,100, with deeper supports at $3,200–$2,800 and $2,130. ETH follows BTC’s momentum — but U.S. macro risks (shutdown, Fed uncertainty) keep downside risk alive. ⚖️ Summary: ETH is at a decision point — breakout above $4,960 = bullish continuation, rejection = bearish retrace. ❗ Not financial advice — only my personal view.We said it! ETH couldn’t close above $4,960 — just like we warned. Market dropped hard below $4,000 after massive liquidations.

Bitcoin is now testing the $120K–124K resistance zone, right under the mid-line of the long-term ascending channel. Price action here will decide the next major move. 🔼 Bullish scenario: A daily close above $124K would confirm strength, opening the path toward $131K–136K, and eventually the upper channel trendline. 🔽 Bearish scenario: Failure to hold this zone could trigger a retrace back to $113K–117K, with deeper support at $105K and $95K. We successfully anticipated the last downside move and closed our position around $109K, locking in profit before this rebound. At current levels, risk is elevated — some may consider short opportunities if rejection confirms. For buyers already in profit, we recommend setting stop-losses and being ready to close positions if the situation turns bearish. Macro context: ETF inflows and cycle indicators support upside potential, but U.S. macro risks (government shutdown, Fed policy uncertainty) remain a strong headwind. ⚖️ Conclusion: Today is a decision day. Breaking the channel midpoint unlocks higher targets, while rejection could push BTC lower again. ❗ Disclaimer: This is not a trade recommendation. I’m only sharing my personal thoughts on the market.As we warned, BTC failed to close above $124K and dumped hard after rejection. We told traders to stay cautious and set stop-losses — and that’s exactly what saved profits. Prediction played out perfectly. 💥

AVAX is testing a major resistance zone at $31–32, where sellers have stepped in before. Price action shows signs of rejection, increasing the probability of a pullback toward $25–24 support. However, the short-term trend is strongly dependent on Bitcoin’s movement and today’s market news. If Bitcoin faces rejection at its own resistance and negative headlines emerge, AVAX could see an accelerated drop. On the other hand, strong Bitcoin momentum could delay or even invalidate this correction. 🔻 Key Levels Resistance: $31–32 (supply zone, breakout needed for bullish continuation) Current Price: ~$29.5 Support 1: $25–24 (first demand zone) Support 2: $22–21 (extended support in case of deeper correction) 📉 Scenario Failure to break above $32 keeps downside pressure intact. A correction toward $25–24 is likely if Bitcoin weakens. With bearish Bitcoin + negative news, AVAX could extend losses to $22–21. ⚠️ Trading Note Watch BTC/USD resistance reaction closely. News-driven volatility could make this a high-risk, high-reward setup. Use tight stop-losses above $32.5 for short positions.

🚨 Warning to Traders 🚨 Bitcoin has completed its pullback within the long-term ascending channel and is now testing the heavy resistance zone at 120K–124K. Tonight could be one of the most critical nights for the market. If negative news hits, we may witness a bloody drop of 18–19%, pushing price action down toward 93K. 🔻 Key Levels Major Resistance: 120K–124K Support 1: 109K–105K Support 2: 101K–97K Critical Demand: 93K Deep Liquidity: 80K–74K 📉 Likely Scenario A breakdown below 109K could trigger a multi-leg decline: first targeting 101K–97K, then extending toward 93K. With increased fear, even the 80K–74K liquidity zone could come into play. ⚠️ Revolutionary Advice Always set your stop-loss Protect your capital Tonight could define the next major Bitcoin trend 💡 Save your money – the market never jokes!It's following our path, we told you the market will crash

Solana has broken its dynamic support and is currently in a pullback toward the broken support zone on the 4H timeframe. This move confirms weakness, and we're watching closely for rejection signals to validate the short setup. As long as the broken structure holds, the bias remains bearish. 🧠 Stay patient — let price complete the pullback before reacting.

Bitcoin is now tapping into a confluent supply zone visible on both the daily and weekly timeframes, around the $109K–$116K area. 🔴 Red Flag: As highlighted in the USDT.D dominance chart, the stablecoin ratio is nearing a strong support level (4.32%), which historically aligns with market tops or corrections. 🧠 What This Means: This is a confluence signal: BTC reaching supply + USDT.D hitting support A correction or consolidation is likely from this zone unless bulls show significant momentum 📌 Strategy Tip: Wait for clear reaction to this red zone before chasing further upside. If you're already long, this is a smart zone to lock in partial profits and reduce exposure.

Bitcoin remains in a volatile consolidation range following the May FOMC meeting, where the Federal Reserve left interest rates unchanged at 4.25–4.50%, as expected. 🏛️ Federal Reserve Recap: Decision: No change in rates – aligned with market consensus. Tone (Powell’s speech): Cautiously hawkish. Powell acknowledged rising risks of unemployment and inflation, citing uncertainty around recent fiscal, immigration, and trade policies. Key quote: “We are not currently in a position to begin easing. There is still significant uncertainty.” 🔎 Market takeaway: The Fed is firmly in wait-and-see mode, unwilling to commit to cuts, but also avoiding overt hawkish signals. Markets remain data-dependent. 📈 BTC/USD Technical Outlook: Entry Zone (Active): Short from ~97,200 Target 1 (TP1): 92,000 – Key demand zone + horizontal support Current Price: Holding above 95K Structure: BTC remains range-bound between 92K–97K awaiting macro clarity 🧠 Trade Implications: Fed's cautious tone limits bullish breakout potential in the short term. A dovish shift in tone or soft inflation data could trigger a breakout above 97K toward 100K+. A re-test of the 92K level remains likely if macro uncertainty persists or DXY rebounds. 🔁 Plan Ahead: ✅ Respect range structure (92K–97K) ✅ Avoid heavy positioning without confirmation ✅ Watch DXY, yields, and upcoming CPI/PPI prints 🧠 Sentiment is neutral/slightly cautious post-FOMC ⚠️ Risk Management Note: Market conditions remain fragile and sensitive to macro headlines. Always use stop-losses and appropriate position sizing. This is not financial advice – trade responsibly.🛑 Market Update (Post-FOMC Reaction): Markets are turning red across the board following Powell's press conference. Despite no rate change, the Fed's refusal to commit to any near-term easing, coupled with concerns about trade policy uncertainty and inflation risks, is triggering risk-off behavior. 📉 BTC is pulling back sharply, and equities like Nasdaq are under pressure as well. This reinforces our short thesis toward 92K. 🔍 We continue to monitor BTC’s reaction near the 94K–95K zone. A clean break below could accelerate downside toward 92K and beyond. 🧠 Reminder: Macro tone is still unclear. Until Fed pivots or inflation data softens, upside for BTC may remain capped.

Bitcoin has confirmed a breakdown from the ascending structure after failing to hold above the mid-range support near 95K. The rejection from the 96,124 resistance zone (highlighted in red) combined with a clean break of the diagonal support suggests bearish momentum is building. 🔻 Position: We have entered a short at 94,850, following the rejection and loss of bullish structure. 🎯 Target 1 (TP1): Our initial target lies around 92,000, which aligns with the lower blue demand zone — a key area where we expect price to react. This zone also coincides with prior consolidation and horizontal support. 🧠 Scenario Planning: If BTC holds 92K and shows bullish reaction (e.g., bullish engulfing, volume spike), we’ll consider partial profit-taking and reassess for a possible bounce. A clean breakdown of the 92K level could open the door for further downside toward the next major demand zone below ~88K. 📐 Technical Confluence: Break of structure & ascending trendline Strong supply rejection from 96K Bearish momentum sustained with lower highs 🔁 Trade Plan: ✅ Follow trend confirmation; don’t enter blindly 📏 Always place stop-loss above invalidation zones 📊 Monitor price action and volume near 92K for clues 🧠 Don’t FOMO — patience over impulse ⚠️ Risk Management Reminder: Trading is probability-based — manage your risk accordingly. Use proper position sizing, place stop-losses, and never risk more than 1–2% per trade. This analysis is not financial advice; always do your own research (DYOR).