IvyMorgan

XAU/USD has entered a retracement phase after the new high, but the price action does not yet indicate a trend reversal. The 4,090 level works as short-term support and stands out as the area where buyers re-enter the market. Unless the 4,080 support is broken, there is a strong possibility that the market will make a new upward move. In this case, the price can be expected to retest the 4.120–4.130 band. The technical outlook confirms that bullish control continues. The price gathers liquidity on declines and moves forward by filling FVG gaps. The Ichimoku cloud is still below the price and does not signal weakening in the direction of the trend; This shows that the current movement is a correction, not a distribution. On the fundamental side, gold is supported by the expectation that the Fed will cut interest rates in December. The dollar's loss of momentum, the retreat of US bond yields and the persistence of geopolitical risk perception keep safe haven demand alive. Although tensions seem to be decreasing on the US-China trade front, major funds maintain their cautious and defensive stance. In the short term, the main scenario is that the rise will regain momentum after liquidity gathers between 4,080–4,090. However, if this support weakens and is broken by hard sales, the price may change direction towards the 4,000 level.

Gold is trading near the $4,090 area after a strong rally, and the current move appears to be just a correction to capture liquidity. The technical pattern remains positive, as the lows remain higher and price gaps are still gradually being filled. As long as the price remains above the $4,080–4,090 range, buyers maintain the advantage, with the possibility of targeting $4,120–4,130. Dollars later. The main support comes from expectations of a US rate cut, declining bond yields and a cooling dollar strength. Geopolitical risks make gold a defensive option for investors. A clear break of the $4,080 area will change the picture in the short term and open the way towards $4,000.

Bitcoin is showing signs of stabilization after a strong sell-off last week. The current price near $110,500 reflects a gradual move by bulls towards control, while continuing to cautiously attract liquidity. On the H4 chart, the market is turning into a consolidation phase following the temporary bottom at $108,000. This area strongly supports the price, absorbing heavy selling and maintaining buying defenses. The nearest resistance is between $111,800 and $112,500, where FVG areas intersect with the edge of the Ichimoku cloud, forming an important test of the strength of the rally. Crossing this area could open the way towards $114,200–116,000 levels. The recent declines are clearly absorbed, indicating smart money accumulation. Current market factors such as lower US bond yields, improved risk sentiment, and continued inflows into Bitcoin funds all support a continued recovery. Any clear break below $108,000 with heavy trading volume could reverse the trend, while the most likely scenario remains a consolidation of the price in preparation for a rise towards $112,500.

Gold is currently recording around $4,112 on the H4 frame after a sharp correction wave. The recent selling reflects profit taking and not a trend reversal. FVG areas between $4,050–4,130 indicate untested liquidity. Major support is at $4,050, and resistance around $4,130 intersects with the upper Ichimoku cloud. US-China tensions and US price index forecasts weigh on short-term flows. The $4,050–4,070 level is expected to be tested before an attempt to break $4,130. Breaking $4,050 may open the way towards $4,000.

ETH/USD is currently moving around $3,825 after a slight bounce from $3,780. This area is considered short-term support, but buyers are weak due to the price continuing below the Ichimoku cloud on the 4-hour frame, which confirms the continuation of the basic bearish trend. The Fair Value Gap areas at $3,900–4,100 constitute dynamic resistance, and any rise towards it may face strong selling. Global economic conditions are putting pressure on digital currencies, with the dollar strengthening after strong PMI data, and waiting for the GDP - PCE report at the end of the week to determine the Fed’s direction. Under these conditions, it is difficult for ETH to rise strongly. The most likely scenario is a test of the $3,750–3,780 support, perhaps clearing liquidity up to $3,700 before a bounce towards $3,950–4,050. If $3,700 is broken with high trading volume, $3,500 becomes the next target for sellers.

The gold market had a strong session, with the gold futures contract falling more than 5.39% in one day, the largest decline since June 2013. This decline represents a correction after a period of rapid gains, prompting many traders to reevaluate the short-term trend. Explanation of the decline includes: a correction after strong growth as gold has risen by 128% since 2011 without any major corrections. The contrast with silver, which fell by 7.2%, supports gold continuing its decline while silver maintains its stable rise. Historically, a rise from around $2,500 to over $4,200 without any consolidation has led to a strong reversal, as yesterday's drop showed. With the double top pattern completed and the neckline broken, gold could reach strong support at $4,000 or lower if the decline continues. Current resistance is at $4,200.

SOL/USDT is moving around the $185 level after a pullback from $200. The bullish structure remains in place with a series of higher highs and lows. The support level at $185 corresponds to a price gap (FVG) that attracts liquidity and often brings buyers back into the market. If it holds above this level, the price may test $190 before approaching $200. Breaking the support will make the lower FVG levels $180-175 the next balance points. Low trading volume during a sideways move indicates a cumulative phase waiting for a new catalyst, not a sell-off. Fundamentally, the سولانا ecosystem attracts capital from the DeFi and AI sectors, with the absence of negative news that might upset the trend. Current price movements depend on the general market condition and behavior of Bitcoin.

Gold is trading near $4,345 an ounce after a strong rebound from the 4,100 level. The general trend on the four-hour frame remains positive, as uncovered price gaps (FVG) remain below the price and indicate continued upward momentum. As long as the price remains above $4,300, targeting the resistance area between 4,400 and 4,450 remains possible. Any decline towards 4,200–4,100 would act as a healthy correction and accumulate liquidity before continuing the potential rise. In terms of fundamentals, gold is benefiting from expectations of interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve as US economic indicators slow. Growing fears of a government shutdown in the United States support demand for safe havens. HSBC also raised its gold forecast for 2025–2026, while Goldman Sachs stresses that the current buying spree is based on real inflows from institutions, not just short-term speculation.

ETHUSDT is moving positively after the recent drop from 4,500. On the H4 frame, the price bottomed at 3,780 and then started building a higher high, indicating a gradual return to bullish momentum. The last bearish FVG gap has been broken, and now the price is approaching the 4,100–4,200 resistance corresponding to the edge of the Ichimoku cloud. Current conditions support buyers with the decline in US bond yields and the weakness of the dollar, in addition to expectations of a rate cut from the Federal Reserve at the end of 2025. Ethereum ETF news also boosts sentiment. However, without a clear close above 4,200, the possibility of a corrective decline remains valid towards 4,050 or even 3,820 before the rise continues.

Gold declined after reaching the historical peak near 4,380–4,400 USD/oz, and this decline is considered a healthy correction movement within a general uptrend. On the technical chart, initial support stands out at 4,220–4,240 USD near the edge of the Ichimoku cloud. A temporary weakness in momentum is showing with lower tops and bottoms forming, while the USD 4,280–4,310 area represents a fair value gap forming potential resistance. On the fundamental side, pressure from profit taking, dollar strength consolidation and rising US bond yields continue to limit momentum. Expectations regarding Fed rate cuts are not yet clear, which supports continued volatility. The price remaining above 4,200 USD maintains the positive trend structure, while breaking this level may push prices towards 4,150 USD.