
AlexeyWolf
@t_AlexeyWolf
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AlexeyWolf

Hi traders and investors! Went exactly by the March 3 scenario. Who would’ve guessed… and why didn’t anyone warn me? Weekly candle with declining volume. No strong buyer at the bottom of the trading range — no reason to go long. The price will keep pushing lower and lower until it finally meets a strong buyer. Wishing you profitable trades!

AlexeyWolf

Hi traders and investors! On the left — March 3, 2025. On the right — August 23, 2025. Same structure, different time. 👉 What happened after March 3? Will we see the same outcome now — a pullback all the way to the start of the move — or is the market setting up a different scenario this time? Wishing you profitable trades!

AlexeyWolf

Hi traders and investors! This analysis is based on the Initiative Analysis concept (IA). Weekly timeframe On the weekly timeframe, we see a buyer’s initiative, but at the same time, the seller absorbed a strong buyer candle — with the highest volume in recent months — and formed a seller zone (marked with a red rectangle). That’s a negative sign for long entries and a potential setup for short entries from the seller’s zone. Below, the weekly chart shows three important levels: 3268, 3244, and 3201. I expect the price to move down toward 3244, where there is likely more liquidity (possibly with a touch of 3201). That’s where we can start looking for buy patterns. Daily timeframe On the daily timeframe, we have a sideways market and a seller’s initiative now, with a target at 3154. The buyer tried to start a move from the buyer zone (blue rectangle), but both candles had declining volume, and the second candle failed to close above the first one. That’s a negative sign for long entries. Friday’s buyer candle also had low volume and showed no result — That’s a negative sign for long entries too. With a seller’s initiative in place and no real buying signals, we’re focusing on short opportunities. Hourly timeframe On the 1H chart, the price has formed a sideways range with a buyer’s initiative. The lower boundary of this range is at 3331, where we saw price interaction on declining volume — a negative sign for long setups. I expect price to interact with 3329, after which a buyer move is possible (unlikely, but possible). The target is 3358. Wishing you profitable trades!

AlexeyWolf

Hi traders and investors! This analysis is based on the Initiative Analysis concept (IA). On the weekly timeframe, there was a sideways range (boundaries marked with black lines) that the buyer broke to the upside, but so far has been unable to extend the initiative further. Sellers are still defending the 123,000 level — we can see this from the volume that appears whenever price touches this zone. On the weekly chart, there’s also the 114,723 level, where price interacted with a seller candle on declining volume. That’s not a bullish signal for looking at longs and suggests price may move lower. If 114,723 doesn’t hold, we could see a retest of the local low at 111,920. On the daily timeframe, price has formed a sideways range (boundaries marked with black lines). The current vector is with the sellers, with a target at 115,736. We’ll be watching how price reacts at 115,736 and at 114,723 — and whether a strong buyer appears at these levels. Wishing you profitable trades!

AlexeyWolf

Hi traders and investors! The price has already played out the upper boundary of the scenario, rising above 120,500. Then it also reached the lower boundary by dropping below 115,222. Now we are at an interest moment: will the price continue to move upward or not? This situation is clearly visible on the 8-hour timeframe. On the 8H chart, we see a sideways range, similar to the 1D timeframe. The lower boundary is 115,736 and the upper boundary is 123,218. The active initiative is currently with the buyers, and their target is 120,998 и 123,218. There is a notable bar attacking the lower boundary (115,736) with very high volume. The high of that bar is 118,451. We’re watching to see whether buyers absorb this bar — that will determine how the next move plays out. There are three key levels where buyers may step in: 116,782, 116,128, and 115,736. If the price drops to any of these, we can look for a long setup. Above, we also have three resistance levels from the sellers: 118,451, 119,676, and 120,247. We’ll be watching how sellers react if the price tests these zones. This analysis is based on the Initiative Analysis concept (IA). Wishing you profitable trades!

AlexeyWolf

Hi traders and investors! The 3310 level worked out perfectly. We can see a familiar buy pattern forming. If the buyer fails to push the price higher and the seller returns to the 3310 level, it's likely that the price will continue to decline on the daily timeframe toward the next nearest targets — 3244, or more likely, 3154. For now, however, we still expect the buyer to pursue the remaining unmet targets at 3393 and 3403. This analysis is based on the Initiative Analysis concept (IA). Wishing you profitable trades!

AlexeyWolf

Current scenario range — can shift depending on how the market reacts next. This analysis is based on the Initiative Analysis concept (IA). Wishing you profitable trades!

AlexeyWolf

Hi traders and investors!On the daily timeframe, OPUSDT is trading in a sideways range. The price has repeatedly dipped below the lower boundary at 0.545, but each time, buyers managed to bring it back. Now, we’re seeing another attempt to return into the consolidation zone — a possible sign of renewed buyer initiative.If the price secures above 0.545, the path opens toward the next targets at 0.844 and 0.954. However, a short-term dip below 0.52 may occur within this bullish scenario.Therefore, buying becomes a priority once the price is firmly back above 0.545.This analysis is based on the Initiative Analysis concept (IA).Wishing you profitable trades!

AlexeyWolf

Hi traders and investors!Buyers have reached the first target at 108,952.On Binance spot, BTC missed the second target (110,530.17) by just 99 cents.Is this a setup for a breakout and a run toward a new ATH?So far, the price action looks like a level manipulation around 108,952: volume in all 3 bars interacting with this level is concentrated above it.Just below lies a buyer zone (107,500 – 105,100).I am watching for buyer reaction once the price reaches this area.This analysis is based on the Initiative Analysis concept (IA).Wishing you profitable trades!

AlexeyWolf

Hey traders and investors!The seller has reached their target. A buyer started buying from the 2184 level and now holds the initiative.Targets are on the chart.This analysis is based on the Initiative Analysis concept (IA).Wishing you profitable trades!
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