
BradMatheny
@t_BradMatheny
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BradMatheny

Today's pattern suggests the SPY/QQQ may move downward a bit as a Rally in Counter-trend mode suggests more of a breakdown type of pattern today.I believe the recent GAP on the SPY/QQQ chart (Monday) sets an easy target for price to attempt to fill that gap downward.Gold and Silver are in a very strong rally phase over the next 5+ trading days. Get ready for an explosive upward trend in metals.Bitcoin is stalling near the upper channel. I suspect we may see a rollover and downward price trend in Bitcoin.Overall, today is a day I plan on getting as far as I can on my new book. Over the past few weeks, I've had lots of disruptions and family emergencies.Today, I think I have a full day of working on code/projects and the book.I gave you guys a little glimpse into my work on the book today and I expect to have it ready within the next 10-15 days (God willing).Get some.#trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #gold #nq #investing #trading #spytrading #spymarket #tradingmarket #stockmarket #silver

BradMatheny

This post-market update highlights the weakening volume while my primary proprietary modeling system continues to stay BULLISH. The markets are really quite interesting right now. Weakening volume in this Gapping uptrend, today, suggests traders are not buying into the ceasefire between Iran and Israel. Additionally, the move in metals suggests a PANIC phase has setup in the US markets. This type of panic phase typically leads to selling of assets and moving capital into CASH. I suggest traders continue to prepare for a moderate melt upward trend over the next few days - but be prepared for any potential breakdown (possibly trying to FILL THE GAP). This market appears to be running on fumes. While I believe Trump's policies will lead to a stronger bullish price trend over the next few years, these disruptions and the potential for consumers to pull away from spending/economic activity over the second half of 2025 is still very real. Buckle up. At this point, hedge your trades, move some capital into CASH and prepare for bigger price volatility as we move into July 2025. Get some. #trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #gold #nq #investing #trading #spytrading #spymarket #tradingmarket #stockmarket #silver

BradMatheny

Today's POP pattern suggests a potential big price move will take place. Given the overnight activity on the ES (rallying higher then rolling over), I suggest today's price move may attempt to retest these overnight highs, then repeat the breakdown phase into the close. The markets continue to try to melt upward. This trend will continue until the markets decide to break downward. After the deep low created by the tariff news, the markets continue to try to rally to new highs. It is very likely that Q2 earnings data may push the SPY to new ATH levels before we see any big rotation in price. The markets have a tendency to move just above recent highs, then stall and revert downward as a pullback. This move may be no different. The continued stalling of price trying to move higher recently suggests the markets are running into moderate resistance and I believe traders are actively pulling capital away from this rally. The trend is still BULLISH. Stay cautious of this upward move as a breakdown could happen at any time. Gold and Silver are moving into an impressive rally phase. Silver and Platinum have moved considerably higher over the past 10+ days. I believe Gold is lagging and will make a big move higher over the next 5 to 10+ days. Silver is targeting $41-44+. Gold should target $3400 to $3500+ near the same time. Bitcoin made a huge rally yesterday - reaching my 110,500 upper resistance level. Now, we see if Bitcoin has the momentum to carry higher or if it will fail and rollover into a downtrend. It seems we are right as a MAKE or BREAK level in the markets. I'm still a believer of MELT UP until it fails. I continue to watch for technical failure - but I've not seen it happen yet. Get some. #trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #gold #nq #investing #trading #spytrading #spymarket #tradingmarket #stockmarket #silver

BradMatheny

If you have been following my research on Bitcoin, you already know I published a prediction of a Double-Top pattern and a potential breakdown in Bitcoin on May 20, 2025. TradingView selected this video as an Editor's Pick and it received thousands of views. Thank you for all the great comments and questions from everyone. Now, after about 3+ Weeks, we are starting to see BTCUSD move below my $102,500 support level (my breakdown level) and this could be the start of a broad downward price phase for BTCUSD and US/Global assets. If you have followed any of my longer-term research, you'll quickly understand why I believe the US markets will struggle through most of 2025 as the world attempts to adjust to Trump leadership. This uncertainty will likely result in a sideways-consolidation phase in many global markets and a disruption of hard and soft assets. In this regard, you can read the content of my original post (May 20). Right now, I want to warn you that an immediate price rejection of the breakdown move is likely - possibly targeting $105k or higher. This type of rejection is very common before price makes a much bigger move. So, be prepared for BTCUSD to attempt to reject and move back above $105k, then stall and break downward very hard - trying to move below $80k in an initial downward price phase. It's going to be very interesting to see how this plays out with my broad cycle research. I'm still expecting a July 2025 and October 2025 MAJOR LOW cycle phase to play out. Buckle up. Get some #trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #gold #nq #investing #trading #spytrading #spymarket #tradingmarket #stockmarket #silver

BradMatheny

I've been very clear over the past few weeks that I believe the markets are poised for a rollover/topping pattern and I believe BTCUSD is showing us exactly how/when that rollover top is going to play out (June 1-June 9). In the meantime, I believe the SPY/QQQ are entering a more volatile "early topping" formation while still in an uptrend (Bullish). I urge traders to start watching various sectors for weakness and keeping your eyes open for any signs the market could be moving into a sideways price rotation. I think the rollover top will be aligned with some financial event (trade/tariff/other) that will result in a broad disruption of the US/Global markets. And I believe BTCUSD will lead the move by about 4-7+ days. Gold and Silver are starting to move higher again. That is a sure sign that traders are now more actively seeking to hedge global risks (again). I believe this move higher in metals may continue through this week and into next week (looking for that top in the SPY/QQQ). Follow my detailed BTCUSD video to learn why BTCUSD may continue to try to push a bit higher before topping and moving into a broad price decline. Get some.. #trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #gold #nq #investing #trading #spytrading #spymarket #tradingmarket #stockmarket #silver

BradMatheny

I highlighted this incredible price/technical pattern in my morning Plan Your Trade video. But, I thought it was important enough to create a separate video highlighting this incredible Double-Top warning and to try to tell all of my followers to start actively protecting capital over the next 2-3+ weeks. As much as I would like to say this won't happen (meaning some type of crisis event or global financial crisis) causing a collapse in Bitcoin (and the US/Global markets) - but I believe the continued constraints on the global markets, related to Trump's policies and attempts to reduce US govt spending) will act as a devaluation event for global economies. Think about it for a minute... 1. If the US is able to remove $500-900 Billion in fraud/waste/NGO spending (of which, a portion of that spending is dedicated to supporting global initiatives/spending), this will result in a contraction (in some form) for some global economies. 2. If the US is able to negotiate more favorable tariff rates for US goods supplied to the world (where foreign nations reduce or eliminate tariffs on US goods), this will also act as a reduction in economic income for many foreign nations. 3. These combined and continued efforts to restructure the US economy into a strong and more dynamic global economic driver (more fairly balanced in terms of global trade) will come at the expense of breaking away from what has traditionally been untouched. This breaking of the past, in terms of what nations expected related to US spending and tariffs on US Goods, may represent a 15-25% (or more) contraction in foreign economic activity. If this disruption from "what was normal" results in the US Fed, or global central banks, taking emergency measures to address short-falls in their economies, this could prompt a series of events that could result in a broad devaluation type of event (very similar to what happened after COVID in 2022-2023). That event was prompted by the US Fed raising rates trying to stop inflation. This event could be the result of slower/lower economic outputs/expectations related to the changing tariff rates and the reduction in US spending throughout the world. Central Banks and regional governments may attempt to provide some type of capital stimulus to transition through this phase - but I see that as "building a bigger bubble - just waiting to pop". The smart move for global central banks is to follow the US's lead and start to move towards more austerity/accountability regarding their own economies/spending and attempt to let the devaluation price phase play out. Either way, time will tell if I'm correct or not. You have been warned. IMO, you have about 3-6 weeks before BTCUSD potentially tops and may roll into a very strong breakdown phase. Get Some. #trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #gold #nq #investing #trading #spytrading #spymarket #tradingmarket #stockmarket #silver

BradMatheny

Today's pattern suggests the SPY/QQQ will stay somewhat FLAT in trading. In this video, I go over the SPY/QQQ, Gold/Silver, and BTCUSD. What I find interesting in today's video is the setup in BTCUSD - being very similar to the peak in late 2021 before the double-top in Bitcoin. If my analysis is correct, we are moving into a type of final speculative phase (bullish) that will quickly transition into a type of breakdown move in the US/Global markets. Gold should do very well once this move sets up and begins to drive the Risk/Hedge trade. In the meantime, sit back and wait for this speculative move to phase out (top). Get some. #trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #gold #nq #investing #trading #spytrading #spymarket #tradingmarket #stockmarket #silver

BradMatheny

I will be unavailable tomorrow morning to do my normal Plan Your Trade video at 5am. So, I'm delivering this video for all of you tonight to assist you with the SPY cycle pattern tomorrow.As soon as I get my brother settled in for his surgery, I'll find a Starbucks and settle in to check on the markets.This is a short video - so please understand the context of the markets may depend on what happens overnight.Get some.#trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #gold #nq #investing #trading #spytrading #spymarket #tradingmarket #stockmarket #silver

BradMatheny

Today's Breakaway In Counter Trend mode suggests the markets will likely attempt to break downward before the end of trading, today. Why do I state the downward trend direction? Because the LT/ST trends are BULLISH and the general upward price trend in the SPY over the past 5-10+ days.Counter-trend patterns are typically inverted compared to the general 5-8 day price trend. If we can't clearly identify a 5-8 day price trend, then the counter-trend patterns should be determined based on the ST/LT and BIAS trend information on the SPY Cycle Patterns data window.Today, being a FOMC comment day, should stay rather muted/sideways in early trading. Normally, on FOMC days, the markets tend to stay paused ahead of the FOMC comments.I believe the FED will not raise or lower rates - meaning NO CHANGE. I don't believe the US Fed has any reason to be concerned with US economic performance right now.Gold and Silver should move into a rally phase today - but that will likely come near the end of the day as the FED comments drive the markets.BTCUSD has moved into an early FLAGGING formation. This could be very interesting as BTCUSD has been leading the SPY/QQQ by about 4-6 trading days over the past few weeks.If BTCUSD continues to lead the SPY/QQQ - that means the SPY/QQQ would be in the early breakdown phase right now - moving into a FLAGGING formation possibly next week.Get some.#trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #gold #nq #investing #trading #spytrading #spymarket #tradingmarket #stockmarket #silver

BradMatheny

Today's pattern suggests a morning GAP will take place and price will continue to break away from yesterday's body range.Given the fact that the markets are already almost 0.8-0.9% lower than yesterday's closing price level, this suggests the markets will continue to trend downward today.Is this it? Is this the breakdown for May 2-5, seeking the Major Bottom I've talked about for the past 3+ weeks?We'll find out over the next 5-10+ days.Ultimately, the EPP patterns have aligned across multiple instruments/symbols to present a very clear opportunity to the downside. Now, we need to watch and wait as the markets should be moving into the early FLAGGING stage of the downward EPP pattern.After the FLAGGING pattern, we should get the breakdown into consolidation, which is where I believe big profits can be made. That breakdown into the consolidation phase is usually very aggressive and can often be after the FLAGGING range.Gold and Silver are making a move higher. I suggested this would be the case over the past 5-10+ days - but, boy, was it frustrating to watch Gold and Silver consolidate over the past few weeks.At this point, I'm looking for Gold to rally above $3500 and for Silver to attempt to rally above $34.00.Bitcoin seems to be leading the SPY/QQQ (again) and appears to be about 2-3 days ahead of the major US indexes, attempting to move into a downward FLAGGING formation.This could be very interesting if BTCUSD continues to lead the SPY/QQQ. Meaning, we may be able to rely on the structures/setups in BTCUSD as a 2-3 day early window of that the SPY/QQQ may be doing (for a while). I'm sure it won't continue to align at some point in the future.Again, I'm getting great comments from followers and subscribers. Thank you.I'm doing my best to deliver the best research I can within these 15 to 20-min videos.Get some.#trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #gold #nq #investing #trading #spytrading #spymarket #tradingmarket #stockmarket #silver
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Any content and materials included in Sahmeto's website and official communication channels are a compilation of personal opinions and analyses and are not binding. They do not constitute any recommendation for buying, selling, entering or exiting the stock market and cryptocurrency market. Also, all news and analyses included in the website and channels are merely republished information from official and unofficial domestic and foreign sources, and it is obvious that users of the said content are responsible for following up and ensuring the authenticity and accuracy of the materials. Therefore, while disclaiming responsibility, it is declared that the responsibility for any decision-making, action, and potential profit and loss in the capital market and cryptocurrency market lies with the trader.