GarateTradeCrypto

As I mentioned in my post yesterday, there was a possibility of the price dropping to the 0.5 Fibonacci zone, from which I expected active buying followed by a trend reversal for Bitcoin and the entire crypto market. The price of Bitcoin has dropped to the 0.5 Fibonacci level, and this was enough to trigger a reaction. We’ve already seen a +2,000 price bounce, and there may still be some volatility with price movements up and down, but a drop below 82k is unlikely. I’m waiting for the daily candle to close, after which I will consider my strategy for opening a position.

Today, it is important for Bitcoin to close below 88,000. There is a high probability that today the price will drop to the 0.5 Fibonacci level, thereby partially closing the gap on the daily chart, and the RSI will consolidate below 30 even with a closing price below 88,000. All these factors combined will be sufficient to trigger strong accumulation with a breakdown of the structure, leading to a new all-time high within the next 2-3 weeks. However, the market doesn’t always play out perfectly. There remains a possibility of a prolonged scenario. In this case, from the current price block (88k - 86k), the price may form a local bounce with a full ABC cycle in the coming days and test the key resistance level (106,200). After that, the price will likely return to the 0.5 Fibonacci level and possibly retest this important level. A similar scenario occurred last year during a similar phase of prolonged correction, where the price eventually reached the 0.5 Fibonacci level, though not immediately.

The final phase of the bull run needs time for more significant accumulation. From current levels, I don’t expect decisive moves to new all-time highs. High probability of a short-term bounce from 92,100. New all-time highs and the start of Bitcoin’s next major trend are more likely after a pullback to the Fib 0.5 zone.

Bitcoin's price is currently overbought locally. Yesterday, the price reacted with a decline of 4.9%. This was the first response, and now it’s important to hold the level of $62,700–$61,800. A breakdown below this level would signal a trend reversal to a downward trend with the first target being the imbalance zone at $52,500–$49,550, as marked on the chart. I would like to see investor support manifest in this imbalance zone, but if I don’t observe sufficient buying volume, I will expect a swift reversal and a breakdown towards the key on-chain level, the MVRV Pricing Bands (-0.5sd). This is a critically important level from which strong Bitcoin trends have historically formed in a broader perspective. In a positive economic environment, there is a chance of a rebound from the $62,700 support zone, possibly forming a divergence and a potential double top. The reaction of sellers during the bounce from $62,700 will play a significant global role. If the price consolidates above $67,000–$68,500, then we could see a BullRun!

My expectations from the previous post have materialized, and the price of Bitcoin has dropped again into the price imbalance zone below 53,500. My expectations for Bitcoin's price next week are as follows: due to negative economic news, the stock market will likely continue to decline for several more days starting on Monday. Since Bitcoin's price correlates with key indices like the S&P and Dow Jones, there is a high probability that Bitcoin will continue to decline, potentially reaching as low as 48,900. If we look at the Long-Term Holder Realized Profit/Loss Ratio 7D indicator, which unfortunately is not yet available publicly on the TradingView platform, based on this data, Bitcoin is currently in an accumulation phase before a major growth season. Similar patterns occurred during the 2011 and 2021 market seasons.

I expect the Bitcoin price to consolidate in the 53,600 - 49,000 zone, after the price is fixed in the zone, I expect to see a price increase and a high probability of breaking the maximum. If you look at the Online LTH Realized Profit 7D metric, you can see a similar seasonality of the market that was in 2021, in addition to the online metric, I conducted a deeper study and found many arguments that confirm my expectations, there is a low probability that the price will drop below 48,900, I do not expect this level to break through.

My strategy is in the Bitcoin price correction phase after the euphoric bull run amid the adoption of Bitcoin ETFs. In a calm news environment on the stock market, I expect to see a rebound from the 0.382 level, in this area there is a GAP in prices and an imbalance in the same area. Given the tense situation in the economic space, I expect a breakout of 0.5 Fib level.We have reached the first support level, a rebound is possible, let's look at the strength of the market, I am watching the volumes and the formation of divergences to a reversal and the continuation of the downward movement to the level of 0.382 Fib

Dash has grown by 87% in 3 months - this is the first impulse, now the correction of the first wave, there are five of them (Elliott waves) before a deep correction. An asset with a 10-year history with ATH $1,608. When the news comes out it's too late, follow if you agree. The chart shows an example of the Elliott wave of the previous Dash Bullrun

A coin with a history we all know. My strategy shows that the coin has not bounced back to the first test level, which is what most memes are capable of

Most coins and blockchains in 2024 proved their strength after the bearish season. Today, the altseason has arrived for more than 80-85% of crypto assets. Litecoin is next in line for a bullrun.