Technical analysis by Crypto_Rich_Bangkok about Symbol BTC on 12/24/2025

Bitcoin Monthly Technical Outlook – Stochastic RSI Warning On the monthly timeframe, Bitcoin is approaching a critical and decisive level. Historically, whenever the Stochastic RSI on the monthly chart breaks below the 20 level and confirms a monthly close beneath it, the market has entered a high-risk phase, often marking major market tops followed by deep corrections or prolonged bearish periods. As illustrated on the chart, every previous decisive drop of the Stoch RSI below this threshold has aligned with the end of a primary bullish cycle. Current market conditions show: •Price exhaustion signals after an extended bullish expansion. •Weakening momentum, suggesting distribution rather than accumulation. •The Stochastic RSI rolling over toward the danger zone, with only seven days remaining until the monthly candle closes. If Bitcoin closes the month with the Stochastic RSI below 20, this would confirm: •Loss of long-term momentum •Structural weakness in the prevailing trend •A significantly higher probability of a macro corrective phase This does not imply an immediate crash; however, it would materially change the market’s risk profile, shifting focus from trend continuation to capital preservation and risk management. The monthly close is critical. Patience and confirmation are essential. Let the candle close — the market will reveal its true intent.