AstronautPioneer

1. Trend and Trend Lines Prices are trading below a major descending trend line. → The overall trend remains down. The long-term ascending trend line (red) has already broken out, signaling weakening buying pressure and increased downward pressure. 2. Key Resistance 4.103 – 4.105: Strong resistance zone where the Fibonacci (0.618–0.5), horizontal resistance, and EMA overlap. → Selling is likely to reassert itself in this price range. 3. Key Support 3.932 – 3.940: This is the strongest support zone, overlapping the Fibonacci extension at 2.618. This is an important low point in the bearish structure. 4. Price Scenario If prices fail to retest the resistance at 4.103, → A continued decline along the downward trend is likely. The next target is around 3.932 – 3.950. Summary Major Trend: Downward Strong Resistance: 4.103 – 4.105 Target Support: 3.932 – 3.950 Structure: Trendline Break + Fibo Extension → Prefer Downward Scenario BUY GOLD: 3932 – 3930 Stop Loss: 3922 Take Profit: 100–300–500 pips SELL SCALP GOLD: 4064 – 4066 Stop Loss: 4073 Take Profit: 100–300–500 pips SELL GOLD: 4103 – 4105 Stop Loss: 4115 Take Profit: 100–300–500 pips

📊 Support – Resistance – Fibonacci Analysis 1. Trend Overview Price has broken below the ascending channel, signaling a shift into a corrective downtrend phase. 2. Key Resistance Zone 4,155 – 4,170 Confluence of Fibonacci retracement 0.5 – 0.618 Overlaps with a supply zone + EMA20 → Strong resistance, high probability of selling pressure. This is also the expected pullback/retest area before the next bearish leg. 3. Key Support Levels Support 1 – 4,108 Fibonacci extension 1.0 Horizontal support → Likely to generate a short-term reaction. Support 2 – 3,950 (Fibo 2.618) Major downside target if the structure fully breaks → Primary bearish target for a deeper continuation. 4. Price Scenario Price may pull back toward 4,155 – 4,170, then: → Resume the downtrend, targeting 4,108. A clean break below 4,108 opens the path toward 3,950 (Fibo 2.618). BUY GOLD : 3950 - 3947 Stoploss : 3937 Take Profit : 100-300-500pips SELL GOLD : 4250 - 4253 Stoploss : 4263 Take Profit : 100-300-500pips

1. Trendline Descending trendline (upper red): Price is repeatedly rejected here → a strong dynamic resistance. Ascending trendline (lower red): Price has bounced multiple times → an important dynamic support, forming a confluence with the 0.618 Fibonacci level. 2. Resistance 4,215 – 4,225: Supply zone + confluence with the descending trendline → a high-probability selling area. If price breaks strongly above 4,225, the next expansion target is 4,244. 3. Support 4,172 – 4,155 (Fibo 0.5 – 0.618): Nearest support, likely to see a reaction. 4,127 – 4,130: The strongest support zone, aligned with the ascending trendline → a potential buying area. 4. Price Scenarios Scenario 1 (primary): Price retraces to retest 4,215–4,225, gets rejected → declines toward 4,155 or deeper to 4,127. Scenario 2: If the descending trendline breaks, price could rally strongly toward 4,244. BUY GOLD : 4127 - 4130 Stoploss : 4113 Take Profit : 100-300-500pips SELL GOLD : 4221-4224 Stoploss : 4233 Take Profit : 100-300-500pips

📈 Market Structure Price Action: Price has just broken out of the accumulation zone, moving sharply toward the main resistance area. 📊 Trendlines Lower Trendline (Red): Long-term dynamic support — price has bounced multiple times from this level. Upper Trendline (Red): Main descending resistance — price is now approaching this zone. 🧱 Support Zones 3,970,000: Confluence of horizontal support and the lower trendline → key reaction area to monitor. 4,030 – 4,050 (Breakout Zone): Intermediate support if price pulls back after the breakout rally. ⚔️ Resistance Zones 4,100 – 4,115: Strong resistance aligning with the upper trendline and previous highs → possible correction zone. 🎯 Scenario If price gets rejected around 4,115, it could pull back toward the 4,030 – 4,050 breakout zone, or even retest 3,970,000. A clean breakout above 4,115 would confirm stronger bullish continuation. 🧭 Summary Trend: Short-term bullish — currently testing major resistance. Strategy: Watch price action near 4,115; wait for confirmation to re-enter buys around 4,030 – 3,970. 💼 Trading Plan BUY GOLD: 4,030 – 4,028 Stop Loss: 4,018 Take Profit: 100 – 300 – 500 pips SELL GOLD: 4,115 – 4,117 Stop Loss: 4,127 Take Profit: 100 – 300 – 500 pips

📉 1. البنیة والاتجاه: الاتجاه الرئیسی على إطار H4 لا یزال هابطًا. بعد موجة تصحیح ضعیفة، تم رفض السعر عند خط الاتجاه الهابط والمتوسط المتحرک EMA89 → مما یشیر إلى عودة قوة البیع. 📊 2. منطقة المقاومة (Resistance): 4,014 – 4,030 تتطابق مع مستوى فیبوناتشی 0.382 للحرکة الهابطة من 4,156 → 3,786. وتتقاطع مع EMA34 وEMA89 والحد العلوی لنموذج المثلث الهابط → مما یجعلها منطقة مقاومة قویة متداخلة. → إذا ارتفع السعر إلى هذه المنطقة، فمن المرجح أن تظهر ردة فعل هبوطیة قویة. 📉 3. منطقة الدعم (Support): 3,930 – 3,940 دعم قصیر المدى – یتطابق مع فیبوناتشی 0.5 والقاع الأخیر. إذا تم کسره، سیتم تأکید الکسر الهابط (breakout). 3,780 – 3,800 منطقة دعم ثابتة قویة، تمثل فیبوناتشی الممتد 1.0. وهی الهدف الرئیسی إذا استمر السعر فی الهبوط. 📈 4. السیناریو المحتمل (Scenario): قد یرتد السعر فنیًا إلى المنطقة 4,014 – 4,030، ثم یُرفض منها ویهبط بقوة. عند کسر المنطقة 3,930، یتم تأکید استمرار الاتجاه الهابط. 🎯 أهداف الهبوط: 3,780 ±20 نقطة. 📉 الاتجاه: هابط رئیسی. 📊 المقاومة الرئیسیة: 4,014 – 4,030. 📈 الدعم الرئیسی: 3,930 → 3,780. 💰 خطة التداول (Trading Plan): SELL GOLD: 4000 – 4002 🛑 إیقاف الخسارة: 4010 🎯 جنی الأرباح: 50 – 200 – 400 نقطة BUY GOLD: 3890 – 3888 🛑 إیقاف الخسارة: 3880 🎯 جنی الأرباح: 50 – 200 – 400 نقطة

1. Current Price Structure Gold has formed a strong bullish wave (rallying from the 3,680 zone to nearly 3,790). Afterwards, a sharp decline occurred → creating a new high but quickly rejected. At present, the price is consolidating sideways within a narrow support–resistance zone around 3,740 – 3,755. 2. Key Support – Resistance Levels Near-term resistance: 3,755 – 3,760 (recent minor high). Near-term support: 3,735 – 3,740 (area repeatedly tested). Stronger support: 3,695 – 3,705 (potential retracement target with liquidity and previous accumulation zone). 3. Price Scenarios Scenario 1 (primary): Price breaks below the current support → drops to retest the 3,695 – 3,705 zone → then bounces back up. This is a potential “demand zone” where buyers may return. Scenario 2 (less likely): Price holds the 3,740 support and rallies immediately → however, current buying pressure seems insufficient to sustain this move. 4. Trading Implications The 3,695 – 3,705 zone is a potential buy area if bullish reversal candlestick patterns appear. If price clearly breaks below 3,695, the short-term trend could turn bearish with a target toward 3,660. In the short term, the market is still in a corrective phase after the previous bullish rally → not ideal to “chase buys” around 3,740. 👉 In summary: The chart suggests the price is more likely to dip toward the 3,700 demand zone before bouncing back up. The 3,740 zone is only a temporary buffer, not strong enough for a major reversal.

1. Market Structure Price previously made a higher high, but then reversed downward. Currently, the resistance zone (supply) around 3,750 – 3,760 has been tested multiple times but failed to break → showing strong selling pressure there. The support zone (demand) around 3,715 – 3,725 is the next potential target. 2. Price Pattern The chart suggests an M/W formation or a double top variation, with repeated rejection at the blue resistance zone. The blue arrows you drew indicate the expectation that price will: Continue dropping from the 3,750 resistance zone. Retest the 3,720 support zone. If 3,720 breaks, the next target is 3,700. 3. Technical Signals Strong volume appeared during the previous drop from 3,780 → confirming sellers are in control. Each retracement to retest supply is weaker, with lower highs → a sign of distribution. If another strong bearish candle (e.g., bearish engulfing) forms, the probability of reaching 3,700 is high. 4. Trade Scenarios Bearish scenario (main bias): Entry: around 3,745 – 3,750 (sell limit or after bearish confirmation). TP1: 3,720. TP2: 3,700. SL: above 3,760 resistance zone. Alternative bullish scenario (less likely): If price breaks above 3,760 and closes strongly on H1/H4, upside targets are 3,780 – 3,800. 👉 In summary: This chart leans strongly toward a bearish outlook, targeting 3,720 first, and potentially 3,700.

1. Overall Picture After a strong bullish rally, price formed a double top → distribution phase signal. The 3,740 zone is currently acting as a liquidity zone (area holding buy-side stop-losses from bottom pickers). 2. Order Block (OB) Before the strong bullish move, there was a Bullish Order Block around 3,740 – 3,750. Now price is retesting this OB → if it breaks, the bearish momentum will likely be confirmed. 3. Break of Structure (BOS) & Change of Character (ChoCh) At the 3,790 high, the structure showed a ChoCh (shift from bullish → bearish). If price breaks below the 3,740 zone → it will form a clear bearish BOS, confirming a medium-term downtrend. 4. Liquidity Hunt The 3,740 support is packed with buy stop-loss orders. A sharp break below this level could trigger a liquidity hunt, allowing “big players” to accumulate around 3,690 – 3,700 before a potential rebound. 5. SMC Scenarios Bearish scenario (primary): Price breaks the 3,740 OB → bearish BOS → liquidity target at 3,690. Bullish scenario (less likely): If price reacts strongly at the 3,740 OB with a bullish engulfing candle → price could retest the supply zone near 3,770 – 3,780 before resuming its decline. 👉 In summary: Under SMC, the downside target at 3,690 – 3,700 is the main scenario, after which we should watch if “big players” push the market back up to continue the broader uptrend.

1. Price Structure Previous trend: strong uptrend (from the 20th to the 23rd). After reaching the ~3,790 peak: the market formed two lower highs → a sign of weakness. The price is now retesting the key support zone around 3,740 – 3,750 (blue box). 2. Technical Pattern This looks like a Double Top / variant of Head & Shoulders, signaling a bearish reversal. The blue box area is the neckline – if broken, the pattern completes and the downtrend scenario has high probability. 3. Price Scenarios If the 3,740 support breaks decisively: Price may drop quickly towards 3,700 – 3,710 (nearest support). Further down, it could retest the 3,670 – 3,680 area, as shown by your blue arrow. If the 3,740 support holds: Price could bounce back, forming a sideways consolidation before the next move. However, the probability of a strong recovery is lower, as buying momentum has weakened. 4. Market Sentiment Retail traders: likely to panic-sell once support breaks, triggering stop-loss cascades. Big players / institutions: may take advantage around 3,700 to accumulate again after “stop-loss hunting” retailers. 👉 Conclusion: This is a short-term bearish scenario. For existing long positions, consider taking profit / protecting capital if support breaks. For dip buyers, it’s safer to wait for a positive reaction around 3,700 – 3,680.

1. Technical Structure Recent trend: Gold has been moving upward but is gradually forming higher highs with narrowing momentum. Resistance line: The upper red trendline indicates a dynamic resistance zone where price has been repeatedly rejected. Support zone: The lower red box (around 3,685 – 3,695) is acting as a demand zone, where price has bounced multiple times. 2. Current Pattern The chart shows a Rising Wedge pattern: price is climbing with converging highs and lows, which is often a bearish reversal signal. After touching the upper trendline, the blue arrow indicates the potential for a downward correction. The downside target could be a retest of the support zone (red box). 3. Market Psychology Buyers (bulls) are pushing price higher but momentum is weakening at resistance. Sellers (bears) may take advantage of the higher price levels near the trendline to enter short positions. The market may create a liquidity grab at the highs before reversing downward. 4. Trade Scenarios (for reference) Scenario 1 (primary): If price touches the upper trendline and shows reversal signals (e.g., pin bar, bearish engulfing), a Sell position can be considered with the target near the red support zone. Scenario 2: If gold breaks strongly above the trendline, the bullish trend may continue, with the next observation zone around 3,740 – 3,750. 👉 This is purely a technical analysis. You should also combine it with macroeconomic factors (Fed policy, USD Index, bond yields) to increase reliability before making a trading decision.