
Kram_Capital
@t_Kram_Capital
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Kram_Capital

After an aggressive pullback though the range it is possible that the pre-halving dump is done with. BTC's price got to a level where it no longer seemed a viable buy and will need either a pullback to offer better value or a period of reaccumulation which is what we may have experienced in the previous weeks. I have mapped the Wyckoff reaccumulation schematic over the recent range and it more or less fits, bearing in mind it will never fit perfectly. I looked at both the distribution schemas and schema 2 is a potential fit but without the UTAD in phase 2. We'll soon know if the range's low is broken and retested Confirmation that we are at least moving up to the higher end of the range will be if we break and retest 64516 with an H4 contextIt barely closed the H4 above the level. Not very convincingMore conviction now. Worth a punt!Asia tapped me out. I had small risk on because I thought the halving may do something... anything 😂The super high time frames didn't flip to the downside but we can see now that BTC us bullish up to the H8. I'd be thrilled with a daily close above 66848

Kram_Capital

Revisiting Bitcoin after a month and the weekly inducement has been a problem for it as per the previous analysis. There has been some sideways action, making it unclear but I will be looking short to rebalance some of the recent bullish price action before the bulls really take control

Kram_Capital

Crypto madness! The most feral of asset class there is! For me this rally is strong but cannot go forever. As you can see by my annotations, I anticipate a pullback. If the weekly supply gets a small mitigation then I expect the H4 demand to be able to push further into it, essentially acting as a trap for early sellers. In this scenario, it will provide a pullback that we can classify as a weekly inducement which will shift the decisional demand closer to current price. If we get a larger mitigation, nearing 50% or more of the weekly supply then we could see a larger pullback down to the weekly demand POIs. This would be a very good buy zone and will also give us opportunities for big shorts. Bitcoin being Bitcoin, not known for playing by the rules could break this supply flip zone, the H4 will give us the lens to confirm this so we can use the flip long for entries. Sketchy as f idea though! But hey, this is the wild west of trading so anything goes. Summary H4 CHoCH wlth small weekly mitigation, short term sells to the H4 demand zones H4 CHoCh after deeper weekly supply mitigation. Potential for larger shorts down to the weekly demand. We will get plenty of entry/scale-in opportunities at the H4 demand zones as they fail (flip entry models) If we close a H4 candle above the weekly supply then that is an indication that it is not going to hold so we could look for H4 demand zones within the weekly supply. Bitcoin is a rabid dog off the lead. I don't really trade it but I have been asked to provide my take on the mutt so here it is. Not financial advice, trade with caution
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