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🛑 Sidelined Due to Geopolitical Tensions in the Middle EastDue to the rising geopolitical tensions and the ongoing conflict in the Middle East, I’ve decided to stay out of the market for now. War-related news often triggers short-term volatility, driven more by fear and uncertainty than technical or fundamental analysis. I prefer to wait until the market stabilizes and the emotional reactions fade, allowing for more reliable trade setups.

📈 Bitcoin Showing Bullish Intentions as Selling Pressure WeakensIn the last three 4H candles, we’ve seen a decline in volume alongside smaller candle bodies, even as the price has moved slightly lower. This typically signals weakening selling pressure and increasing bullish interest.As long as price doesn't print a lower low below $105,500 and fails to break above $110,246, Bitcoin is likely building structure for a potential bullish breakout. If the current level holds and BTC begins to rally from here, the new higher low would likely be around $107,000 — reinforcing the bullish trend structure.🧠 Key Insight: Wait for a clear long trigger before entering; the market is currently in a cool-off phase, not a reversal.

📊 Bitcoin Price Update: Key Resistance Ahead – Range Likely Before FOMCAs previously discussed, Bitcoin may be entering a short-term consolidation phase. The current candlestick structure suggests that recent price action is driven by profit-taking from long positions, not aggressive selling. If bears were in control, we would have seen a deeper retracement by now — a positive sign for bulls.Bitcoin is approaching a critical resistance zone between $110,264 and $111,782. If the price enters this range, some supply pressure is expected. However, as long as BTC holds above $107,000, the bullish market structure remains intact.---🔍 Key Technical Observations:Recent candles show profit-taking, not distributionSellers are not yet active — indicating continued bullish sentimentBitcoin dominance is pulling back slightly while BTC ranges — this has led to stronger moves in altcoinsIf BTC dips while dominance continues to fall, it could set the stage for an early altcoin rally (altseason)---🕰️ Macro Events on the Radar:Key upcoming news:U.S. CPI DataFOMC Rate Decision – Wednesday next weekUntil then, the market may remain range-bound as it awaits clarityRecommendation: lower risk exposure, reduce position size, and stay selective with trades---⚠️ Altcoin Strategy:If you're already in altcoin long positions, consider partial profit-takingWatch Bitcoin dominance closely: continued downside could fuel a broader altseasonKeep an eye on BTC’s $107K support and its reaction near $111.7K resistance---📈 Summary:Critical Resistance Zone: $110,264 – $111,782Key Support: $107,000Market Bias: Cautiously bullishFOMC Outlook: Sideways movement likely until Wednesday

📊 Bitcoin Price Update: Key Resistance Zone Between $110K and $111.7K — Range-Bound Potential AheadAs previously mentioned, Bitcoin's price action suggests that a break above $106,355 would signal the start of a bullish trend, and so far, we've seen upward momentum maintained while staying above $107K.Now, Bitcoin has reached a critical resistance zone between $110,246.83 and $111,782.11. This area presents a potential for market hesitation, as it aligns with a strong resistance level. Given the significant movement over the past few days, it’s possible the market may enter a range-bound phase as it consolidates and structures itself for the next move.---📉 Possible Short-Term Range:Range Between: $110,246.83 to $111,782.11Expect possible sideways consolidation before continuing the trend---📈 Bullish Continuation:As long as Bitcoin remains above $107K, the bullish trend remains intactBreak above $111,782.11 may signal continuation toward higher targets

[url=https://www.tradingview.com/chart/BTCUSDT/3ZuOHe7v-Bitcoin-at-Key-Pivot-Reversal-in-Progress-or-Range-Ahead/]https://www.tradingview.com/chart/BTCUSDT/3ZuOHe7v-Bitcoin-at-Key-Pivot-Reversal-in-Progress-or-Range-Ahead/📊 Bitcoin 1H–4H Analysis: V-Shaped Recovery in Play — Range Still Holding Unless $106,355 BreaksBitcoin continues to consolidate within the range of $101,638 – $110,173, as previously anticipated. This range-bound movement remains valid unless price breaks above the $106,355 level.On the 1H and 4H timeframes, a V-shaped recovery pattern is forming, which increases the likelihood of a bullish breakout. However, the orange trendline drawn from previous price action still holds as a key dynamic level — offering both technical structure and resistance.---🟢 Long Setup:📍 Entry Trigger: Break and close above $106,355📈 Momentum Confirmation: If RSI on the 1H timeframe closes above 67, it adds strong confirmation to the bullish bias🛡️ Stop-loss: Around $104,950---⚠️ Range Context:Current range: $101,638 – $110,173As long as price stays inside this range, both breakout and breakdown setups remain valid📉 Breakdown zone: Still watching $103,822.8 as bearish trigger (from earlier analysis)

📉 Bitcoin 4H Chart: Trendline Test in Play — Wait for Breakdown Before ShortingOn the 4-hour timeframe, Bitcoin is currently testing a key orange trendline, which has so far acted as a bullish continuation support. Every time the price has touched this trendline, it has bounced back up — making it critical to wait for confirmation before opening any short positions.---🔻 Short Setup:⛔ Don’t short early. Wait for the trendline to be clearly broken📍 Entry Trigger: Short below $103,822.8 after trendline breakdown📌 This level acts as a technical trigger confirming bearish continuation---🟢 Long Setup Remains Valid:📍 Entry Trigger: Break and close above $106,491---🧠 Why Patience Matters:The orange trendline is a continuation trendline, and historically, BTC has bounced upward each time it's tested. Premature shorts may result in being caught in a reversal. Wait for a confirmed close below the trendline + $103,822.8 before entering.

🍰 CAKEUSDTIn the 4-hour timeframe, CAKE has printed a red candle at key resistance, signaling short-term selling pressure. However, if this doesn’t lead to a deeper move down, it could indicate that overhead supply has been cleared, potentially setting the stage for an upside breakout.---🟢 Long Setup:📍 Entry Trigger: Break and close above $2.464🛡️ Stop-loss Options:Conservative: Below $2.41Safer: Below $2.40📈 Momentum Confirmation:✅ If RSI crosses above 64 on the 1-hour timeframe, it adds further bullish confirmation for the long setup---🚨 Key Resistance to Watch:Major resistance sits at $2.86⚡ If price fails to trigger above $2.464, consider waiting for a confirmed breakout above $2.86 as an alternative long entry---✅ Summary:CAKE is at a technical decision point. If current selling pressure fades and RSI supports momentum, the setup above $2.464 becomes attractive. Watch closely for volume spikes and RSI behavior to confirm strength.

📈 Bitcoin 1H Update: Sell Pressure vs Buyer Momentum — Key Long/Short Triggers + Altcoin WatchlistIn the 1-hour timeframe, Bitcoin (BTC) is currently experiencing strong sell pressure. However, if sellers fail to push the price lower, bulls may regain control, opening the door for an upward move.---🟢 Long Setup:Trigger: Break and candle close above $106,491Early Entry Option: If price shows strong bullish momentum with rising volume, early longs can be considered even before $106,491RSI Confirmation: If RSI closes above 59 on the 4H chart, it further validates bullish bias---🔻 Short Setup:Trigger: Break below $103,834---📊 Momentum Clues:Watch volume increase on upward moves as a momentum confirmationIf volume rises during push-ups and RSI aligns, that’s a strong buy signal---💡 Altcoin Watchlist for Longs:If you're considering altcoin longs instead of BTC:✅ ETH — Showing structural strength✅ CAKE — Worth watching for breakout setups

📈 Bitcoin at Key Pivot: Reversal in Progress or Range Ahead? (Price Action + Dominance Strategy)After a corrective move, Bitcoin (BTC) now appears to be exiting the pullback phase sooner than expected.A confirmed breakout above $106,492 would likely invalidate the previous downtrend and suggest bullish continuation. Notably, we saw a volume surge near this level, reinforcing the breakout signal.---📊 Possible Scenarios:1. Bullish Continuation:📍 Entry: On 4H or daily candle close above $106,492🛡️ Stop-loss: $104,949📈 Upside Range: Potential resistance near $110,173.432. Failed Breakout / Short Opportunity:❌ If price fails to reclaim $106,492 and breaks below $103,834,🔻 This opens a short setup.Important: Before opening a short, check BTC Dominance:If dominance is rising, favor altcoin shortsIf dominance is falling, short BTC directly---🧠 Dominance Strategy for Longs:If BTC dominance is increasing, go long on BTCIf BTC dominance is decreasing, favor altcoin longsTwo altcoins with strong setups: AAVE and APE (see earlier posts for details)---📌 Range Possibility:If neither breakout nor breakdown occurs, BTC may range between $101,638.45 and $110,173.43 in the short term — trade accordingly.

🚀 AAVE Showing Strength — Key Breakout Level & Trade Setup (Short-Term Strategy)Among major altcoins, AAVE stands out as one of the few maintaining its bullish structure.A breakout above $258.54 can offer a solid entry opportunity in futures, supported by momentum and price structure.---🧠 Trade Setup Details:🎯 Entry Trigger: Break and hold above $258.54🛡️ Risky Stop-Loss: $253.95🎯 First Target: $272.20 (favorable risk-to-reward ratio)💰 Profit Strategy:Either take profits at $272.20Or hold the position and trail your stop to $248.94 to make the trade risk-free---📊 Extra Confirmation (1H Chart):If RSI crosses above 70 on the 1-hour timeframe, it adds another layer of bullish confirmation and can be used as a momentum entry trigger.---✅ Summary:AAVE is technically positioned for potential upside, and if price confirms strength above key levels, it presents a clean short-term long setup with well-defined risk parameters. One of the few altcoins still holding its bullish structure.
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Any content and materials included in Sahmeto's website and official communication channels are a compilation of personal opinions and analyses and are not binding. They do not constitute any recommendation for buying, selling, entering or exiting the stock market and cryptocurrency market. Also, all news and analyses included in the website and channels are merely republished information from official and unofficial domestic and foreign sources, and it is obvious that users of the said content are responsible for following up and ensuring the authenticity and accuracy of the materials. Therefore, while disclaiming responsibility, it is declared that the responsibility for any decision-making, action, and potential profit and loss in the capital market and cryptocurrency market lies with the trader.