Frey_James

📉 Core Market Drivers The current trend of Bitcoin is jointly influenced by the following fundamental factors: China-US Trade Tensions: The renewed escalation of trade tensions between the U.S. and China has emerged as one of the key triggers for recent market volatility. Expectations for Fed Monetary Policy: Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell recently made statements hinting at a potential end to quantitative tightening (QT), which has offered some support to the market. The market’s implied probability of a Fed rate cut at the late-October meeting has surged to 99.6%. This macro backdrop has fueled expectations of looser market liquidity. 💎Trading Strategy Amid dual pressures from fundamentals and technicals, the risk of further price declines remains relatively high—though technical rebounds should not be overlooked. SELL @113000-113500 TP:111300-111000The trend is unfolding exactly as I analyzed.

📈 Current Core Market Drivers The following factors have collectively driven the strong performance of gold prices, forming the fundamental basis for a bullish outlook: Geopolitical Risks：Escalating China-US trade tensions (the US threatens to impose a 100% tariff hike) continue to boost safe-haven demand. Monetary Policy：Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell signaled another interest rate cut this month, with market expectations for a Fed rate cut rising. The prolonged low-interest-rate environment continues to provide support for gold prices. Market Sentiment：The ongoing shutdown of the US federal government and delayed release of multiple economic data have amplified market uncertainty. Capital Flows：The global central bank gold-buying spree and the increase in gold ETF holdings have also pushed precious metals higher. Supported by fundamentals, gold prices are generally prone to rise rather than fall, but technical pullbacks need to be watched out for. 💎 Operational Strategy Reference Overall, the bullish trend is not yet over. For trading operations, it is recommended to prioritize buying on pullbacks as the main strategy, rather than chasing highs blindly. BUY @4176-4180 TP:4220-4250 SL:4150The trend is unfolding exactly as I analyzed.

🌐Market sentiment is significantly influenced by macroeconomic events and institutional movements. 💎 Trading Strategy Reference BUY @4060-4080 TP:4150-4220 Accurate signals are updated every day 📈 If you encounter any problems during trading, these signals can serve as your reliable guide 🧭 Feel free to refer to them! I sincerely hope they'll be of great help to you 🌟

Despite short - term pressure, the resilience at the bottom is established. If the price can recover and stabilize above $114500, it is still expected to rally towards the $116800–$117500 range in the medium term. Outlook: Bitcoin may continue to fluctuate within the $111000–$114000 range in the short term. The direction of a breakout will depend on U.S. inflation data and ETF fund flows. If it holds the support at $110600, long positions can be established after a trend reversal; on the contrary, if it breaks below this level, the risk of a deep correction will increase.The trend is unfolding exactly as I analyzed.

📈 The record high of gold prices in this round is mainly driven by three key factors. First, geopolitical risks persist: the Russia-Ukraine conflict remains unresolved, and the U.S. government’s imposition of additional fees on Chinese ships at ports has triggered trade tensions, which have boosted safe-haven demand. Second, the U.S. federal government shutdown has entered its 10th day, disrupting the release of economic data and escalating market uncertainty. Third, market expectations for the Federal Reserve’s interest rate cuts and the continued gold-purchasing behavior of global central banks have jointly provided solid support for gold prices. Currently, bullish sentiment in the market is strong, and I believe gold prices still have room for further upside. 💎 Trading Strategy Reference BUY @4140 TP:4200-4220The trend is unfolding exactly as I analyzed.

📈 Bitcoin has extended yesterday’s upward trend.It is expected that the US - market Bitcoin will most likely maintain a fluctuating upward trend in the follow - up. 💎 From a technical perspective, short-term upward momentum remains strong. Focus should be closely on the primary resistance level at 118,200; if this level is broken, the price is expected to test the psychological integer mark of 120,000. On the downside, the 114,000 level needs tight defense, as it serves as a critical support line in the recent upward trend.

📈 Based on current market conditions, after hitting a historic high of $4,069 during the U.S. trading session, gold prices are expected to maintain a high - level consolidation pattern in the short term, with the possibility of further testing the $4,100–$4,150 range. 📊 Core Market Drivers Trump’s tariffs and his confrontation with the Federal Reserve are not the only factors driving gold prices to rise continuously since then. The Japanese Prime Minister election held last weekend, the U.S. government shutdown, and the ongoing political turmoil following the resignation of French Prime Minister Sébastien Lecornu have also contributed to the rise in gold prices. Currently, there are no bearish factors affecting the market. BUY @4060 TP:4100My judgment on gold has been accurate, validated by the market, and I have a firm grip on its trend.

📉 Trend Forecast The current downward trend of Bitcoin remains dominant. Although technical indicators show it is oversold, a technical rebound may occur, the trend has not yet reversed.

📈 Gold Market Outlook The bullish bias remains dominant in the market. With expectations of U.S. interest rate cuts persisting and bond yields continuing to decline, gold is likely to maintain strong upward momentum, and the overall bullish structure remains intact.

📊 Core Market Drivers The following factors have collectively contributed to the current market weakness: Technical Breakdown: Bitcoin has consecutively breached multiple key support levels recently, with a clear bearish structure forming in its technical pattern. Moving Average Indicator: The EMA fast line has crossed below the slow line, forming a "death cross"—a signal that confirms strengthening downward momentum. Market Sentiment: As prices have pulled back from their highs, a large number of long positions have been liquidated, spreading panic across the market. 💎 Trading Strategy Recommendations sell @115000 tp 109000 sl 117500