Technical analysis by Thecantillonreport about Symbol SOL on 1/7/2026

Regime: Bearish HTF Bias: Bearish Position: Flat STRUCTURE Price sitting exactly at POC (137.67). Fair value — the level where most volume traded. But fair value doesn't mean bullish. Price is 4% below AVWAP. Institutions are underwater. Rallies get sold. Signal fired — only a 2. Low confluence. KEY LEVELS +1σ → 163.35 AVWAP → 143.53 (resistance) POC → 137.67 (current — decision point) -1σ → 123.72 (first target zone) -2σ → 103.90 CVD READ Collapsed in December. Now grinding higher near zero. Buying pressure building, but price not confirming. Mixed signals = low confluence. Regime says short. CVD says "not yet." SCENARIOS AVWAP rejection: Rally to 143-145, gets sold. Better short entry with higher confluence. POC breakdown: Price fails here, breaks 135. Acceleration toward -1σ. AVWAP reclaim: Regime shifts. Bearish thesis paused. BOTTOM LINE Bearish regime. Price at POC. POC is a decision point, not a signal. The edges pay. The middle chops. Wait for AVWAP rejection or POC breakdown. Don't force it here. Exact entries and position sizing in bio.