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تحلیل تکنیکال پیشرفته: ساختار بازار و سناریوهای احتمالی (حمایت، مقاومت و نقدینگی)

📈 Gelişmiş Teknik Analiz – Piyasa Yapısı & Olası Senaryo Grafik, destek–direnç bölgeleri, likidite alanları, trend yapıları ve fiyat tepkileri açısından oldukça temiz bir piyasa yapısı gösteriyor. Hareketlerin çoğu kurumsal davranışla uyumlu. 🔴 1. Ana Direnç Bölgesi – “Support & Resistance” Geniş pembe bölge fiyat için güçlü bir bariyer oluşturuyor: ❌ Birden fazla reddedilme (kırmızı oklar) 💥 Bölgeye her girişte sert satış baskısı 📉 Net bir şekilde güçlü bir kurumsal arz bölgesi Bu bölge, fiyatın yukarı yönlü devamı için aşılması gereken kritik alan. 🟦 2. Ana Destek – “Main Support” (80.000 – 82.000 USD) Geniş mavi alan grafikteki en önemli destek: 🔵 Daha önce çok güçlü tepki verdi 🧱 Talebin yoğun olduğu stabil bir bölge 🌀 Beklenen hareket: sweep (likidite toplama) + dönüş Bu yapı çok tipiktir: → dip kırılır → likidite toplanır → büyük alıcılar devreye girer → trend döner. 🟡 3. Olası Piyasa Senaryosu Grafiğin sunduğu en mantıklı senaryo: 📉 Fiyatın Ana Destek Bölgesine inişi 🔍 Aşağıda likidite toplama / kısa süreli spike 🔄 98k – 102k bölgesine geri dönüş (retest) 🚀 Üstteki mavi hedef bölgesine orta–uzun vadeli ralli Yeşil okla belirtilen hareket, klasik bir akümülasyon → yükseliş senaryosuna işaret ediyor. 📊 4. Açık Gap Girdideki kırmızı daire ile işaretlenen gap: Fiyatta verimsizlik oluşturan bir boşluk Her zaman kapanması gerekmez Mevcut fiyat uzakta olduğu için kısa vadede önemi düşük 📐 5. Yapısal Formasyonlar Grafikteki renkli kutular net trend davranışlarını gösteriyor: 🟩 Yatay akümülasyon → yukarı kırılım 🟨 Yükselen kanal → kırılım → sert düzeltme 🟪 Düşen düzeltme kanalı → tükeniş → kısa ralli Bu formasyonlar, piyasanın oldukça teknik ve likidite odaklı davrandığını doğruluyor. 🚀 Profesyonel Sonuç Toparlarsak: ⚠️ Kısa vadede: 80k–82k bölgesine doğru geri çekilme beklenebilir 💠 Orta vadede: Bu bölgeden güçlü bir dönüş ihtimali yüksek 📈 Uzun vadede: 98k–102k yeniden aşılırsa büyük bir yükseliş potansiyeli var

Ali-Traders-Pro
تحلیل حرفهای بیت کوین: آیا حمایت اصلی منتظر یک جهش بزرگ است؟ (سناریوی برگشت قیمت)

📊 Professional Technical Analysis of the Chart 🔍 Market Structure, Key Levels & Probable Scenarios 🏷️ 1. Title: 🚀 “BTC: Testing the Main Support Before a Potential Major Reversal” 🔄📈 🧱 2. Key Zones Identified 🔴 Major Resistance Zone (Supply Area) – ~97,000 to 102,000 Multiple rejections marked with red arrows. Price struggled to break above this zone throughout 2025. Acts as a strong sell wall. 🟦 Main Support Zone – ~80,700 to 85,000 Marked with blue arrows. Historically respected area. High probability reversal zone. Buyers previously stepped in aggressively. 🟧 Support Turned Resistance Area – ~96,000 Previously support, now flipped to resistance. Price expected to retest this after bouncing from main support. 📉 3. Current Trend & Momentum Strong bearish wave since September. Sequence of lower highs (🔻) and lower lows. Price is approaching the MAIN SUPPORT area, where an initial bounce is expected. 🔄 4. Expected Price Behavior 📌 Scenario A — High Probability (Bullish Reversal) ✔️ Price dips into MAIN SUPPORT (80–85k) ✔️ Forms a wick or consolidation (yellow zone drawn) ✔️ Bounces back toward 96k resistance ✔️ Break above 96k → A major bullish leg toward the 115–125k zone (blue projection box) 🎯 This aligns with the green upward arrow on the chart. 📌 Scenario B — Medium Probability (Extended Downtrend) ⚠️ If support at 80k breaks with volume: Downtrend continues Next support around 74k–76k But chart suggests buyers likely defend current support. 📈 5. Pattern Insights 🔸 Historical Channel (Yellow + Purple) These upward channels show bullish impulses after major corrections. Price currently resembles past structure before big reversals. 🔸 Gap Fill Behavior The chart marks a previous gap fill, showing price respects inefficiencies. Current move may mimic previous gap-into-support behavior → bullish. 🧭 6. Summary 🔥 The market is approaching a critical decision point. Strong MAIN SUPPORT likely to trigger a reversal bounce. First target after the bounce → 96k zone Break of 96k = continuation to 120k+ 📌 Professional Verdict ⭐ Bias: Bullish reversal expected from 80–85k ⭐ Trend: Currently bearish, but nearing exhaustion ⭐ Outlook: Reversal → Retest → Breakout potential

Ali-Traders-Pro
تحلیل فنی بیت کوین: سطوح کلیدی، روند نزولی و حرکت احتمالی بعدی!

📉 BTCUSD Technical Breakdown — Trend, Zones & Probable Move 🚀 1. Overall Trend — Strong Downtrend Channel Your chart clearly shows Bitcoin trading within a descending parallel channel (purple zone). Lower lows & lower highs confirm bearish structure. Price is currently hugging the lower boundary, signaling a possible reaction zone. 2. 📌 Key Levels Marked on Your Chart 🔴 Resistance Levels $107,457 → Major resistance + supply zone $115,804 – $116,381 → Higher-timeframe resistance cluster These levels are likely far from current price unless a deeper reversal forms. 🟡 Support / Reversal Zone Around $87,200 – $83,500 Marked clearly as a support zone where price could potentially form a wick + bounce scenario. 🟦 Mid-Zone Structure (Support → Resistance Flip) The region around $88,794 acts as a support-turned-resistance zone in the short term. 3. 🔍 Pattern & Expected Scenario Your drawn projection indicates: 🔻 Step 1 — Final Liquidity Sweep (Yellow Highlight) Price may dip below support into the green zone (liquidity grab). Wicks around earnings events reinforce volatility expectations. 🔄 Step 2 — Bounce & Retest After liquidity sweep, a bullish reaction is anticipated. Price might retest the mid-zone (~$88,800) as new resistance. If broken, it opens path toward upper black resistance at $107,457. 📈 Step 3 — Full Reversal Attempt A breakout above the mid-zone could send price toward the resistance zone near $107K. 4. 🧠 Professional Takeaway Bias: Short-term bearish, mid-term potential bullish reversal. Key trigger: Reaction inside the $83K–$87K support zone. Invalidation: If price breaks below $83K with strong momentum, deeper downside opens. Opportunity: Look for a strong bullish engulfing, sweep of lows, or RSI divergence at support.Price reacted perfectly to the sell zone, triggering a clean rejection and extending the bearish leg. Momentum remains in sellers’ favor, with lower support levels now in focus unless buyers step in with a strong recovery.

Ali-Traders-Pro
تحلیل حرفهای اتریوم (ETH/USD): آیا کف قیمتی شکل گرفته و زمان خیزش فرا رسیده است؟

📊 Professional Market Analysis — ETH/USD 📝 Overall Structure Your chart shows Ethereum in a downtrend, followed by a range accumulation zone, and now forming a potential reversal pattern near a major support level. 🟣 1. Downtrend Channel (Completed Phase) The purple channel illustrates a controlled downward trend, which ended as price broke out of the lower structure. ✔️ This signals bearish exhaustion and opens the door for accumulation. 🟩 2. Accumulation Zone (Green Box) ETH traded sideways inside the green box, indicating: 📉 Sellers losing momentum 📈 Buyers gradually stepping in 🧱 Strong base building near $2,935 – $2,905 (major support) This zone is key: if price respects it, a bullish reversal is very possible. 🔻 3. Current Price Position Price is sitting around $3,144, slightly above support but still below major resistance. This is a decision point: Below → revisit support Above → start bullish expansion 🟠 4. Expected Price Path (Your Illustrated Scenario) Your projection shows a fakeout dip → recovery → bullish breakout. This is realistic based on structure: 🔄 Short-Term Move Possible liquidity grab below minor lows Quick recovery back into structure Buyers stepping in aggressively 🚀 Medium-Term Move A breakout toward $3,600 – $3,700 Key resistance zone marked by the blue shaded line If breached → next major target: $4,233 (red line) 📌 Key Levels to Watch Support Zones 🔴 $2,905 – $2,935 → Major support 🔴 Losing this = deeper drop risk Resistance Zones 🔵 $3,550 – $3,650 → First target 🔵 Breakout unlocks $4,233 top-side liquidity zone 📈 5. Professional Outlook Bias: Bullish Reversal Potential Given: ✔️ Accumulation ✔️ Support holding ✔️ Downtrend slowing → A bullish reversal is likely if ETH reclaims the blue resistance band. ⚠️ Risk If price rejects that zone again, expect another retest of $3,000. 🎯 Conclusion ETH is completing a bottoming structure and preparing for a potential bullish breakout, but must first hold support and break the mid-range resistance. Your depicted scenario is technically sound and highly probable.

Ali-Traders-Pro
تحلیل طلا (XAU/USD): نقشه راه صعودی در کف کانال نزولی!

📈 Professional Technical Analysis — XAU/USD Below is a clean, structured breakdown of the chart you provided, including trend context, key levels, and potential scenarios. 🔍 1. Market Structure Overview The chart shows a descending wedge pattern forming after a previous rally. Price is currently moving downward inside this wedge, approaching a major support zone near $3,885–$3,871. This structure often signals potential bullish reversal, especially when combined with strong support. 🧱 2. Key Levels to Watch 🔴 Resistance Zone: $4,381 – $4,392 Strong supply zone where previous rallies were rejected. 🟧 Mid-Level Support/Resistance: $4,167 – $4,158 A pivot level that acted both as support and resistance. A break above it signals bullish continuation. 🟦 Support Line of the Wedge: Price is compressing toward this diagonal support. ⬛ Major Support (Bottom): $3,885 – $3,871 Critical demand zone—loss of this would invalidate the bullish wedge scenario. 📉 3. Current Price Behavior Price is declining inside a contracting wedge, typical of exhaustion selling. Volume and candle structure show weakening bearish momentum. The chart highlights a potential bullish bounce near wedge support, indicated by the green projection. 📈 4. Expected Scenarios 🟢 Bullish Scenario (Primary) If price taps the wedge bottom near $3,885 and holds: Expect a bounce toward $4,167 (first target). Break above this level opens the move toward $4,300+. Pattern: Bullish Wedge Breakout 🔴 Bearish Breakdown (Alternative) If $3,871 support fails: Expect selloff continuation toward lower unmarked levels. Pattern: Wedge Failure → Continuation Trend ⚖️ 5. Professional Outlook The chart suggests bullish probability is increasing, but confirmation requires: A reversal signal at wedge support A break & retest above $4,167 Until that happens, the trend remains short-term bearish.

Ali-Traders-Pro
تحلیل ساختار اتریوم (ETH/USD): آیا صعود قوی در راه است؟

📊 Professional Market Analysis – ETH/USD Structure Breakdown Here’s a clean, professional interpretation of the chart you provided, using a trader’s perspective and visual cues (📉📈📌): 🔻 1. Overall Market Structure – Downtrend Losing Strength The chart shows a prolonged downward trend channel (blue) that has recently been broken. Price created a major bottom around the 5–6 Nov area (circled), followed by a relief recovery. The downward trendline (pink) has been broken, signaling weakening seller momentum. 🟤 2. Key Support Zone Identified The support area around $3,040–$3,160 is clearly respected multiple times. The recent pullback into this zone suggests a potential bullish reaction is forming. Buyers previously absorbed heavy selling pressure here ⇒ strong demand zone ⚡ 🔵 3. Major Resistance Levels $3,673 (blue horizontal line) is the immediate resistance. Above that, $3,802 is the next resistance. The main resistance zone sits around $4,200–$4,255, which is the long-term upside target. 📈 4. Expected Price Movement (Bullish Scenario) Your chart suggests a bullish setup: ✔️ Bullish Trigger A bounce from the support zone → break above $3,673 → extension toward $3,802. ✔️ Upside Target The blue projection box indicates a move of roughly +15–20%. ✔️ Reasoning Downtrend broken Support holding Higher-lows forming Momentum indicators turning 🟥 5. Risk Scenario (Bearish Breakdown) If price fails to hold support ($3,040–$3,160): Expect downside continuation to $3,000–$2,880 zone. This would invalidate the bullish rebound structure. 🎯 6. Summary Bias: Bullish reversal forming Key Support: $3,040–$3,160 Immediate Resistance: $3,673 Next Target: $3,802 Macro Target: $4,200–$4,255 📌 The current price action suggests accumulation and a likely upward breakout if buyers defend support.

Ali-Traders-Pro
احتمال بازگشت صعودی بیت کوین: تحلیل تکنیکال و فرصت خرید در قیمت ۹۹ هزار دلار

📊 BTC/USD Technical Outlook – Potential Bullish Reversal Setup 🔍 Chart Context The chart shows BTC/USD on a 4-hour timeframe. The price recently broke out of a descending channel (highlighted in yellow), signaling that bearish momentum might be slowing down. After the breakout, the market is retesting previous support zones, which may now act as a demand area. 🧭 Key Technical Zones Resistance Zone (107,000 – 108,000 USD) 🧱 This area aligns with previous swing highs and marks a strong supply zone where sellers previously dominated. Support Zone (98,800 – 99,000 USD) 🛡️ Identified as a strong reaction area, price has bounced from this zone before, making it a potential bullish reversal point. Support-Turned-Resistance Level (~104,000 – 106,000 USD) 🔄 Acts as a mid-term pivot level; a breakout above this could confirm bullish continuation. 📈 Price Action Analysis The chart suggests a possible double-bottom pattern formation near the support zone 💎. The projected move (illustrated by the blue box) implies a bullish retracement towards the 107,000–108,000 zone after a short-term dip to retest support. Volume and momentum will be crucial in confirming the reversal — look for bullish engulfing candles or divergence for confirmation. ⚙️ Trade Plan Idea (Hypothetical) Entry Zone: Around 99,000 – 100,000 USD Stop Loss: Below 98,800 USD 🚫 Take Profit: 107,000 – 108,000 USD 🎯 Risk-to-Reward Ratio: ~1:3 (High-quality setup if confirmed by price action) 🧠 Summary Trend: Bearish-to-Neutral, potential for bullish reversal. Confirmation needed: Bullish structure break above 104,000. Key focus: Rejection or bounce from the 99,000 USD zone.

Ali-Traders-Pro
پیشبینی فنی طلا (XAU/USD): طلای آبشده در کانال صعودی، سطحهای کلیدی خرید و فروش کجاست؟

🟢 XAU/USD Technical Outlook — Upward Momentum Within a Rising Channel 📈 Trend Overview The chart shows XAU/USD trading within a well-defined ascending channel, indicating a strong upward trend since late October. The blue trendline acts as dynamic support, confirming consistent higher lows — a classic bullish signal. 🔹 Key Levels Resistance Zone: 🧱 $4,391.41 — the upper boundary of the previous high; potential take-profit or reversal area. Support Zone: 🛡️ $3,800–$3,850 — major horizontal support from previous consolidation. Intermediate Support: ⚙️ $4,160.91 — minor retracement level, close to current price action. 🔄 Price Action Insights The price is currently near the midline of the channel (~$4,200). A pullback to the trendline support is likely (as the curved black arrow suggests), followed by a rebound toward the upper boundary. If the trendline holds, the next target could be around $4,350–$4,390. However, a break below the trendline would weaken the bullish structure and could trigger a retest of $4,100 or lower. 🧭 Technical Bias Bias: Bullish 🟩 Momentum: Strengthening (higher highs & higher lows) Risk: Moderate (channel midrange positioning) 🧠 Trading Plan Idea Buy Zone: Around $4,160–$4,180 near trendline support. Targets: 🎯 Short-term: $4,300 Medium-term: $4,390 (Resistance) Stop-Loss: Below $4,100 (to protect against channel breakdown).

Ali-Traders-Pro
تحلیل بیت کوین: سقوط قریبالوقوع پس از پسزنی از خط روند مقاومتی!

📉 BTC/USD Technical Analysis — Bearish Rejection at Trendline 🔍 Chart Overview The chart shows a downtrend structure with a dominant descending trendline acting as dynamic resistance. Price has recently tested this trendline and formed a bearish rejection, suggesting potential continuation to the downside. 🧭 Key Levels Resistance Zone: $107,300 – $109,200 Major Resistance: $111,234 Support Zone: $98,850 – $100,000 Current Price: ~$104,500 ⚙️ Technical Structure Trendline: The blue descending trendline defines the short-term bearish bias. Breakout & Retest: Previous breakout attempts above minor channels have failed, confirming trend strength. Support Bounce: A rebound from the support near $100,000 gave a temporary bullish move, but rejection from the trendline indicates sellers are still in control. 📊 Trade Setup (as shown) Entry Zone: Around $107,000 (after retest of resistance/trendline) Stop-Loss: ~$109,200 (above resistance) Target: ~$98,800 (previous support zone) Risk/Reward Ratio: Approx. 1:2.5 ✅ 🧠 Market Sentiment 📉 Bearish bias remains dominant unless price breaks and sustains above $111,234 (resistance + trendline confluence). 📈 A confirmed breakout above this level could shift momentum toward $116,200, but for now, sellers control the structure. 🚀 Summary 🔻 Primary Bias: Bearish 📍 Immediate Resistance: $107K–$109K 🎯 Short-Term Target: $99K ⚠️ Invalidation: Break and close above $111.2K✅ Trade Update: Analysis Hit Perfectly 🔥 Our latest BTC/USD analysis played out exactly as projected! Price respected the descending trendline, rejected the resistance zone, and dropped straight into our target area — delivering a clean, high-probability move. This is why we focus on structure, confluence and patience. No guessing. No hype. Just disciplined technicals 📉📊 I’ll continue sharing more setups, insights, and lessons so we stay ahead of the market — together. Stay tuned, stay sharp, and trade responsibly 🧠💼 More updates coming soon.

Ali-Traders-Pro
تحلیل تکنیکال اتریوم (ETH/USD): ادامه مسیر نزولی در کانال شکسته!

📉 ETH/USD Teknik Analiz – Düşen Kanalın Devamı Zaman Dilimi: 4 Saatlik Grafik (TradingView) 🔍 Genel Görünüm Fiyat şu anda düşen bir kanal içinde hareket ediyor (pembe bölge). Grafikte alçalan zirveler ve alçalan dipler görülüyor, bu da düşüş trendinin devam ettiğini gösteriyor. Önemli seviyeler: Direnç: 3.650 – 3.700 USD Destek: 3.060 USD civarı ⚙️ Teknik Detaylar 1. Direnç Bölgesi (🔺 Kırmızı Ok) Kanalın üst trend çizgisi dinamik direnç görevi görüyor. 3.650 USD seviyesi geçmişte önemli bir kırılma bölgesiydi. Bu bölgeden bir reddedilme, short (satış) pozisyonu için fırsat oluşturabilir. 2. Orta Çizgi (⚖️ Direnç + Destek) Kanalın orta çizgisi bir pivot bölgesi gibi davranıyor; bazen destek, bazen direnç. Fiyat şu anda bu bölgede işlem görüyor — hafif bir yükseliş hareketi var ancak yukarı yönlü potansiyel sınırlı. 3. Destek Bölgesi (🔵 Mavi Ok) Kanalın alt bandı, yani 3.060 USD civarı, önemli bir destek seviyesi. Bu bölgedeki geçmiş tepkiler, alış yönlü talebin güçlü olduğunu gösteriyor. 📈 Fiyat Beklentisi Temel Senaryo: Fiyat 3.650 USD civarındaki kanal direncini test edip tekrar aşağı yönlü hareket edebilir. ↘️ Hedef Bölgeler: 3.200 → 3.060 USD Alternatif Senaryo: Fiyat 3.700 USD üzerinde kapanış yaparsa, düşüş trendi geçersiz olur ve hedef 4.269 USD seviyesine kayabilir. ⚠️ Öne Çıkan Noktalar Trend: Düşüş yönlü (bears hâkim 🐻) Momentum: Kısa vadede toparlanma var, ancak genel trend hâlâ aşağı. Strateji: Short giriş: 3.650 USD civarı Kâr alma: 3.100 – 3.050 USD Stop-loss: 3.700 USD üzeri 🧭 Özet Tablo EğilimÖnemli DirençÖnemli DestekKısa Vadeli Görünüm 🔻 Düşüş3.650 – 3.700 USD3.060 USD📉 Dirençten reddedilme ve düşüş devamı bekleniyor
Disclaimer
Any content and materials included in Sahmeto's website and official communication channels are a compilation of personal opinions and analyses and are not binding. They do not constitute any recommendation for buying, selling, entering or exiting the stock market and cryptocurrency market. Also, all news and analyses included in the website and channels are merely republished information from official and unofficial domestic and foreign sources, and it is obvious that users of the said content are responsible for following up and ensuring the authenticity and accuracy of the materials. Therefore, while disclaiming responsibility, it is declared that the responsibility for any decision-making, action, and potential profit and loss in the capital market and cryptocurrency market lies with the trader.