AriasWave

We're watching for a break below 87,000 to confirm the start of Wave (C), with a target of 74,517. If price drops below 87,000 without making a new high, it confirms 88,894 as key resistance and an ideal stop level. For a full breakdown, check out the video linked below in Related Ideas.

Bitcoin appears to be encountering resistance on several fronts: recent highs, the 200-day moving average, and the extended length now required for Wave (C) to complete the larger Wave B Zig-Zag pattern. A break below the 87,000 level would likely signal the completion of Wave E. Price action remains choppy at the highs due to ongoing uncertainty, but I expect this to resolve soon. The downside target sits at a minimum of 74,517 to complete the broader Wave B Zig-Zag.

Price has been rejected at the 200-period moving average on the daily time frame. This presents an opportunity to short back toward the recent lows, completing the complex Zig-Zag structure I mentioned earlier. A strong resistance level remains above at 88,486, with a downside target set at 74,517.I’ll be posting a video update shortly.

So far, there's been no actual gain or loss from my current idea that we could reach 90K. However, I’d like to propose a new perspective — that we may have been navigating a complex, expanded Wave B Zig-Zag this entire time.With a deeper understanding of AriasWave, I can now make certain assumptions more confidently. I had considered this scenario before but dismissed it due to how far-fetched it seemed. Now, I’m revisiting that idea with a fresh outlook.The key point is: nothing has been gained or lost yet — which means this is your opportunity to reassess and position your trade in the right direction using this analysis.Let’s make it count. Let’s do this!Check out the chart version linked below.Short Entry: 83,000Target: 74,517

Recent rejections at the highs have prompted a deeper analysis, and the findings are quite intriguing. Based on a detailed wave review, there's a possibility we're currently trading within an expanded Wave B zig-zag pattern that has yet to find a bottom. If this scenario holds and we see a break below the 83,000 support level, price could potentially decline toward the 74,517 area. On the upside, resistance is observed at 86,506 and 85,493.

In this video, not only do I walk you through the small degree long trade (based on the chart linked below), but I also break down the entire pattern, explain the corrective process, and share what I expect to happen next.As long as 83,015 holds, all signs point toward a potential 6%+ move up to 90K. This is a solid opportunity—price tends to move slowly during corrections, and then all at once.Let’s navigate this setup together, so you can take advantage of it with solid risk management and smart leverage.

We appear to be in the midst of an expanded zig-zag correction. A small push toward 90K—without breaking the support at 83,015—would confirm the pattern. So far, the break above the recent high, along with the expanded correction, supports this outlook. As long as the 83,015 level holds, price may reject any prolonged move below the 1000-period moving average.

Could this count actually be valid? It might seem like a stretch given the sharp drop we just saw—but what if Wave D still needs to play out? Is it possible we see the RUNE token hit $11 again in this cycle?It doesn’t sound so far-fetched if you’ve been following the Bitcoin pattern I mentioned in my recent post about AVAX (linked below). At the end of the day, it all comes down to solid risk management to see how this plays out.

What if I told you that the stock market’s pattern could actually reveal what’s coming next for Bitcoin—would you stick around and watch the entire video? That’s exactly what I’m diving into here. I didn’t force this analysis to fit; somehow, over the past week, it just lined up this way.In this video, I break down exactly why the next market move could be more severe than anything we’ve seen in our lifetime—yet it’s not the end of the world. In fact, if approached correctly, this could be the opportunity of a lifetime. The rebound that follows could be massive.I’ve always had a gut feeling about this, but now the patterns are speaking loud and clear. This is the reason I created AriasWave—and this is exactly where we are right now.This also aligns with my latest Euro analysis linked below in related ideas.

The video idea for this chart is linked below. The current thesis is that minor wave ii has recently completed, confirmed by a retest and rejection of the previous key level at 81,222. Additionally, a brief touch of the 0.618 retracement level supports this view, along with the overall wave structure, suggesting that wave ii is complete and we are now in the early stages of wave iii to the downside.This third wave may start off slowly due to initial market uncertainty, but as sentiment clears, price action typically aligns with the dominant trend—which, in this case, is down.While it may be a bit premature to lower the stop until we break below 75,786 (the start of Wave E), that level is quite far, and it may be more prudent to keep the stop at recent highs for now. Ultimately, your stop placement should reflect your comfort level with the wave count and risk tolerance.If the analysis holds, the rejection at 81,222 becomes a logical stop-loss level for a fresh short position. The target remains unchanged at 61,000.