DiscosCryptos

im not really a fan... but its time Im just seeing opportunities to go long on good value tokens. None of this is financial advice, im just pointing out that if you are patient and know what you are looking for then the right times to trade are easy to spot.my long strat has triggered

Im just seeing opportunities to go long on good value tokens. None of this is financial advice, im just pointing out that if you are patient and know what you are looking for then the right times to trade are easy to spot.my long strat has triggered

Im just seeing opportunities to go long on good value tokens. None of this is financial advice, im just pointing out that if you are patient and know what you are looking for then the right times to trade are easy to spot.my long strat has triggered

Im just seeing opportunities to go long on good value tokens. None of this is financial advice, im just pointing out that if you are patient and know what you are looking for then the right times to trade are easy to spot.my long strat has triggered

Im just seeing opportunities to go long on good value tokens. None of this is financial advice, im just pointing out that if you are patient and know what you are looking for then the right times to trade are easy to spot.my long strat has triggered

Im just seeing opportunities to go long on good value tokens. None of this is financial advice, im just pointing out that if you are patient and know what you are looking for then the right times to trade are easy to spot.my long strat has triggered

Im just seeing opportunities to go long on good value tokens. None of this is financial advice, im just pointing out that if you are patient and know what you are looking for then the right times to trade are easy to spot.my long strat has triggered

Im just seeing opportunities to go long on good value tokens. None of this is financial advice, im just pointing out that if you are patient and know what you are looking for then the right times to trade are easy to spot.my long strat has triggered

As I've been in cash since my last post, it is quite nerve racking to be out of the market as I believe in the long term bullishness of BTC. The weekly shows the macro time frame, which is harder to be manipulated. Price action is being governed by the downwards resistance line (in green), acting as resistance and maybe a good place to short from. I have identified on the charts the similar times in the past where we are today:- MACD lines have crossed, are both aimed down, and the MACD histogram has had a (temporary in the past) change in color from dark red to light red - showing a change in momentum. (Traders use the MACD’s histogram to identify peaks of bullish or bearish momentum, and to generate overbought/oversold trade signals. )In the past, price only started moving up again after a few successive bars of lighter red, with often lower lows happening in this time.Additionally, a cross of the 2 MACD lines has been the point at which the momentum changes from bearish to bullish.What im trying to say:We are clearly in a down trend, with lower highs and lower lows. Price is not just going to miraculously rebound, as there is a lot of downward momentum still present (atleast looking at the past and comparing).There could be a bullish push in price that will likely fail, which may have already occured - but this will probably still lead to lower lows and lower highs. We are a few weeks away at least of a bullish cross on the MACD lines so be patient for investment entries, and careful with trading entries.Fundamentals in play:IMO Trump is in the process of trying to refinance the US debt, meaning that be crashing stocks he will be able to get a lower rate at which to repay the debt. I believe that his ego is wanting him to make sure that the USA is great again, and that his legacy will be of one that the stock market sees much higher prices. If that is his goal, it would sense that he would want to personally load up on stocks at cheap prices - accumulating at the lows before he starts QE. The tariffs IMO are bad in the short term, increasing inflation to the end consumer, but will allow US companies to benefit from more local productivity - strengthening the US producing companies. The money made from tariffs, and DOGE - will allow for stimulus to be pumped and allow the poorer people in the states to benefit in the long term... SoWhat im looking out for:The USA will not stop quantitative tightening (QT) until something breaks. It has been the opinion of them that its easier to print money to correct a mistake, than to try and chase inflation by letting it get out of control by reducing the interest rates too early. The pain in the stock and crypto markets is visibly seeing this. I am looking for something to break, and its starting to look this way:Unemployment figures has spiked - something that is very alarming after the yield curve (10yr-2yr US Gov Bonds) had left its inverted state - historically recessions have occured 6 months after this. The stock markets have crashed, with indicaitons that the crash has not seen its bottom yet.Global war at this stage is an economic one - where USA has very punitive tarriffs on all non-us goods, and other countries are in the process of doing the same in retaliation. TLDR:We are not at the bottom yet, mometum is still down. I am on higher low watch, looking for a place to buy back in. Areas of interest are the last macro highs around 72k with the 618 level being around 50k.I dont think it will go as low as 50k, as there are big players like countries and big companies that are wanting to buy cheap btc. If 108k was the top of the cycle (i doubt it was), then the absolute lowest i think it can go right now is 25-35k.I will be DCAing from 72-50k, with a majority buy of my portfolio at 50k. If it goes lower, I will be buying even harder

When in doubt zoom out. And when you do, and you draw a trend line from the past 2 cycle peaks - you see that we have grinded into the trendline. I do believe that one day we will probably break this line, but i think that happens with some kind of super adoption of BTC into daily lives. As it stands, RSI and price seem to be rolling over.