Alessiocalabretta

🟡 GOLD (XAUUSD) Analysis Update – May 13, 2025Initial setup published on May 8:Main bias: Bearish from the resistance level at 3421Targets:🎯 1st target: 3288 🎯 2nd target: 3250🎯 3rd target: 3124🔍 Current Situation:Price is bouncing off last week's weekly low (red line at 3241).A technical rebound up to the 3285 area is possible, which could act as a retest before a continuation to the downside.The downtrend that started on May 7 is still in play, but a daily close below 3241 is needed to confirm continuation towards 3124.📌 Key Levels to Monitor:Main resistance: 3421Intermediate zones: 3288 / 3250Critical support levels:3241 (weekly low – confirmation for further downside if broken)3124 (extended target if breakdown occurs)🧭 Possible Strategies:Aggressive short entry on rejection around 3285, with a stop above 3295–3300More conservative short if there's a confirmed break and close below 3241

📈 BTC/USD Technical Analysis – Bullish Trend with Continuation SetupThe image represents the weekly chart of Bitcoin (BTC/USD) and clearly shows a structurally bullish trend. After a strong upward movement that pushed the price beyond the psychological threshold of $100,000, a technical correction followed, which found solid support in the $72,000–$73,000 area — a level that previously acted as strong resistance and has now turned into support.🗓️ Cyclical Aspect: April Close and Monthly SetupThe month of April, historically a key cyclical month for Bitcoin, closed strongly above the $93,000 level, which is highlighted in the chart as a crucial price/time level to understand bullish dynamics.This monthly close strengthens the market’s bullish outlook:April closed above $93,000 → a sign of structural strength.The most recent weekly close also confirmed a hold above this level, supporting the hypothesis of a continued upward trend.🚀 Projection: Breakout of $108,000 and Future TargetThe current all-time high is located around $108,000.A confirmed breakout above this level could trigger a new bullish leg toward the next key target at approximately $134,000, in line with the price extensions shown on the chart.📊 Key Technical ElementsCyclical time zones are marked by vertical blue and orange lines, indicating key phases in the market.Measured retracements and rallies with percentages and key technical levels (support/resistance).Green and red arrows indicate significant cycle lows and highs.✅ ConclusionThe current structure of Bitcoin remains strong and bullish.The fact that the price closed both the month of April and the most recent week above the $93,000 level — a strategic price/time level — serves as additional confirmation of the uptrend’s strength.A breakout above the all-time high of $108,000 could lead to a new upward leg toward $134,000.However, if the price were to fall back below $93,000 and confirm a weekly close under that level, we could see a phase of consolidation rather than immediate continuation of the rally.As long as the price holds above $93,000 on a weekly basis, the bullish scenario remains valid.

📈 BTC/USD Technical Analysis – Bullish Trend with Continuation SetupThe image represents the weekly chart of Bitcoin (BTC/USD) and clearly shows a structurally bullish trend. After a strong upward move that pushed the price beyond $100,000, a technical correction followed, which found solid support in the $72,000–$73,000 area — a previously strong resistance level that has now turned into support.🗓️ Cyclical Aspect: April Close and Monthly SetupApril, historically a significant month in Bitcoin's cycle, closed bullishly and above the key $93,000 level, which is highlighted in the chart as a crucial price/time zone.This reinforces the underlying strength of the uptrend, as:The monthly close above $93,000 confirms bullish momentum.The recent weekly close also held above this level, strengthening the case for a potential continuation to the upside.🚀 Projection: Breakout of $108,000 and Future TargetThe current all-time high sits around $108,000.A confirmed breakout above this resistance could trigger a strong price acceleration toward the projected target of approximately $134,000, in line with the price extensions shown on the chart.📊 Key Technical ElementsCyclical time zones indicated by vertical blue and orange lines.Measured retracements and rallies with percentages, key support/resistance zones, and highlighted accumulation/consolidation areas.Green and red arrows mark strategic lows and highs in the market cycle.✅ ConclusionThe current structure remains strong and bullish. The fact that both the monthly and weekly closes held above the $93,000 level — a significant price/time level — provides further confirmation of the bullish momentum. If Bitcoin breaks through the $108,000 all-time high, a new leg up toward $134,000 is likely, supported by strong market structure and favorable cyclical conditions.

he image you provided is a technical analysis of Gold (XAU/USD) on the 15-minute timeframe from TradingView. It clearly reflects a bearish (short) outlook for the coming weeks, potentially lasting until the end of May 2025. Here's a detailed breakdown:🔍 Technical ContextGold reached a high around 3,500, followed by a correction that revisited the 3,421 level, creating a strong resistance zone (likely due to liquidity grabs and profit-taking).From there, the chart shows a potential reversal structure, with expectations of a downward move.🔻 Bearish Scenario (Short)The final target for this bearish move is in the 3,124–3,078 area, which represents a key liquidity zone (highlighted with dashed lines and orange horizontal levels).Before reaching that, the price might test several intermediate support zones:3,2883,2413,124The current pattern suggests that after a strong upward impulse, the market is now likely taking a breather, possibly influenced by strength in the equity markets, which reduces gold's appeal as a safe haven in the short term.📅 Expected TimeframeThis downward move is expected to unfold by the end of May 2025, as indicated by the vertical time markers on the chart (one marking May 15th).📈 Additional ObservationsThere's a red-green box on the chart indicating the risk/reward zone for the short entry.The previous bullish trend is marked by clear impulse and correction waves, but the current price action shows loss of momentum and possible reversal signs.