CORE5DAN

Bitcoin is at a hinge point. Technical View: Weekly volume profile looks bearish, but if BTC closes above 119,465.52 the setup flips into an explosive breakout. Macro View: The dollar is boxed (96.7–98.3) and fiscal stress + Fed cut bets are weighing on USD. Gold is at record highs on safe-haven demand. In this environment, macro liquidity can override technical ceilings. That’s why I’ve stepped back to scalping until the macro picture stabilizes. The market is running on liquidity hunts, not clean structure. 🔑 Levels to Watch BTC: Weekly close >119,465.52 → ignition higher DXY: Breakout from 96.7–98.3 range decides cross-asset direction When macros dominate, technicals bend. Patience and risk control matter more than chart perfection here.

🚀 “117,998.17” — We Hit the Trigger We pierced a massive rally threshold today (117,998.17) — a short squeeze or momentum flush — yet dollar and gold remain locked in ranges. That dissonance tells you this is a liquidity-game market, not a clean trend. We’re still trading in what I’d call an overpriced arena — volatility amplified, direction masked. Price action will mislead until a big macro break comes. The dollar remains boxed: Value Area High ~98.322 / Low ~96.747. Gold, meantime, is ripping higher under safe-haven flows, hitting record highs amid shutdown fears and rate cut bets. Meanwhile, bitcoin is getting a bullish tailwind. Whale accumulation, institutional demand, and macro narratives favoring digital gold are pushing sentiment. Macro catalysts (Fed, U.S. jobs, fiscal politics) could fuel either direction — but the setup is leaning toward asymmetric upside in risk assets if USD weakens. LOOK OUT: Liquidity hunts likely before clarity — expect fake-outs. Dollar must break its box for cross-pairs and cryptos to trend. Bitcoin is better aligned with the upside in this regime than dollar or gold.

Bitcoin has spent three months consolidating near record highs. That kind of sideways grind usually ends with a liquidity hunt. If the dollar finishes its current swing higher, Bitcoin likely tags the mid-range support zone next. Two major downside targets remain on the map for the coming months. Probability of a flush lower sits around ~80% It’s a normal structural move: after heavy consolidation, price seeks liquidity before the next sustained leg. Dollar drifts lower as U.S. growth stays hot—Q2 GDP +3.8% and a government-shutdown risk on deck. Bitcoin presses $111K–112K resistance while whales quietly accumulate after recent liquidation spikes. Price is at the hinge: soft USD supports risk, but volatility is loaded. Trade the structure, not the noise.

Bitcoin’s chart is one thing, but the bigger story is what’s driving the money behind it. The Fed & Yields The Federal Reserve is still the invisible hand. Every surprise in rates—whether a hotter inflation print or a sudden hint of deeper cuts—moves global risk appetite. Lower real yields = cheaper capital = stronger bid for assets like BTC. A hawkish turn does the opposite. Institutional Flow Big money isn’t just buying dips—it’s writing new rules. Case in point: asset manager Strive is set to acquire about 5,800 BTC (≈ $675 million) through a corporate deal. Moves like this tighten available supply and add a slow, steady demand base. Bitcoin Technical View This week’s candle is shaping up bearish, and Monday will tell us if today’s Sunday session finishes the job. If the market doesn’t fill that daily gap, we’ll be watching Monday’s open closely. Right now the daily range runs from 113,999 down to 108,644. If the dollar pushes into higher liquidity zones, Bitcoin could feel the pressure and drift lower. The plan is simple: wait for a clear shift on the smaller time frames before making any move and calculate risk from there. Patience matters more than bravado—let the market come to you. For now, the setup still looks constructive, but it only pays to act when the levels confirm. Trade small, stay calm, and protect your capital first.

The macro tape stays busy this week: • Powell’s latest comments cooled equity risk. • The Bank of England announced changes to its foreign-currency reserve management. • OECD interim report flagged resilient but uneven global growth. • Gulf central banks cut rates while the Fed stays cautious. My Technical View Price action shows weekly buyers losing momentum while the dollar still presses higher. We’re trading around the volume-range midpoint, so expect chop, but momentum favors the dollar for now. Key DXY Levels Support: 110.600 – a decisive close below opens the path toward the 107-ish range. Deep liquidity zone: 102-area remains a magnet for market-maker discounting if selling accelerates. Higher-timeframe bias: still bullish range, so any short plays are tactical, not “hold forever.” Bitcoin BTC tracks macro flows closely; watch how it reacts if DXY tests those supports. A sustained dollar breakout could pressure BTC’s recent strength, while a DXY fade would give crypto another tailwind. Plan Stay patient around the mid-range chop. Let the daily closes decide if the 110.600 break is real before scaling positions.

Weekend trade after the FOMC has been a ghost town—low volume and choppy, un-tradable price action. The dollar has been pinned inside a narrow hourly fractal range: high 116.211 / low 115.132. I’ve been waiting for a sharp dollar pullback with a news driver, but the broader macro picture keeps price in oversold territory. Timing the next big move is anyone’s guess. For now: Higher-timeframe bias: still unpredictable. Intraday (high-frequency) moves: perfectly tradable. Crypto: don’t expect a clean breakout this weekend. On the weekly map, there’s a bullish imbalance that still needs to be tapped. Expect any breakout to have a dose of manipulation—trade carefully.

BTC holding firm while DXY chops. 🎯 117,416 target tagged overnight. Next magnet sits near 118,626 if market makers keep grinding. Overnight action printed a volume discount zone—I missed that fill and won’t chase. I’m simply trailing yesterday’s entry, no new adds. Red zone above is weekly bearish distribution, so after a 15-hour trading day yesterday it’s time to let the market work.

Key Levels • Major liquidity pocket tagged at 117,898.79. • After that sweep, price printed a string of bearish fractals. • Market makers are now likely eyeing the cluster of minor fractals at 117.4k, 118.6k, and 119.3k. Trade Recap All three upside targets were reached over the weekend. I’m flat now, but in hindsight a trailed stop would have captured more of the move as price kept running. Plan Forward Watching how price reacts around the 118k–119k zone for clues on the next leg. A decisive rejection here could open a deeper retrace; sustained acceptance sets up a fresh structure. Not financial advice—pure market structure analysis using the CORE 5 lens.

Bitcoin has reached the upside objective I mapped from the prior point of structure, tagging $116,833.25 in today’s session.

Good morning traders— Bitcoin is pressing toward 116,833.25 while the U.S. Dollar Index grinds into a fresh bullish range ahead of key U.S. data. Notably, there’s a major volume node near 11,861. We could see price hover or even dip into that pocket on the headline drop before any attempt at the higher target. Classic market-maker mind games: build liquidity, shake stops, then decide the real direction. Macro backdrop U.S. CPI tomorrow keeps rate-cut odds alive. Treasury yields firm, adding fuel to the dollar bid. Equity futures soft, hinting at defensive flows. Plan Keep stops tight and trailing, only ride trades backed by strong volume. Patience until post-news—let the data show the hand before sizing up. Stay nimble and let the market makers reveal their move. Happy trading.