Cyranus
@t_Cyranus
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Cyranus

BNB broke out of a weekly Bullflag and reached new ATHs. This should be bullish for all of Crypto if it holds.
Cyranus

I was not looking for a bottom in the SP500, but for Relative Strength in Gold with the relative Strength line from Trader Lion´s Indicator, on the weekly timeframe. Yet I noticed that the last peak in Relative Strength in Gold was on march 16th 2020. This made me curious so I went back and looked at all RS Peaks from 2008 till now, and they all coincided with bottoms in the SP500 to the very day. Some of those bottoms were absolutely massive buying opportunities: 2/3/09, 6/28/10, 2/1/16, 3/16/20, I also counted the peak on 12/17/18, despite a missing peak signal. Two Peak Signals were wrong or early, for example we had a signal on 3/9/20 (7 days before the real signal and real bottom), and one signal on June 6th 2022, so 7 days before the signal we got right now, on 6/13/22. I also want to point out, that on every other occation, we didnt have massive inflation and a tightening into worsening economic conditions. So I wanted to see more confirmation, for that purpose I´ve used the McClellan Summation Index, and the McClellan Oscillator. The MO shows a nice bullish divergence, and the MSI shows an abysmall market breadth, often coinciding with bottoms in the market. Do with this information, whatever your confirmation bias makes you want to do, but stay safe and manage risk! This is not financial advice and I am more often wrong than right. Pesonally, I will buy some Calls and reduce my short positions.So far, this has worked out pretty good. I am reducing my long positions, but not adding to shorts yet.Getting out of all Longs, adding some shorts, once I see a 1% + red candle with above average (30day) Volume.
Cyranus

The Return of the Golden BullTechnical Analysis- Gold has been in a 2 year consolidation, after a 7 year uptrend of over 90% from 2018 to 2020. - Price Action is contracting on a monthly basis, within a bullish pennant. - After an intermediate bear trend of 3 months, Gold is at a massive horizontal support, coming from the 2011 High. - Gold is also right above the rising trendline from the march 2021 low and above the falling trendline from the august 2020 high. - This might be a multi year buying opportunity for Gold, it is hard to put a price target on it, but I would assume around 4000$ could be achieved, if everything goes as expected.Fundamental Analysis- There is also a point to be made for gold, fundamentally. - We are at record inflation, tightening into slowing economic conditions. - Bonds are loosing massively, as are equities and Bitcoin. - Gold has been holding up rather well, despite the US10Y and the DXY rising relentlessly. - In my opinion this is an indicator, that Gold is still the true safe hafen asset to investors, in case of monetary debasement and simultaneously worsening economic conditions. Enter the trade- I am waiting for a short term trend change, as we are currently below the 5, 10, 20, and 50 day moving averages. - I want to see Gold above a rising 5dma, crossing the 10dma. - I am also looking for a weekly close above 1877$. - Gold has been awfully hard to trade in the past months, due to extremely choppy action, often giving daily buy and sell signals on the RSC Trend Trading Indicator, right after each other, so I will be cautious. This is not financial advice, I wish you good luck trading. CheersTomGold has been hit hard, instead of going up, luckily I have not entered any position, because the Set Up was not given. As of right now, I have accumulated a little bit of Gold on friday, and might continue to do so next week. Gold landed on the 200 Week EMA, and so far it held.
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